http://www.theguardian.com/technology/2014/apr/25/football-manager-predicts-how-the-season-will-end The computer says NO.
A tenner on Forest then? That's what's ridiculous about the play-off though, that a team a massive 14 points behind 3rd place could potentially reach the financially-rich Promised Land at their expense. But I guess this is the self same reason why it appeals to those that support it.