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Daily Thread- Tuesday 13th September

Discussion in 'Horse Racing' started by TopClass, Sep 12, 2011.

  1. TopClass

    TopClass Well-Known Member

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    After a frankly dreadful day on Monday, with a hurricane at Muss, and a couple of Kempton losers amongst a non-runner, maybe there is a value shout to be had on Tuesday.

    4.00 Haydock- CAPE TO RIO 12/1 (NAP)

    FINALLY we get to see an experiment with this horse up in trip. There has definitely been evidence to suggest a try at 7f might be what the horse is crying out for, having made late headway LTO, and twice in succession when in handicaps at Newmarket and Newbury in May. The Hannon stable have returned to form with a bang this last week and at 12/1 you have to say this looks worth a try with the chace that 7f could return this horse to its top juvenile form.

    I also think that this horse will really appreciate the soft underfoot conditions and has performed well on the twice he was given the opprtunity, winning one a shade cosily in a maiden.


    It's a good conditions race but it does look very open, and this looks a good value chance if the step up in trip suits as I would hope it to.




    2.40 Yarmouth- EX ORIENTE 6/1

    This is a tough selection for me because it is one where I'm not going on the form achieved so far. It strikes me as a horse that has been learning gradually and the extra furlong will definitely see it in a better light on nursery debut.

    It has been very strong in the betting all 2 starts (Fav twice and 2nd fav once) but has disappointed.

    However, it may well have therefore been let in lightly off a mark of 74, and with the main rivals conceding weight to him, he looks a good bet and the Gosden first string, being the choice of William Buick.
     
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  2. GDC

    GDC Active Member

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    Many many thanks for all the very kind words expressed yesterday and last night for the young lad from my Football Team. Very nice indeed

    <ok><cheers>
     
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  3. NassauBoard

    NassauBoard Well-Known Member

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    Gaz, just caught up with yesterdays thread. Some nice people around here it seems.

    Hope his oppo goes well.

    Nothing for me today, but I like the Varian runner in the conditions race.
     
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  4. GDC

    GDC Active Member

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    Nass: Very nice indeed <ok> great ride from young Buick Staurday :biggrin:

    Hope Mr Gosden completes a superb year in the Arc with Nathaniel too <somersault>
     
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  5. NassauBoard

    NassauBoard Well-Known Member

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    i would be very shocked if he did. To me the Arc isn't looking too hard to win at the mo
     
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  6. GDC

    GDC Active Member

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    Nass: You know your lower league footy well, i think i have found a peach of a bet at 6/4 tonight. Morecombe to beat Macclesfield, any views mate?

    Rotherham to stick it all over Accy too looks nice price. <cheers>
     
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  7. NassauBoard

    NassauBoard Well-Known Member

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    Morecambe are three wins on the bounce away from home and only conceded 1 goal away too. I think they are riding a wave at the moment and that price looks too big, whilst Macc are 1,1,1 at home and also have only conceded 1 in those games. I wouldn't expect masses of goals but I think you are about right with the bet.

    Rotherham concede too many for my liking and Accy can beat them today, I would rather swerve them tonight.

    I think we are a good bet at home tonight, but I may just swerve us again!
     
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  8. Sir Barney Chuckles

    Sir Barney Chuckles Who Dares Wins

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    Hello, all. Nothing for yours truly today as the action looks on the mediocre side of mediocre and I can see nothing of interest.

    But, quick question. Why on earth, I say why on earth, is Steel City Boy running in the 4.40 at old Yarmouth?!? He is so badly in at the weights it defies logic. The gelding is upwards of 38 pounds &#8216;wrong&#8217;, based on official ratings, when compared to everything else in this conditions heat. Unless Yarmouth are paying appearance money this is a Bonkers entry with a capital 'B'.

    Finally, Tom Symonds, Mr Henderson's former assistant, is set to have his first runner as a trainer at the weekend (at Plumpton on Sunday with Trojan Sun). I'm sure I speak for everyone, and I do mean everyone, when I say he's wished the very best. Although a bright future for him looks assured.
     
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  9. Ste D

    Ste D Well-Known Member

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    I'm thinking of putting a hefty bet on a double for David Villa to be top scorer in champs league(12/1) & barca to win it(2/1),dont normally back anything in football cus the odds are muck but reckon this is worth a punt
     
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  10. NassauBoard

    NassauBoard Well-Known Member

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    Barney I know of one trainer who always does this to get a price when it returns to realistic company (prepping in a higher grade!)
     
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  11. GDC

    GDC Active Member

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    Nass: Happy with Morecombe at that price, large single and some trebles with:

    Brentford to beat Colchester
    Zenit to beat APOEL
    Valencia to beat Genk

    and one more to be decided, any suggestions?
     
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  12. redcgull

    redcgull Well-Known Member

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    GDC - Still 202 runners in for the Ayr Gold Cup at the moment...!!! <yikes>

    Think i will wait for the field to be trimmed a wee bit yet... <laugh><laugh><laugh>
     
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  13. redcgull

    redcgull Well-Known Member

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    I see that AP is over at Listowel today for a few rides... Can we read anything into this for potential winners... Or is he just bored sat at home and wants a ride today...!!!
     
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  14. Sir Barney Chuckles

    Sir Barney Chuckles Who Dares Wins

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    The 4.55 at Listowel is a &#8364;45,000 heat and old JP owns the favourite. With no jumps racing in the UK until Sunday that&#8217;s enough for AP to hop across the Irish Sea.
     
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  15. heisenburg

    heisenburg Well-Known Member

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    GDC Tranmere beat Carlisle
     
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  16. rainbowview

    rainbowview Well-Known Member

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    Morning chaps

    some very interesting juveniles out today

    Stoute's in the first at Yarmouth has been very well backed now 5/2 - and Athens who I thought was a cert last time out runs at Listowel. Bumped in to a very good Oxx prospect last time
     
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  17. redcgull

    redcgull Well-Known Member

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    Cheers Sir Barney... Is it something that AP dos a lot, or is just beacasue of lack of rides over here... Make sense for him and trainers/connections over there to get him really...
     
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  18. redcgull

    redcgull Well-Known Member

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    2.30 Haydock - Snow Hill, 5/2

    Came 2nd lto in a race where the top 4 of the top 5 have gone on to win next time out, this being Snow Hill's next run out will make it 5/5 form that race if he takes this here. Previous run to that was a impressive win at 1m3f on soft ground. With conditions to suit and carrying some form Snow Hill is my nap run for today... <ok>
     
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  19. OddDog

    OddDog Mild mannered janitor
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    11/5 the Owls to win at Stevenage tonight Gary ;)
     
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  20. OddDog

    OddDog Mild mannered janitor
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    ........ and Karuga (4.20 Folkstone) <ok>
     
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