Daily Racing Thread Friday 7th. October 2022

[attivo]

Friday's Meetings

Chepstow
N/H 7 Races 1:05-4:35p.m.
Newmarket
Flat 8 Races 1:15-5:50p.m.
Downpatrick
N/H 7 Races 1:57-5:20p.m.
York
Flat 7 Races 2:05-5:35p.m.
Dundalk(E)
A/W 8 Races 5:00-8:30p.m.
Newcastle(E)
A/W 7 Races 5:10-8:15p.m.

Racecards
At The Races
Sporting Life
Racing Post

Good Luck

 

[Ron]

I expect Commissioning to win impressively tomorrow and challenge for favouritism in next year's 1000 Gns. On that basis, rather than back at odds on tomorrow, maybe the 6/1 for the 1000 GNS might be a better bet? Of course, if she doesn't win, she will drift like a barge

The 4.45 Newmarket looks likely to go to Appleby's debutant but at 10/1 I think Chorus Line looks overpriced. She was 66/1 on debut, btn 6l in a half decent time, hampered start, headway from over 2f out, ran green over 1f out, nudged out inside final furlong. Should come on a lot from that. She was ridden by Hollie Doyle that day but has Oisin Orr up tomorrow. No idea if that is a negative or positive

 

[OddDog]

Chepstow a bit unlucky with the prevailing ground limiting field sizes - only the novice hurdle scrapes into double figures.

it would be nice to see Cloth Cap back to his best in the veterans chase and the handicapper has given him a chance off 144.

The Persian War field looks decent enough with 3 of the 7 having already posted efforts in the 130s and the Skelton animal is currently a very short-priced fav. Too short for me, I like Donald McCain’s runner and of course you always have to respect Paul Nicholls runners in this race and at this meeting generally.

Hopefully I’ll get to see most of the races

 

[Pilgrim]

York
16,25 Zargun 14/1 e/w bet365 and PP five places, 12/1 sky six places

Chepstow
13,35 Innisfree Lad 8/1 e/w three places with bet365, Lads and Coral
14,10 Outland Peter 15/2 e/w two places, 7/1 sky three places
16,00 Holly 10/3

 

[Pilgrim]

York
With heavy rain coming
Very small bet
14,40 Young Fire 22/1 e/w five places with bet365 and Lads, 20/1 six places sky and PP

 

[Ron]

Today's music tip

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[Pilgrim]

Today's music tip

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Have a multiple with Comissioning, Whispering Words and Money Heist.

 

[stick]

York
With heavy rain coming
Very small bet
14,40 Young Fire 22/1 e/w five places with bet365 and Lads, 20/1 six places sky and PP

This boy is on my tracker as I am sure he is going in at good odds before too long. I hope for you its today but the going description earlier was GOOD and that would not suit. I am thinking Haydock over a mile on soft with 3lb less than his current mark.
Best of luck

 

[Pilgrim]

This boy is on my tracker as I am sure he is going in at good odds before too long. I hope for you its today but the going description earlier was GOOD and that would not suit. I am thinking Haydock over a mile on soft with 3lb less than his current mark.
Best of luck

Now official going is Good To Soft.

 

[LG]

have to say, i think Rage of Bamby is going to smash this

 

[LG]

have to say, i think Rage of Bamby is going to smash this

oops

 

[Ron]

I expect Commissioning to win impressively tomorrow and challenge for favouritism in next year's 1000 Gns. On that basis, rather than back at odds on tomorrow, maybe the 6/1 for the 1000 GNS might be a better bet? Of course, if she doesn't win, she will drift like a barge

The 4.45 Newmarket looks likely to go to Appleby's debutant but at 10/1 I think Chorus Line looks overpriced. She was 66/1 on debut, btn 6l in a half decent time, hampered start, headway from over 2f out, ran green over 1f out, nudged out inside final furlong. Should come on a lot from that. She was ridden by Hollie Doyle that day but has Oisin Orr up tomorrow. No idea if that is a negative or positive

Youngest was running a cracker until jockey eased her off once without a chance. Had she finished closer, the odds of Chorus Line will have contracted significantly. As it is I'm left wondering if that run was a boost for CL or a negative. Will find out soon

 

[Ron]

Today's music tip

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[OddDog]

I expect Commissioning to win impressively tomorrow and challenge for favouritism in next year's 1000 Gns. On that basis, rather than back at odds on tomorrow, maybe the 6/1 for the 1000 GNS might be a better bet? Of course, if she doesn't win, she will drift like a barge

The 4.45 Newmarket looks likely to go to Appleby's debutant but at 10/1 I think Chorus Line looks overpriced. She was 66/1 on debut, btn 6l in a half decent time, hampered start, headway from over 2f out, ran green over 1f out, nudged out inside final furlong. Should come on a lot from that. She was ridden by Hollie Doyle that day but has Oisin Orr up tomorrow. No idea if that is a negative or positive

The rising ground helped her Ron

 

[SwanHills]

Great to see Rab Havlin win his first Group-1. Well deserved!

 

[Ron]

I expect Commissioning to win impressively tomorrow and challenge for favouritism in next year's 1000 Gns. On that basis, rather than back at odds on tomorrow, maybe the 6/1 for the 1000 GNS might be a better bet? Of course, if she doesn't win, she will drift like a barge

The 4.45 Newmarket looks likely to go to Appleby's debutant but at 10/1 I think Chorus Line looks overpriced. She was 66/1 on debut, btn 6l in a half decent time, hampered start, headway from over 2f out, ran green over 1f out, nudged out inside final furlong. Should come on a lot from that. She was ridden by Hollie Doyle that day but has Oisin Orr up tomorrow. No idea if that is a negative or positive

She won but not as impressively as I expected. She needed every inch of the 8th furlong.

 

[Ron]

I expect Commissioning to win impressively tomorrow and challenge for favouritism in next year's 1000 Gns. On that basis, rather than back at odds on tomorrow, maybe the 6/1 for the 1000 GNS might be a better bet? Of course, if she doesn't win, she will drift like a barge

The 4.45 Newmarket looks likely to go to Appleby's debutant but at 10/1 I think Chorus Line looks overpriced. She was 66/1 on debut, btn 6l in a half decent time, hampered start, headway from over 2f out, ran green over 1f out, nudged out inside final furlong. Should come on a lot from that. She was ridden by Hollie Doyle that day but has Oisin Orr up tomorrow. No idea if that is a negative or positive

Well it did, but Chorus Line drifted to 20/1 so it would seem the performance of Youngest in the G3 earlier was not exactly a positive

 

[Ron]

Youngest was running a cracker until jockey eased her off once without a chance. Had she finished closer, the odds of Chorus Line will have contracted significantly. As it is I'm left wondering if that run was a boost for CL or a negative. Will find out soon

Not as bad as I thought as she was hampered and lost a shoe, but made no difference; CL drifted and unplaced