Daily Racing Thread Friday 17th. May 2019

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stick said:
GRANDEE 7/1 York 3:35

Grandee was purchased by Nick Bradley out of Jessie Harringtons yard with a lofty perch of 102 as a 3yo. He spent the whole of his 4yo looking like a horse completely out of sorts and David O'Meara tried many trips and different tactics with very limited success. This season Nick has switched the horse to Roger Fell and he is absolutely thriving. A nice pipe opening fourth at Doncaster was followed by an impressive 5 length win at Newcastle. The handicapper hiked him 9lbs to 90 for that win but it could be argued that the horse still has around 12lb in the tank.
The draw could have been kinder but saying that he should get a very good tow into the race from the horse in the stall next door. Connections are rightly confident of a follow up win today and also looking ahead to a hat-trick so when he goes in today keep him in the notebook for the next run.
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I like Grandee here as well. He has won a handicap off 99 in the past, so a mark of 90 need not anchor him. I was drawn to the race because the Varian horse looks skinny at 9/4. He ran well from today's mark of 99 in the Cambridgeshire last season but his last win was more than two years ago off 93. At the odds he doesn't appeal. Lucius Tiberius is popular in the betting but the ex Aidan O'Brien horse is only mildly well handicapped compared to his win off 101 and Grandee is potentially better in if he has clicked for the change of scene. I've had a bet at 13/2 Grandee as a better value option to the other two.
 
I'm with Kermit too ..... liked Fleeting Princess but not particularly impressed with her pedigree
 
Ron said:
Ran some decent times and 4/1 looks a good bet on the face of it. As you say, no telling how much these youngsters may improve with some experience and a bit more development, some more than others of course. There are plenty of dangers, none more so than Mighty Spirit who was closing on Lady Kermit after dwelling at the start and running green. She was not well fancied on the day at 10/1, unlike Lady Kermit who was 1/4 and with the benefit of a race under her belt. I fail to see how the RP has Mighty Spirit rate 9lb inferior to Lady Kermit and at 8/1 looks a better bet to me. Although, personally, I wouldn't touch the race as neither have run on turf
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Well, not too far out on that one
 
Ron said:
I suspect they feel she could be a good one and could be testing her out against decent opposition without giving her a hard race. Will be worth watching to see how she is ridden. If she has a sympathetic ride and is running on at the finish, could be one to back next time.
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Really impressed with the run of Galadriel, she took a while to get the hang of things but once she did she really rattled home. With that run under her belt I see no reason why she should not be a major player in the Queen Mary. for which I would have no qualms in backing her.
 
JH stand said:
Really impressed with the run of Galadriel, she took a while to get the hang of things but once she did she really rattled home. With that run under her belt I see no reason why she should not be a major player in the Queen Mary. for which I would have no qualms in backing her.
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Should get 6f, why not the Albany?
 
Well the race went to plan with Lady Kermit having the early pace. I thought she had forged enough of an advantage but she just didn't get home. The 2nd and 3rd were the highest rated in the race and original second favourite Fleeting Princess was a drifter and never got involved. She had looked bad value.

Galadriel ran well on debut but she was three lengths back in 4th place and that is a big chunk.

Good Vibes was one I mentioned after her debut as a good looking sprinting type. The trouble I had with her for today was that she got a tanking on that debut run. She floored an odds-on favourite on her second start but it was her earlier 5 length beating that made me have my doubts today. I am pleased with her win today though, because I had backed the horse who beat her that day, Chasing Dreams, for the Queen Mary at Royal Ascot. Good Vibes never really landed a glove on Chasing Dreams that day and trainer Charlie Appleby said his filly would come forward a lot from that debut run. I feel today's win was a huge boost for Chasing Dreams because that looked a near 100 performance from the winner today and that makes the Godolphin daughter of Starspangledbanner the one to beat at Royal Ascot for me.

Bookmakers were quick to cut Chasing Dreams for the Queen Mary to a general 4/1, so if she runs I'll be happy to have 12/1 on her for that race. Good Vibes is 10/1 for the Queen Mary, Mighty Spirit 16/1 and Galadriel 20/1. Short runner Lady Kermit was pushed out to 20/1 after today.
 
Reebok said:
It's all about the remarkable Stradivarius next. That's why I have backed Mildenburger <laugh> Ew of course.
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yes,could well improve for this step up in trip,at least e w.but i do think,ISPOLINI can be a major force in these cup races this season.had a great winter/spring in dubai,and ticks a lot of boxes today.big shout.
 
This must be Stradivarius's most difficult race, since he last ran in it. He's a wonderful stayer but a faster horse could do him today. Just can't think which horse it'll be!
 
Stradivarius has got guts in abundance. I managed to tip him up for a maiden as a 2YO and he was only 4th that day. I got a fair bit of stick about that one. Mind you the horse who won that maiden race was Cracksman. Decent run from Southern France but the rest were thrashed. I did Mildenberger in the Epsom handicap two runs back and was confident that day but he nearly fell coming out of the stalls. I feel Mark Johnston has been hasty in jumping him up to Group 2 races since AND going up from 10F to 12F and then 14F. Not sure that's good placing myself.
 
Reebok said:
It's all about the remarkable Stradivarius next. That's why I have backed Mildenburger <laugh> Ew of course.
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good choice,mate.

york,3 35:

GRANDEE looks very interesting here.he won a good listed race two years ago at leopardstown,and after a spell in the doldrums,found his form again last time out.has gone back in the ratings,but still on a decent mark..good chance..
 
jumpsfan said:
good choice,mate.

york,3 35:

GRANDEE looks very interesting here.he won a good listed race two years ago at leopardstown,and after a spell in the doldrums,found his form again last time out.has gone back in the ratings,but still on a decent mark..good chance..
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Four lots of penalties put pay to Grandee!!
 
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jumpsfan said:
good choice,mate.

york,3 35:

GRANDEE looks very interesting here.he won a good listed race two years ago at leopardstown,and after a spell in the doldrums,found his form again last time out.has gone back in the ratings,but still on a decent mark..good chance..
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I knew I was ****ed when I saw this

Lost at the start by dropping him in way too far back.
 
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Oh well, I thought UAE Prince was a short price but he squeaked home. Betting shops everywhere will have had people celebrating hard and shouting "Get in the f***ing good thing"

I didn't see the race but the race report seemed to suggest Grandee had plenty to do. Maybe he's worth another chance.
 
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