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Daily Thread: Wednesday October 26

Discussion in 'Horse Racing' started by ROTO, Oct 25, 2011.

  1. ROTO

    ROTO Well-Known Member

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    I really fancy 3.40 Nottingham Chapter and Verse 9/1 tomorrow. I'm more than convinced he's capable of being an easy winner of this mark in the near future. He was a very unlucky 3rd 2 starts back when meeting trouble but still finished 1.5L behind the winner. LTO Chapter and Verse again met trouble, which unfortunately seems to be a common occurrence for this grey gelding. If getting a clear run on ideal Good to Firm ground from a fine draw than I think Chapter and Verse could make an absolute mockery of this price tomorrow.

    I also have been waiting a long time for 5.30 Punchestown Burn and Turn FC 2/1 to run again after she absolutely destroyed a strong bumper field over C+D back in May by 9L. She was one of the most eye catching bumper runners of the season and I think she has a bright future ahead of her. Although she seemed to excel on ground slightly better than what is expected tomorrow, she has put in good efforts on heavy ground so I don't think it will be too much of a concern. If 2/1 is on offer tomorrow I will be all over it as I think Burn and Turn could absolutely annihilate the field tomorrow after a 5 month break
     
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  2. Bluesky9

    Bluesky9 Philosopher

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    I was just about to start a thread but Roto has already started the daily thread so will put it here. I was told that Rockweiler in the 5.15 Nottingham is expected to run well tomorrow, it's 10-1 early show but hardly any with odds. I am told that they are amazed that it has not got it's head in front yet this season, but hope today it will as it has fallen down the handicap to a decent mark. I am very reluctant to bet at the moment and this is an amatuers race as well which puts me right off but will have to have a bet. This is the worst time of the year to bet in my opinion as the flat winds down with lots of maidens with trainers getting a run into the horse and others gone over for the season, whilst on the jumps all fitness is taken on trust. It is for that reason i am rarely betting except for a fun play at the weekend. Good luck if anyone fancies a little play on it as well, i wont be going mad though on a class 6 amatuer race i can tell you, i will most likely go each way if it opens at that sort of price when the main bookies price it up.
     
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  3. TopClass

    TopClass Well-Known Member

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    Haha as soon as I saw tomorrows racing I knew you'd be on Chapter and Verse ROTO- I'll be on too, best of luck! :)

    Others I like tomorrow include:

    2.00 Nottingham Simple Jim 13/2-Cannot believe this horse has not gained a win in 2011. 8lb below last winning mark now, conditions fine and has proven stamina. Hopefully De Sousa can settle him in a good position, preferable around 3rd or 4th and then let him have the chance to outstay them. Some cracking efforts this year and off a mark of 54 I hope he can get his head in front at last.

    Bravestofthebrave 4/1 (NB) This is a maiden which should not take much winning, and the standard setters look a little exposed. John Gosden's Bravestoftherave represents a yard that does well in these sorts of maidens and is the full brother to the decent Elusive Award (rated 86) and winner first two career starts.

    5.05 Haydock- Texas Holdem 12/1 Surely this horse is overpriced given its form since last November-254313B3. Those form figures have been in class 3 and 4 events and clearly the horse is up to this level. Was in the proces of running a big race off a mark of 116 when brought down. Obviously vulnerable to unexposed types as a 12 year old, but is very consistent and should offer e/w value.

    7.35 KemptonJack of Diamonds (NAP)-Very well backed to win a big field conditions class 2 event at Ascot, Buick was booked and it came with a cracking run late but was never on terms. Clearly is thought to possess a bit of ability and the loong Kempton straight should give him ample opportunity to run on late. I thought was very interesting at the prices and will be backed into a little shorter.
     
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  4. NassauBoard

    NassauBoard Well-Known Member

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    Morning all,

    Good deed already done for the day!!

    Basically I paid a small amount to allow a young lady to use the bus this morning, she was rather embarrassed with not having enough money on her to pay (on a side note - bus fares are ludacrous). She was very polite afterwards and we got chatting a little, anyway enough of the good samaritan.

    The point is I think I am due a little bit of good fortune -

    4.25

    Free Zone

    Bryan Smart has had another productive year with 70 winners, group successes and all from a string of around 75 horses. He is a talented trainer who is also very shrewd (not in the Tabak notion of shrewd).
    Free Zone won his penultimate start on similar ground to today and I think he is still open to a world of improvement. He found it all a little too much in the listed heat last time out, when he was drawn badly and never really was given much of a chance, and I think we can draw a line through that effort.

    I just hope Busy Bimbo doesn't beat it!! <laugh>
     
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  5. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    Well done Nass. Did you tell her you were from Not 606?
     
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  6. heisenburg

    heisenburg Well-Known Member

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    kings grey
    eyre square
    burn and turn
    free zone (well done nass, thats whats missing from our society these days)

    lucky 15

    also Border Reiver EW at Haydock, if you got the text you know why !!!


    Stay Frosty
     
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  7. NassauBoard

    NassauBoard Well-Known Member

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    Ron, hate to say it but Not606 didn't come into the conversation <laugh>

    Whilst on about buses, not sure if any of you follow me on twitter (Nassauboard) but I have been doing a bit of social commentary in regards bus journeys. Anyhow, we often get the same regulars on the old bus, and one always puts a newspaper under her backside when she gets on the bus. One of the old 606ers suggests its an age old cure for travel sickness, but I don't buy it.

    Anyone have any theories as to what she is doing? and do you agree with the travel sickness story?
     
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  8. Dexter

    Dexter Well-Known Member

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    I have heard the paper travel sickness remedy before.It's not confined to the UK either.

    Spanish parents use brown paper for their kids to sit on long car journeys if they have a propensity to chunder.
     
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  9. redcgull

    redcgull Well-Known Member

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    Nass - Sounds like a the old girl is losing her marbles pal... Or she has a ocd thing about sitting down on things that arnt clean... Or the old 606'er is pulling your leg...!!!

    Anyway that is damn decent of you Nass... Well done... <ok>

    So on to todays runners and riders, and although im toying with the idea of going to Haydock today, im to busy so i will wait for another time. But i fancy a couple running there so...

    Haydock...
    4.00 - Calypso Bay, 11/2
    4.35 - Bhaltair, 6/1

    Singles and a e/w double... Good luck to all who play today... <ok>
     
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  10. Dexter

    Dexter Well-Known Member

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    My mother used to tape my belly button.
     
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  11. the don

    the don Well-Known Member

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    Morning all, hope all is well.

    Back from NZ, what an experience that was. The celebrations on Sunday night where quite incredible. Once in a lifetime moment.

    Not been following the horses while i was away but I was very keen on Texas Holdem at the price so a shame to find its a NR today.

    Whats the deal with Border Reiver Danbo mate?
     
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  12. Sir Barney Chuckles

    Sir Barney Chuckles Who Dares Wins

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    Afternoon, people. The flat racing has that 'end of term' look to it today so I am leaving well alone. The jumps cards though are far better and I will nominate one making its bow in this sphere:

    Ishikawa (2.20 Haydock) - My regular readers will fondly recall me tipping this one to win on the level back in May and I think he can go in again this time over timber. As well as winning that heat at Wolverhampton Ishikawa also ran respectably to be placed in his other 4 races on the flat over the spring/summer. Now he is given the opportunity to do the job that he was bought for and you can guarantee that he will have be well prepared by his top jumping stable. Quotes of 12/1 appear on the large side to my eye and he looks a fair each-way proposition. Let's hope that he 'brings the bounty back to the county'.

    Meanwhile Nass, as Dexter says, that 'newspaper on seat' thing is most deffo a supposed travel sickness remedy. In my younger days I used to be a sufferer now and then and have heard this alledged 'cure' mooted on several occasions. It's almost certainly an 'old wives tale' with no medical support whatsoever but if someone believes it works for them I guess they will stick with it.

    Good luck one and all.
     
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  13. Ardent1965

    Ardent1965 Well-Known Member

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    Hi Guys, i'm going in for a bit more that normal today on PIPPA GREENE in the 3.25 Haydock about 7/4 which for me is far too big and i'm not a short price backer normally. Perpetually didnt look a straight forward ride to me in a slowish run race the last time... on and off the bridle so i'd be interested to see if that ones temperament improves. PIPPA should win comfortably and i'm hoping for a strong pace home reports are excellent. Good luck to everyone today.
     
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  14. Sir Barney Chuckles

    Sir Barney Chuckles Who Dares Wins

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    Tomorrow evenings card at Kempton Park is much, much more eyecatching than normal. Popular, what a lovely name for a filly by the way, a full sister to Midday makes her racecourse bow. Meanwhile, I can&#8217;t believe that in the opener my old fave, Oldjoesaid, is dropped into claiming, I say claiming, company. Bet there will be huge interest in him after the race.
     
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  15. NassauBoard

    NassauBoard Well-Known Member

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    Interesting stuff in regards the newspaper. Is it wrong that I judged the lady by the fact she was reading one of the influential broadsheets (She for reference is now thought of a weird hippy lefty commy lady) which stood her out as being of alternate thinking
     
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  16. GDC

    GDC Active Member

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    Nass: What a good chap you are :smiley:

    Back from Tenerife but feel like I need a holiday to recover, the cerveza was rather nice <cheers>

    I will apologise to ROTO in advance as i am also keen on Chapter and Verse after his run behind Boogie Shoes who disappointed on Derby Day!

    Despite Danbo being keen on Eyre Square i like the look of Shake the Barley EW at 16s.

    Be lucky all
     
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  17. rainbowview

    rainbowview Well-Known Member

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    Afternoon all

    like the look of these 3 at Punchestown today

    MAKE A TRACK 3.55 5/2

    BEEF TO THE HEELS 4.30 6/1

    SUPREME CAROLINA 5.30 7/2


    After Prospect Wells win yesterday I have backed him at 20s with some of the winnings for the SN making him the first Ante Post bet for Cheltenham. He was very impressive and I look forward to seeing him up in class. Have a good day all - back to work for me now :emoticon-0106-cryin
     
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  18. NassauBoard

    NassauBoard Well-Known Member

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    milk no sugars RV.


    He is a good lad
     
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  19. SwanHills

    SwanHills Well-Known Member

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    Nass: Like the broadsheet bit. Careful, I have the feeling she is one of the notorious Cyclonic's double-agents?..................<yikes>

    (P.S. Did she ask you for a tip?).
     
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  20. NassauBoard

    NassauBoard Well-Known Member

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    Swanny, no she didn't. She might be a bit mental but she isn't that stupid.
     
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