Daily Racing Thread Friday 9th. December 2022

[SwanHills]

Flight Deck must have some sort of chance in the finalé at Cheltenham (15:35)? Hopefully, he'll run a good race for J J O'Neill and Son.

Edit: Non-Runner

 

[Pilgrim]

Cheltenham
14,25 Nassalam 13/2 e/w bet365, Lads,Coral and betfair three places
15,00 Lively Citizen 12/1 e/w WH and PP four places, three others, 11/1 sky four places
Second in this race in 2020 and won in 2021
15,35 Flight Deck 13/2 e/w WH four places, bet365 three, 6/1 sky four places

Flight Deck NR.

Three bets, three NR.

 

[GOLDBONES]

If Cheltenham beats the weather I would really like the chances of Captain Morgs in the concluding handicap hurdle. He qualified for the Pertemps Final in the shortest qualifier (2m 5f) at Kempton a month ago when finishing 2nd to Call Me Lord (finished a fine 2nd in a similar event last weekend off a higher mark) and gets the cheekpieces on here to help him focus at the business end of the race. Dusart is skewing the market here but this is surely a pipe-opener for a chase campaign and the 5/1 currently on offer about Captain Morgs looks attractive.

Great shout Oddy, won easy

 

[LG]

If Cheltenham beats the weather I would really like the chances of Captain Morgs in the concluding handicap hurdle. He qualified for the Pertemps Final in the shortest qualifier (2m 5f) at Kempton a month ago when finishing 2nd to Call Me Lord (finished a fine 2nd in a similar event last weekend off a higher mark) and gets the cheekpieces on here to help him focus at the business end of the race. Dusart is skewing the market here but this is surely a pipe-opener for a chase campaign and the 5/1 currently on offer about Captain Morgs looks attractive.

great shout

 

[SwanHills]

Shout, Oddy, well done!

 

[OddDog]

Thanks guys - cheekpieces worked the oracle. Quite like his chances in the Pertemps Final actually.

 

[Sir Barney Chuckles]

Cheltenham is on. Pray for my health.

What do you make of these Mahler's at Cheltenham then?!? Nothing to get excited about or, moving forward, his offspring being at the centre of a potentially lucrative system / approach.

At the October meeting Mahler was the only stallion to sire more than 1 winner, at the November meeting Mahler was the only stallion to sire more than 1 winner and then today the old boy had another winner - at 5/1 from just 2 runners.

I note that Mahler has no runners at all, tomorrow, at Cheltenham. But he could be one to focus on come January and then, of course, the Festival in March. Something to ponder at any rate...

 

[hawkeye]

If Cheltenham beats the weather I would really like the chances of Captain Morgs in the concluding handicap hurdle. He qualified for the Pertemps Final in the shortest qualifier (2m 5f) at Kempton a month ago when finishing 2nd to Call Me Lord (finished a fine 2nd in a similar event last weekend off a higher mark) and gets the cheekpieces on here to help him focus at the business end of the race. Dusart is skewing the market here but this is surely a pipe-opener for a chase campaign and the 5/1 currently on offer about Captain Morgs looks attractive.

Thanks

 

[floridaspearl]

What do you make of these Mahler's at Cheltenham then?!? Nothing to get excited about or, moving forward, his offspring being at the centre of a potentially lucrative system / approach.

At the October meeting Mahler was the only stallion to sire more than 1 winner, at the November meeting Mahler was the only stallion to sire more than 1 winner and then today the old boy had another winner - at 5/1 from just 2 runners.

I note that Mahler has no runners at all, tomorrow, at Cheltenham. But he could be one to focus on come January and then, of course, the Festival in March. Something to ponder at any rate...

From my experience they don’t normally get three miles and two and half is the optimum trip but the Henderson’s horse stayed on stoutly at two miles today very similar to fame and glory’s which are stronger at further but I’m sure someone will be on with some stats to prove me wrong.

 

[NassauBoard]

What do you make of these Mahler's at Cheltenham then?!? Nothing to get excited about or, moving forward, his offspring being at the centre of a potentially lucrative system / approach.

At the October meeting Mahler was the only stallion to sire more than 1 winner, at the November meeting Mahler was the only stallion to sire more than 1 winner and then today the old boy had another winner - at 5/1 from just 2 runners.

I note that Mahler has no runners at all, tomorrow, at Cheltenham. But he could be one to focus on come January and then, of course, the Festival in March. Something to ponder at any rate...

He is a sire with an 11% strike rate in the NH game and his Cheltenham record is 11% too, so I would suggest he will revert to mean at some point soon. One thing about his runners is that they seem to put it all in, which is an obvious advantage over some of the dodgepots we see in racing.

 

[floridaspearl]

He is a sire with an 11% strike rate in the NH game and his Cheltenham record is 11% too, so I would suggest he will revert to mean at some point soon. One thing about his runners is that they seem to put it all in, which is an obvious advantage over some of the dodgepots we see in racing.

My friend had a Mahler that he raced in ptp his name escapes me. He was previously with twisters. I tried to talk him out of it as I didn’t think he would stay 3 miles, which turned out to be the case. He’d won over 2 and 21/2 miles but at the business end of his races he didn’t have the turn of foot to win but was always placed and never fell in twenty odd runs.

 

[Sir Barney Chuckles]

Thanks guys - cheekpieces worked the oracle. Quite like his chances in the Pertemps Final actually.

Captain Morgs has been hit a bit by the old handicapper this morn (although understandable given his performance last Friday). Up half a stone (7 lbs in old money) following his Cheltenham success. On the positive side though would, now, be all but guaranteed to get in the Pertemps Final off that revised mark (141).

 

[Sir Barney Chuckles]

One further point re, the above mentioned, Mahler. Forum favourite, Nicky Henderson, has just been sent one with a whopping price tag. The 4YO Shanagh Bob (£200,000) from last week's Tattersalls Cheltenham Sale. One to look out for, methinks.