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Prediction League first 12 games/ 2nd 12 expected 3rd 12 expected final 10 of 2024 / 25

Discussion in 'Bristol City' started by realred1952, Aug 24, 2024.

  1. realred1952

    realred1952 Well-Known Member

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    Using my forcasting programme from previous years this its predictions for first 12 games it predicts 19pts

    HULL CITY [ A ] 1 pts ..... draw ... 1 - 1 = 1 point conceeded late
    MILLWALL [H ] 3 pts ..... won .... 4 - 3 = 3 pts from 2-0 to 3 -2 +2 late goals
    COVENTRY [H ] 3 pts ..... draw ... 1 - 1 = 1 pt Kasey P equalizer!
    DERBY CTY [A ] 3 pts
    BLKBURN [ A ] 1 pt
    OXFORD [ H ] 3 pts
    SWANSEA [A ] 0 pt
    SHEFF W [ H] 1 pt
    CARDIFF [H] 3 pts
    MIDDSBRO [A ] 0 pts
    STOKE [ A ] 1 pts
    LEEDS [ H ] 0 pts

    prediction 19 points
    ......................................... FIRST 12 games ..........second 12... games .. 3rd 12 games
    POINTS ACTUAL ...........................[5 from 9pts] .......[ 0 from ] ...............
    PROJECTED E of S ........................ [77/3] ................[ 0/ ] ....................
    TOP OF TABLE .............................. [134 / 3] ............ [ 0/ ] .....................
    6th PLACE .....................................[ 77 / 3] .............. [ 0/ ] ........................
     
    #1
    Last edited: Aug 25, 2024
  2. realred1952

    realred1952 Well-Known Member

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    HULL CITY [ A ] 1 pts ..... draw ... 1 - 1 = 1 point ............. conceeded late
    MILLWALL [H ] 3 pts ..... won .... 4 - 3 = 3 pts ............... from 2-0 to 3 -2 +2 late goals
    COVENTRY [H ] 3 pts ..... draw ... 1 - 1 = 1 pt .................. Kasey P equalizer!
    DERBY CTY [A ] 3 pts ..... lost .... 3 - 0 = 0 pt .................. just cr*p
    BLKBURN [ A ] 1 pt
    OXFORD [ H ] 3 pts
    SWANSEA [A ] 0 pt
    SHEFF W [ H] 1 pt
    CARDIFF [H] 3 pts
    MIDDSBRO [A ] 0 pts
    STOKE [ A ] 1 pts
    LEEDS [ H ] 0 pts

    prediction 19 points
    ......................................... FIRST 12 games ...............second 12... games .. 3rd 12 games
    POINTS ACTUAL ...........................[5 from 12pts] .......[ 0 from ] ...............
    PROJECTED E of S ........................ [58/4] ................[ 0/ ] ....................
    TOP OF TABLE .............................. [134 / 4] ............ [ 0/ ] .....................
    6th PLACE .....................................[ 80 / 4] .............. [ 0/ ] .......................
     
    #2
    Last edited: Sep 3, 2024
  3. realred1952

    realred1952 Well-Known Member

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    HULL CITY [ A ] 1 pts ..... draw ... 1 - 1 = 1 point ............. conceeded late
    MILLWALL [H ] 3 pts ..... won .... 4 - 3 = 3 pts ............... from 2-0 to 3 -2 +2 late goals
    COVENTRY [H ] 3 pts ..... draw ... 1 - 1 = 1 pt .................. Kasey P equalizer!
    DERBY CTY [A ] 3 pts ..... lost .... 3 - 0 = 0 pt .................. just cr*p
    BLKBURN [ A ] 1 pt ....... lost ... 3 - 0 = 0 pt .................. as above but worse!
    OXFORD [ H ] 3 pts
    SWANSEA [A ] 0 pt
    SHEFF W [ H] 1 pt
    CARDIFF [H] 3 pts
    MIDDSBRO [A ] 0 pts
    STOKE [ A ] 1 pts
    LEEDS [ H ] 0 pts

    prediction 19 points
    ......................................... FIRST 12 games ...............second 12... games .. 3rd 12 games
    POINTS ACTUAL ...........................[5 from 15pts] .......[ 0 from ] ...............
    PROJECTED E of S ........................ [46/4] ................[ 0/ ] ....................
    TOP OF TABLE .............................. [120 / 4] ............ [ 0/ ] .....................
    6th PLACE .....................................[ 83 / 4] .............. [ 0/ ] .......................
     
    #3
  4. realred1952

    realred1952 Well-Known Member

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    HULL CITY [ A ] 1 pts ..... draw ... 1 - 1 = 1 point ............. conceeded late
    MILLWALL [H ] 3 pts ..... won .... 4 - 3 = 3 pts ............... from 2-0 to 3 -2 +2 late goals
    COVENTRY [H ] 3 pts ..... draw ... 1 - 1 = 1 pt .................. Kasey P equalizer!
    DERBY CTY [A ] 3 pts ..... lost .... 3 - 0 = 0 pt .................. just cr*p
    BLKBURN [ A ] 1 pt ....... lost ... 3 - 0 = 0 pt .................. as above but worse!
    OXFORD [ H ] 3 pts ....... won .. 2 - 1 = 3pts .................. from 1 - 0 down Wells penalty played a bit more like it!
    SWANSEA [A ] 0 pt
    SHEFF W [ H] 1 pt
    CARDIFF [H] 3 pts
    MIDDSBRO [A ] 0 pts
    STOKE [ A ] 1 pts
    LEEDS [ H ] 0 pts

    prediction 19 points
    ......................................... FIRST 12 games ...............second 12... games .. 3rd 12 games
    POINTS ACTUAL ...........................[8 from 18pts] .......[ 0 from ] ...............
    PROJECTED E of S ........................ [74/6] ................[ 0/ ] ....................
    TOP OF TABLE .............................. [122 / 6] ............ [ 0/ ] .....................
    6th PLACE .....................................[ 84 / 6] .............. [ 0/ ] .......................
    STILL HAVE 18 POINTS TO PLAY FOR so need 10 more! 3H & 3A
     
    #4
  5. Angelicnumber16

    Angelicnumber16 Well-Known Member

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    We will do well to be on 14 points at this rate
     
    #5
  6. realred1952

    realred1952 Well-Known Member

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    realred1952Well-Known Member
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    HULL CITY [ A ] 1 pts ..... draw ... 1 - 1 = 1 point ............. conceeded late
    MILLWALL [H ] 3 pts ..... won .... 4 - 3 = 3 pts ............... from 2-0 to 3 -2 +2 late goals
    COVENTRY [H ] 3 pts ..... draw ... 1 - 1 = 1 pt .................. Kasey P equalizer!
    DERBY CTY [A ] 3 pts ..... lost .... 3 - 0 = 0 pt .................. just cr*p
    BLKBURN [ A ] 1 pt ....... lost ... 3 - 0 = 0 pt .................. as above but worse!
    OXFORD [ H ] 3 pts ....... won .. 2 - 1 = 3pts .................. from 1 - 0 down Wells penalty played a bit more like it!
    SWANSEA [A ] 0 pt
    SHEFF W [ H] 1 pt
    CARDIFF [H] 3 pts
    MIDDSBRO [A ] 0 pts
    STOKE [ A ] 1 pts
    LEEDS [ H ] 0 pts

    prediction 19 points
    ......................................... FIRST 12 games ...............second 12... games .. 3rd 12 games
    POINTS ACTUAL ...........................[8 from 18pts] .......[ 0 from ] ...............
    PROJECTED E of S ........................ [59/6] ................[ 0/ ] ....................
    TOP OF TABLE .............................. [105/ 7] ............ [ 0/ ] .....................
    6th PLACE .....................................[ 85 / 7] .............. [ 0/ ] .......................
    STILL HAVE 18 POINTS TO PLAY FOR so need 10 more! 3H & 3A

    we need to average 1.62 pts a game
     
    #6
    Last edited: Sep 30, 2024
  7. realred1952

    realred1952 Well-Known Member

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    HULL CITY [ A ] 1 pts ..... draw ... 1 - 1 = 1 point ............. conceeded late
    MILLWALL [H ] 3 pts ..... won .... 4 - 3 = 3 pts ............... from 2-0 to 3 -2 +2 late goals
    COVENTRY [H ] 3 pts ..... draw ... 1 - 1 = 1 pt .................. Kasey P equalizer!
    DERBY CTY [A ] 3 pts ..... lost .... 3 - 0 = 0 pt .................. just cr*p
    BLKBURN [ A ] 1 pt ....... lost ... 3 - 0 = 0 pt .................. as above but worse!
    OXFORD [ H ] 3 pts ....... won .. 2 - 1 = 3pts .................. from 1 - 0 down Wells penalty played a bit more like it!
    SWANSEA [A ] 0 pt ....... draw .. 1 - 1 = 1 pt ................. from 1 - 0 a better second half
    SHEFF W [ H] 1 pt
    CARDIFF [H] 3 pts
    MIDDSBRO [A ] 0 pts
    STOKE [ A ] 1 pts
    LEEDS [ H ] 0 pts

    prediction 19 points
    ......................................... FIRST 12 games ...............second 12... games .. 3rd 12 games
    POINTS ACTUAL ...........................[9 from 21 pts] .......[ 0 from ] ...............
    PROJECTED E of S ........................ [59/7] ................[ 0/ ] ....................
    TOP OF TABLE .............................. [103/ 8] ............ [ 0/ ] .....................
    6th PLACE .....................................[ 85 / 7] .............. [ 0/ ] .......................
    STILL HAVE 18 POINTS TO PLAY FOR so need 10 more! 3H & 3A

    we need to average 1.62 pts a game
     
    #7
    Last edited: Oct 2, 2024
  8. realred1952

    realred1952 Well-Known Member

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    HULL CITY [ A ] 1 pts ..... draw ... 1 - 1 = 1 point ............. conceeded late
    MILLWALL [H ] 3 pts ..... won .... 4 - 3 = 3 pts ............... from 2-0 to 3 -2 +2 late goals
    COVENTRY [H ] 3 pts ..... draw ... 1 - 1 = 1 pt .................. Kasey P equalizer!
    DERBY CTY [A ] 3 pts ..... lost .... 3 - 0 = 0 pt .................. just cr*p
    BLKBURN [ A ] 1 pt ....... lost ... 3 - 0 = 0 pt .................. as above but worse!
    OXFORD [ H ] 3 pts ....... won .. 2 - 1 = 3pts .................. from 1 - 0 down Wells penalty played a bit more like it!
    SWANSEA [A ] 0 pt ....... draw .. 1 - 1 = 1 pt ................. from 1 - 0 a better second half
    SHEFF W [ H] 1 pt ....... draw . 0-0 = 1 pt ................. end to end we most had posession
    CARDIFF [H] 3 pts
    MIDDSBRO [A ] 0 pts
    STOKE [ A ] 1 pts
    LEEDS [ H ] 0 pts

    prediction 19 points
    ......................................... FIRST 12 games ...............second 12... games .. 3rd 12 games
    POINTS ACTUAL ...........................[10 from 24pts] .......[ 0 from ] ...............
    PROJECTED E of S ........................ [57/8] ................[ 0/ ] ....................
    TOP OF TABLE .............................. [103/ 8] ............ [ 0/ ] .....................
    6th PLACE .....................................[ 86/8 ] .............. [ 0/ ] .......................
    STILL HAVE 18 POINTS TO PLAY FOR so need 10 more! 3H & 3A

    we need to average 1.62 pts a game
     
    #8
  9. realred1952

    realred1952 Well-Known Member

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    HULL CITY [ A ] 1 pts ..... draw ... 1 - 1 = 1 point ............. conceeded late
    MILLWALL [H ] 3 pts ..... won .... 4 - 3 = 3 pts ............... from 2-0 to 3 -2 +2 late goals
    COVENTRY [H ] 3 pts ..... draw ... 1 - 1 = 1 pt .................. Kasey P equalizer!
    DERBY CTY [A ] 3 pts ..... lost .... 3 - 0 = 0 pt .................. just cr*p
    BLKBURN [ A ] 1 pt ....... lost ... 3 - 0 = 0 pt .................. as above but worse!
    OXFORD [ H ] 3 pts ....... won .. 2 - 1 = 3pts .................. from 1 - 0 down Wells penalty played a bit more like it!
    SWANSEA [A ] 0 pt ....... draw .. 1 - 1 = 1 pt ................. from 1 - 0 a better second half
    SHEFF W [ H] 1 pt ....... draw . 0-0 = 1 pt ................... end to end we most had possession
    CARDIFF [H] 3 pts ..... draw ... 1 - 1 = 1pt ............. equaliser
    MIDDSBRO [A ] 0 pts
    STOKE [ A ] 1 pts
    LEEDS [ H ] 0 pts

    prediction 19 points
    ......................................... FIRST 12 games ...............second 12... games .. 3rd 12 games
    POINTS ACTUAL ...........................[11 from 27pts] .......[ 0 from ] ...............
    PROJECTED E of S ........................ [56/9] ................[ 0/ ] ....................
    TOP OF TABLE .............................. [97/ 9] ............ [ 0/ ] .....................
    6th PLACE .....................................[ 82/9 ] .............. [ 0/ ] .......................
    STILL HAVE 18 POINTS TO PLAY FOR so need 10 more! 1H & 2A

    we need to average 1.91 pts a game to make 6th!

    for comparison last season, [ after 9 ] we cant equal the first 10 4 short with 1 game to play. BUT look at the projections for the other 3 categories


    ......................................... FIRST 10 games ..........second 10... games .. 3rd 10 games
    POINTS ACTUAL ...........................[12from 27] .......[ 0 from 3] ...............
    PROJECTED E of S ........................ [61/9] ................[ 0/10 ] ....................
    TOP OF TABLE .............................. [122/ 9] ............ [ 0/10 ] .....................
    6th PLACE .....................................[82/ 9] .............. [ 0/10 ] ........................ Cardiff were 6th!!
     
    #9
    Last edited: Oct 6, 2024
  10. Red Robin

    Red Robin Well-Known Member

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    Drawing to bottom of the league, great stuff! All I’m going to say is 14 wins in 45 games
     
    #10

  11. realred1952

    realred1952 Well-Known Member

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    HULL CITY [ A ] 1 pts ..... draw ... 1 - 1 = 1 point ............. conceeded late
    MILLWALL [H ] 3 pts ..... won .... 4 - 3 = 3 pts ............... from 2-0 to 3 -2 +2 late goals
    COVENTRY [H ] 3 pts ..... draw ... 1 - 1 = 1 pt .................. Kasey P equalizer!
    DERBY CTY [A ] 3 pts ..... lost .... 3 - 0 = 0 pt .................. just cr*p
    BLKBURN [ A ] 1 pt ....... lost ... 3 - 0 = 0 pt .................. as above but worse!
    OXFORD [ H ] 3 pts ....... won .. 2 - 1 = 3pts .................. from 1 - 0 down Wells penalty played a bit more like it!
    SWANSEA [A ] 0 pt ....... draw .. 1 - 1 = 1 pt ................. from 1 - 0 a better second half
    SHEFF W [ H] 1 pt ......... draw . 0-0 = 1 pt ................... end to end we most had possession
    CARDIFF [H] 3 pts ....... draw ... 1 - 1 = 1pt ............. equaliser
    MIDDSBRO [A ] 0 pts .. won .... 0 - 2 = 3pt ........... done that before when stand in manager!
    STOKE [ A ] 1 pts ......... draw .. 2-2 = 1 pt ............ 2 goal Nakhi from 2-0 down at HT
    LEEDS [ H ] 0 pts ....... draw .....0 - 0 = 1 pt ...............dogged performance

    prediction 19 points
    ......................................... FIRST 12 games ...............second 12... games .. 3rd 12 games
    POINTS ACTUAL ...........................[16 from 36 pts] .......[ 0 from ] ...............
    PROJECTED E of S ........................ [61/12] ................[ 0/ ] ....................
    TOP OF TABLE .............................. [107/ 12] ............ [ 0/ ] .....................
    6th PLACE ..................................... ..[ 73/12] .............. [ 0/ ] .......................
    FELL SHORT BY 3 POINTS .BASICALLY ....... JUST 1 OF THE DRAWS WITH 1 MORE GOAL WOULD HAVE BEEN ACCEPTABLE FORCASTING ===== 5 CORRECT!
     
    #11
  12. realred1952

    realred1952 Well-Known Member

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    THIS SECOND 12 looks rather tougher than the first 12 19 points were expected managed 16!
    This time it is expected is 18 points

    P N E [ A ] ........ 3 pts
    SHEFF UTD [ H ] 0 pt
    NORWICH [ A ] .. 0pts
    BURNLEY [H ] .... 0 pt
    WATFORD [ A ] ....1 pt
    PLYMOUTH [H] ....3 pts
    PORTSMTH [A ] .....3 pts
    Q P R [ H ] ............3 pts
    W B A [ A ] ...........0 pts
    LUTON [H] .............1 pt
    PORTSMTH [H ] ...3 pts
    PLYMOUTH [ A ] ...1 pts

    points after 12 games = 16 from 3 - 7 - 2 losses

    ......................................... FIRST 12 games ...............second 12... games .. 3rd 12 games
    POINTS ACTUAL .................[16 from 36 pts] ..........[ 0 from 3 ] ...............
    PROJECTED E of S .............. [61/12] .........................[ 0/ 13 ] ....................
    TOP OF TABLE .................. [107/ 12] ....................... [ 0/ 13 ] .....................
    6th PLACE ......................... ..[ 73/12] ........................ [ 0/ 13 ] .......................
     
    #12
  13. realred1952

    realred1952 Well-Known Member

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    P N E [ A ] ........ 3 pts ............ won ... 1 - 3 fg 6 mins 3rd goal 81 minutes both killer timings!
    SHEFF UTD [ H ] 0 pt ........... lost .... 1 - 2 last kick of the game
    NORWICH [ A ] .. 0pts .......... won ..... 0 - 2 goal in each half
    BURNLEY [H ] .... 0 pt
    WATFORD [ A ] ....1 pt
    PLYMOUTH [H] ....3 pts
    PORTSMTH [A ] .....3 pts
    Q P R [ H ] ............3 pts
    W B A [ A ] ...........0 pts
    LUTON [H] .............1 pt
    PORTSMTH [H ] ...3 pts
    PLYMOUTH [ A ] ...1 pts

    18 pts expected

    points after 12 games = 16 from 3 - 7 - 2 losses

    ......................................... FIRST 12 games ...............second 12... games .. 3rd 12 games
    POINTS ACTUAL .................[16 from 36 pts] ..........[ 6 from 9] ...............
    PROJECTED E of S .............. [61/12] .........................[ 67/ 15 ] ....................
    TOP OF TABLE .................. [107/ 12] ....................... [ 95/ 15 ] .....................
    6th PLACE ......................... ..[ 73/12] ........................ [ 75/ 15 ] .......................

    A good start to next [ second ] 1/4 of season

    lowest predicted points total at this early in season for top team!
     
    #13
    Last edited: Nov 10, 2024
  14. realred1952

    realred1952 Well-Known Member

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    P N E [ A ] ........ 3 pts ............ won ... 1 - 3 fg 6 mins 3rd goal 81 minutes both killer timings!
    SHEFF UTD [ H ] 0 pt ........... lost .... 1 - 2 last kick of the game
    NORWICH [ A ] .. 0pts .......... won ..... 0 - 2 goal in each half
    BURNLEY [H ] .... 0 pt ......... lost ..... 0 - 1 unable to overcome first goal
    WATFORD [ A ] ....1 pt ......... lost ...... 1 - 0 same as above were on top by miles didnt score they did
    PLYMOUTH [H] ....3 pts
    PORTSMTH [A ] .....3 pts
    Q P R [ H ] ............3 pts
    W B A [ A ] ...........0 pts
    LUTON [H] .............1 pt
    PORTSMTH [H ] ...3 pts
    PLYMOUTH [ A ] ...1 pts

    18 pts expected

    points after 12 games = 16 from 3 - 7 - 2 losses

    ......................................... FIRST 12 games ...............second 12... games .. 3rd 12 games
    POINTS ACTUAL .................[16 from 36 pts] ..........[ 6 from 15] ...............
    PROJECTED E of S .............. [61/12] .........................[ 59/ 17 ] ....................
    TOP OF TABLE .................. [107/ 12] ....................... [ 95/ 17 ] .....................
    6th PLACE ......................... ..[ 73/12] ........................ [ 73/ 17 ] .......................

    A good start to next [ second ] 1/4 of season

    lowest predicted points total at this early in season for top team! repeated message lowest again
     
    #14
  15. realred1952

    realred1952 Well-Known Member

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    P N E [ A ] ........ 3 pts ............ won ... 1 - 3 fg 6 mins 3rd goal 81 minutes both killer timings!
    SHEFF UTD [ H ] 0 pt ........... lost .... 1 - 2 last kick of the game
    NORWICH [ A ] .. 0pts .......... won ..... 0 - 2 goal in each half
    BURNLEY [H ] .... 0 pt ......... lost ..... 0 - 1 unable to overcome first goal
    WATFORD [ A ] ....1 pt ......... lost ...... 1 - 0 same as above were on top by miles didnt score they did
    PLYMOUTH [H] ....3 pts .... won ..... 4 - 0 at ht 0-0 then 3 goals in 10min and Armstrong gets 4th
    PORTSMTH [A ] .....3 pts
    Q P R [ H ] ............3 pts
    W B A [ A ] ...........0 pts
    LUTON [H] .............1 pt
    PORTSMTH [H ] ...3 pts
    PLYMOUTH [ A ] ...1 pts

    18 pts expected

    points after 12 games = 16 from 3 - 7 - 2 losses

    ......................................... FIRST 12 games ...............second 12... games .. 3rd 12 games
    POINTS ACTUAL .................[16 from 36 pts] ..........[ 9 from 18 pts] ...............
    PROJECTED E of S .............. [61/12] .........................[ 64/ 18 ] ....................
    TOP OF TABLE .................. [107/ 12] ....................... [ 97/ 18 ] .....................
    6th PLACE ......................... ..[ 73/12] ........................ [ 77/ 18 ] .......................

    A good start to next [ second ] 1/4 of season
    won 3 lost 3 half the points req: in 2nd 12 games

    lowest predicted points total at this early in season for top team! repeated message lowest again
     
    #15
    Last edited: Dec 8, 2024
  16. realred1952

    realred1952 Well-Known Member

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    P N E [ A ] ........ 3 pts ............ won ... 1 - 3 fg 6 mins 3rd goal 81 minutes both killer timings!
    SHEFF UTD [ H ] 0 pt ........... lost .... 1 - 2 last kick of the game
    NORWICH [ A ] .. 0pts .......... won ..... 0 - 2 goal in each half
    BURNLEY [H ] .... 0 pt ......... lost ..... 0 - 1 unable to overcome first goal
    WATFORD [ A ] ....1 pt ......... lost ...... 1 - 0 same as above were on top by miles didnt score they did
    PLYMOUTH [H] ....3 pts .... won ..... 4 - 0 at ht 0-0 then 3 goals in 10min and Armstrong gets 4th
    PORTSMTH [A ] .....3 pts .... lost ....... 3 - 0 a pi$$ poor disaster a windy game game but no excuse
    SUNDERLAND [A ].. 1pt .... drew .... 1 - 1 threw away in last minute of game
    Q P R [ H ] ............3 pts
    W B A [ A ] ...........0 pts
    LUTON [H] .............1 pt
    PORTSMTH [H ] ...3 pts


    PLYMOUTH [ A ] ...1 pts

    18 pts expected

    points after 12 games = 16 from 3 - 7 - 2 losses

    ......................................... FIRST 12 games ...............second 12... games .. 3rd 12 games
    POINTS ACTUAL .................[16 from 36 pts] ..........[ 10 from 24 pts] ...............
    PROJECTED E of S .............. [61/12] .........................[ 60/ 20 ] ....................
    TOP OF TABLE .................. [107/ 12] ....................... [ 97/ 20 ] .....................
    6th PLACE ......................... ..[ 73/12] ........................ [ 74/ 20 ] .......................
     
    #16
    Last edited: Dec 11, 2024
  17. realred1952

    realred1952 Well-Known Member

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    P N E [ A ] ........ 3 pts ............ won ... 1 - 3 fg 6 mins 3rd goal 81 minutes both killer timings!
    SHEFF UTD [ H ] 0 pt ........... lost .... 1 - 2 last kick of the game
    NORWICH [ A ] .. 0pts .......... won ..... 0 - 2 goal in each half
    BURNLEY [H ] .... 0 pt ......... lost ..... 0 - 1 unable to overcome first goal
    WATFORD [ A ] ....1 pt ......... lost ...... 1 - 0 same as above were on top by miles didnt score they did
    PLYMOUTH [H] ....3 pts .... won ..... 4 - 0 at ht 0-0 then 3 goals in 10min and Armstrong gets 4th
    PORTSMTH [A ] .....3 pts .... lost ....... 3 - 0 a pi$$ poor disaster a windy game game but no excuse
    SUNDERLAND [A ].. 1pt .... drew .... 1 - 1 threw away in last minute of game
    Q P R [ H ] ............3 pts ..... drew ... 1 - 1 threw away a lead again
    W B A [ A ] ...........0 pts
    LUTON [H] .............1 pt
    PORTSMTH [H ] ...3 pts


    PLYMOUTH [ A ] ...1 pts

    18 pts expected

    points after 12 games = 16 from 3 - 7 - 2 losses

    ......................................... FIRST 12 games ...............second 12... games .. 3rd 12 games
    POINTS ACTUAL .................[16 from 36 pts] ..........[ 11 from 27 pts] ...............
    PROJECTED E of S .............. [61/12] .........................[ 59/ 21 ] ....................
    TOP OF TABLE .................. [107/ 12] ....................... [ 99/ 21 ] .....................
    6th PLACE ......................... ..[ 73/12] ........................ [ 74/ 21 ] .......................

    lost at least 6 points on last minute errors
     
    #17
  18. realred1952

    realred1952 Well-Known Member

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    P N E [ A ] ........ 3 pts ............ won ... 1 - 3 fg 6 mins 3rd goal 81 minutes both killer timings!
    SHEFF UTD [ H ] 0 pt ........... lost .... 1 - 2 last kick of the game
    NORWICH [ A ] .. 0pts .......... won ..... 0 - 2 goal in each half
    BURNLEY [H ] .... 0 pt ......... lost ..... 0 - 1 unable to overcome first goal
    WATFORD [ A ] ....1 pt ......... lost ...... 1 - 0 same as above were on top by miles didnt score they did
    PLYMOUTH [H] ....3 pts .... won ..... 4 - 0 at ht 0-0 then 3 goals in 10min and Armstrong gets 4th
    PORTSMTH [A ] .....3 pts .... lost ....... 3 - 0 a pi$$ poor disaster a windy game game but no excuse
    SUNDERLAND [A ].. 1pt .... drew .... 1 - 1 threw away in last minute of game
    Q P R [ H ] ............3 pts ..... drew ... 1 - 1 threw away a lead again
    W B A [ A ] ...........0 pts .......lost ... 2 - o out played and lost the gel
    LUTON [H] .............1 pt .... won ... 1 - 0 took lead 2 mins into 2nd half Twine cracker
    PORTSMTH [H ] ...3 pts .... won ... 3 - 0 took early lead and could have beenat least more than 3-0 at HT


    PLYMOUTH [ A ] ...1 pts

    18 pts expected BUT ONLY GOT 17pts........

    points after 12 games = 16 from 3 - 7 - 2 losses

    ......................................... FIRST 12 games ...............second 12... games .. 3rd 12 games
    POINTS ACTUAL .................[16 from 36 pts] ..........[ 17 from 36pts] ...............
    PROJECTED E of S .............. [61/12] .........................[ 63/ 24] ....................
    TOP OF TABLE .................. [107/ 12] ....................... [ 98/ 24 ] .....................
    6th PLACE ......................... ..[ 73/12] ........................ [ 71/ 24 ] .......................

    lost at least 8 points on last minute errors
     
    #18
  19. realred1952

    realred1952 Well-Known Member

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    PLYMOUTH [ A ] .......1 pts ...... drew ..... 2 - 2 under the cosh absorbed pressure 1 - 2 up till et minutes
    DERBY [ H ]............ 3pts
    COVENTRY [A ] ...... 0pts
    SHEFF WED [ A ] .... 1 pt
    BLACKBURN [ H ] ....1 pt
    OXFORD [A ] ............ 3pts
    SWANSEA [H ] .......... 3 pts
    STOKE ..... [H ] ......... 1 pt
    CARDIFF .. [ A ] ........ 1 pt
    MIDDSBRO [ H ] ....... 0 pt
    MILLWALL [A ] ........ 1pt
    HULL CITY [ H ] ....... 3pts

    18 pts expected but only 2 losses predicted has to be easiest 12 game run?

    points after 12 games = 16 from 3 - 7 - 2 losses
    points after 24 games = 33 from 5 - 2 - 5 losses

    .................................... FIRST 12 games ........second 12. games .. 3rd 12 games
    POINTS ACTUAL ..........[16 from 36 pts] ....[ 17 from 36pts] ........ [1 from 3pts]
    PROJECTED E of S ..... [61/12] ...................[ 63/ 24] ....................[ 63/25 ]
    TOP OF TABLE ........... [107/ 12] ................ [ 98/ 24 ] ..................[ 96/25 ]
    6th PLACE .....................[ 73/12] ................. [ 71/ 24 ] ...................[ 72/25 ]

    note forcasts from my pre season predictor!
     
    #19
    Last edited: Jan 1, 2025
  20. realred1952

    realred1952 Well-Known Member

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    PLYMOUTH [ A ] .......1 pts ...... drew ..... 2 - 2 under the cosh absorbed pressure 1 - 2 up till et minutes
    DERBY [ H ].............. 3pts ..... won ..... 1 - 0 early goal scrappy game think Mayulu needs part of a 2 striker front! maybe 3-4-1-2
    COVENTRY [A ] ...... 0pts
    SHEFF WED [ A ] .... 1 pt
    BLACKBURN [ H ] ....1 pt
    OXFORD [A ] ............ 3pts
    SWANSEA [H ] .......... 3 pts
    STOKE ..... [H ] ......... 1 pt
    CARDIFF .. [ A ] ........ 1 pt
    MIDDSBRO [ H ] ....... 0 pt
    MILLWALL [A ] ........ 1pt
    HULL CITY [ H ] ....... 3pts

    18 pts expected but only 2 losses predicted has to be easiest 12 game run?

    points after 12 games = 16 from 3 - 7 - 2 losses
    points after 24 games = 33 from 5 - 2 - 5 losses

    .................................... FIRST 12 games ........second 12. games .. 3rd 12 games
    POINTS ACTUAL ..........[16 from 36 pts] ....[ 17 from 36pts] ........ [4 from 6pts]
    PROJECTED E of S ..... [61/12] ...................[ 63/ 24] ....................[ 65/26 ]
    TOP OF TABLE ........... [107/ 12] ................ [ 98/ 24 ] ..................[ 94/26 ]
    6th PLACE .....................[ 73/12] ................. [ 71/ 24 ] ...................[ 72/26 ]

    we need to average 1.75 points per game to get to 72 points currently on 1.43
    Sunderland on 1.93 means could be 81 at season end!
    Blackburn on 72 pts

    note forcasts from my pre season predictor!
     
    #20

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