Do we need now? Obviously, we're all hoping for more now, but if we're honest, if offered guaranteed CL football next year at the start of the season, we'd have grabbed it with both hands. We have a 10 point cushion over both tha Chavs and the Gooners. There are 39 points available. My feeling is that if we can get 20 more points, we are there. That would leave our rivals needing 30 out of 39 points just to get level. And we have an 11 goal difference advantage, too. I don't think we can afford to lose the 6 pointers, particularly against Chelsea and Arsenal. But, if we can win 6 more, plus a couple of draws, I think we should be there. Thoughts?
If we all carry on as we have been, gaining the same average points per game, we'll be able to relax with four games to go. please log in to view this image
Actually, things are slightly better than you think. To knock us out of the top four, both Chelsea and Arsenal need to finish above us, and the maximum points they can BOTH get (since they have to play each other) is now 80 points. So 81 is our target, irrespective of their performances, or 80 and better GD.
I don't see Chelsea maintaining it, as picked out on MOTD, they're in disarray top to bottom. How long before RA presses the ejector seat again, his hand is hovering over it as of this weekend imo now. Results will remain erratic while this continues. No more last minute bonus's from Henry for the Goons, and an RVP injury long overdue. Both have CL to worry about and will be vulnerable in league games either side of these ties. I'm not worried about a sustained challenge from either of these two reallistically.
70 should guarantee a Top 4 place, 75 will make sure. Anything above 85 would secure the title this season.
It's been a strange season. If Spurs are still in with a shout on Easter Monday then we stand a chance. After the Norwich match we have Bolton, QPR and Villa away and Blackburn and Fulham at home. £ity have West Brom at home on easter Monday then Norwich, Wolves and Newcastle away and ManU and QPR at home. Man U are away to Wigan on easter monday then home to Vila, Everton and Swansea and away to City and Sunderland. Spurs must win those last 6 matches to put pressure on the others. Obviously either or both City and United must drop points when they play each other. Everton are likely to give Man U a hard match and I wouldn't fancy going to Sunderland on the last day of the season. Going to St James' Park wont be easy for City but the others look winable. I think we need to be with a couple of points of City and within four points of United on easter monday to stand any chance of the title. Both City and United have European competition to contend with and the best thing that could happen for Spurs is for both of them to reach the final. Injuries and tiredness could prove the deciding factor.
United and City will junk the EL imo, its a total insignificance to them, despite what they publicly say. Chelsea and the Goons will be knocked out early, so apart from the inconvenience of a couple of games, I think European commitments will be short for all remaining English clubs.
Each year I amuse myself by predicting all our scores, and then compare them to actual to give me an idea on whether we are up or down on my preseason view. When I did this seasons I was obviously in a pessimistic mood about this bit of the season. My predictions were that we would lose 4 of the next 5 (beating only Stoke at home). Looking at next 5 matches for Chavs and Gooners (keeping the original prediction that they would beat us) I have the league, after 30 games, as Tottenham 56 pts (gd +23) Chelsea 55 pts (gd +22) Arsenal 54 pts (gd +11) I hope I am rubbish at predictions!
Well your 7th in the league so not bad, but 18 points off the pace. So let's add 18 points to the Spurs tally; 74 that's more like it.
One thing we have to guard against is Chelsea or Arsenal winning the CL, that would take a place away. ATM, to be sure of CL we need to finish 3rd, this also takes us into the group stages.
