Starting my first ever thread here boys, as I fancy one a lot. 3.05 Brighton ARABIC - backed this 2 weeks ago @ 8/1 before it got plunged into 11/2 and proceeded to run loose and get withdrawn. Big fan of King Kieran and as he's riding for Fanshawe a lot this year I think this one is well worth a gamble. Backed it at 5.6 on betfair and think it may be gambled on again tomorrow. Good luck all.
Interested to see what Tales of Grimm does tomorrow. Could be an interesting horse this season. Entered in the St James's Palace in June. Good luck with yours Peter. Nice to see a bit of confidence.
Stick, when are they wheeling Ben Cee Pee M out this summer? Remember that gamble last summer. 8's the night before, backed in all day, slight drift at the post but smashed into again. Won at 11/4 I think. I won over 2 grand that day and a few friends did the same.
Sorry Quel not heard anything at the moment. He certainly served us well last year. TC, its been a glorious evening round these parts, no sign of any hint of rain mate! I have backed THETASTEOFPARADISE @ 50-1 Wetherby 9.10 tomorrow as I think it has sunk to a mark where it may actually figure. The ATR comment that reads "of no account" is hardly inspiring but a first time tongue tie may aid the cause and hell at that price you dont need to risk a lot do you. He is only five so still open to improvement and the yard did win this race last year with a bottom weight!
Although a small double on Opinion Poll & Carlton House may be inorder to get the bank funding for the weekend!
20.25 Sandown- Irish History - 15/2 One from my tracker; a tough race to pick a winner from but am going for the Goldophin horse. He is an impeccably bred horse, who reaced almost 7 figures in the sales and won very impressivley when bolting up in his 1st maiden 10 days ago, was pushed along 2 furlongs out and then just went clear and had so much more on hand. So on that performance he could be anything and the price is quite nice so will be willing to take a small chance.
Have to say I think Carlton House will win well tomorrow. Went well fresh last year, 10f is an ideal trip, ground is fine, his owner has a special weekend coming up. I've struggled to find any lay reasons. 3rd and 4th in the English and Irish Derby, he's a bloody good animal, and looked superb over 10f in the Dante, albeit with Seville and World Domination, who hardly went on from there.
Good luck with your selection Peter on your first post. I have actually gone for Joyful Spirit in that race as have watched him previously where he has travelled beautifully but not finished. I am hoping there is not really a problem and that the further drop in class from a grade 5 to 6 will mean he will actually be able to account for this opposition in a finish as well as travel all over them (which i am fairly certain he will), i do agree the Fanshawe horse is an unexposed danger and i really like him as a trainer. I am really only going to get seriously interested in one horse tomorrow however and that is Top Offer at Sandown. I really think this horse is special. I feel he should not have run in the Guineas as was never going to go on the soft ground and had it been any other race than the 2000 G he would never have run. I whole heartedly feel you will see the real Top Offer tomorrow night. Sandown Top Offer 15-8 (best odds)
Well just came off a 7hr 24min stint on the online poker tables, $10 Freezeout, finished 3rd of 6,000+, taking home just shy of $3,500...Get In thereeeeeeeee! iPoker thank you very much lol, withdrew most of it, but kept aside £150 for a flutter over next couple of days. Opinion Poll & Carlton House Double Tales of Grimm (win) wow im on a high!
Smokin thats fantastic mate, very well done! Best move to withdraw it. Make sure you stick to your normal stakes and enjoy the winnings, its not every day you win a couple of grand!
Well done SB. Had the same feeling before a few times and its a great buzz. 6.15 Sandown If You Whisper 33/1 NAP Theres a strong chance he's going to run a shocker but I'm absolutely convinced If You Whisper is going to pop up at big odds sometime soon and hopefully it will be today. Mike Murphy's 4 year old has gone slightly off the ball but resultantly looks very well handicapped and I think a return to turf for only the 2nd time in his career (well beaten on 2nd career start) can hopefully revitalise him and although he's got numerous risked attached to him he looks an absolutely monstrous price. Tomorrow represents his easiest assignment to date and his lowest ever handicap mark of 61 and I think he certainly has more than enough in his locker to win off this mark and given his trainer is in blistering form at present I am very hopefully of a very big run. After his first two races, If You Whisper took a big step forward when finishing 0.75L behind Towering Spirit over 1m at Kempton being collared close home after battling against the fence to get a clean run. The form of that race looks decent, with Sinfonico 1.5L back in 4th winning off a mark of 84 subsequently. The 5th Groomed who was 3.25L behind If You Whisper has won since off a mark of 79 too so it wasn’t a bad maiden at all. After this, If You Whisper justified odds on favouritism when winning a 5 runner contest at Southwell by a length to Mazovian. Although the form of that race wasn't up to much for his opening handicap mark, the fact he's tumbled a massive 17lb in the weights it looks favourable enough with the 2nd winning off a mark of 67 recently and the 3rd Woop Woop is now a 77 rated horse. On his 5th start back in January 2011, If You Whisper made his handicap debut off a mark of 78 and started as the outsider of the field in a 4 runner Class 4 handicap at Lingfield but ran a very good race to finish 1L behind the winner The Tichborne. It was a steadily run race so I am inclined to believe that the form of this race is genuine. The form of that race look promising with the winner placing twice off a 4lb higher mark, including a very narrow 0.62L 3rd in the Britannia Stakes behind the excellent Sagramor. Further to this, the 3rd that day Amwell Pinot has won since off a 1lb off 91 higher mark and was 1L behind If You Whisper. If You Whisper made his reappearance run after being off since for 7 months and although he was disappointing he may well have needed this run and I’m willing to forgive that effort. After a few poor starts, If You Whisper was stepped up to 1m2f for the first time and shaped rather well but was ultimately disappointing as he didn't really pick up when asked in the home straight at Kempton in a Class 4. That was off a mark of 75 and he was well supported before the off, normally a very telling sign for a Murphy horse, so I think that a lot better was expected of him. 5 starts ago If You Whisper put up his best effort for a long time in first time blinkers when a consistently staying on and 3.5L beaten 4th over 10f at Lingfield off a mark of 72. After being customarily held up at the back of the field throughout and having to race wide, If You Whisper turned into the home straight towards the rear and was finishing better than anything. It was also a race that suited those who raced prominently as the first 3 turning into the straight were also the first 3 home. The form of that race is solid but not brilliant but if reproducing this effort off an 11lb lower mark on turf then I think If You Whisper could be very difficult to beat. After a couple of bad runs afterwards that could have been down to blinkers wearing off, If You Whisper was absolutely smashed at Wolves in February 2 starts back off a mark of 67 as he opened a double figure price before going off a 7/2 shot. In a race that had a moderate pace throughout, which I definitely think didn't suit If You Whisper, he made extremely eye catching progress around the outside to take up the running about 4f out but he finished pretty tamely to come a 6L beaten 6th. The form of that race is no great shakes at all but the fact he was so well supported tells me that he had been working very well at home and that connections felt he was more than capable of winning off a mark of 67. LTO in April he was never really knocked about as he came home in 9th and it you can't take much encouragement from the run. Although a return to turf is a complete unknown, there is definite possibility that he will improve for a return to grass. He's fallen to a mark of 61 and he's invariably well handicapped but there is a chance that he has regressed and may not hold much of the ability that he used to. However, he definitely showed more than a glimpse that he retains his ability with a good 4th off an 11lb higher mark in December and I'm convinced there is some more life left in this 4 year old. I'm very encouraged to see Martin Dwyer take the ride as he took the reigns for another Murphy inmate recently in the shape of Greensward who ran an excellent 3rd at a big price. Moreover, Dwyer may have to make a bit of a dash from Brighton racecourse to make this ride as this race is 2hrs after his last ride and given that it takes about 70 minutes to get to Sandown (not including traffic) I'm hoping this is a sign that Murphy has convinced Dwyer to quickly come for the ride. Pure speculation I know but it could well be the case. If You Whisper gets in here off bottom weight of 8-7 and he'll have a featherweight on his back for the 10f trip. Although the draw in stall 12 isn't ideal, he likes to get dropped out so its not a grave concern. I think the fact he faces 16 rivals will ensure a fast pace which should definitely suit If You Whisper and I am definitely hopeful of a very big run. Clearly he's a risky proposition who could easily finish last, but with Mike Murphy's stable in tremendous form at present and the trainer having a 22% strike rate at the track I'm pretty confident of a big showing from this 4 year old and I've had a big enough e/w in the hope he can land this event.
Hello lads. Only two Ballydoyle runners in the Derby. Is that a sign that they think Camelot is a good thing?...Astrology also takes his chance and will be ridden by Ryan Moore. I think Imperial Monarch was diverted to France because of the ground at Epsom.12f certainly looks right up his street but the trerrian at Chantilly will be softer.I can't see how a slow run 10.5f will suit however unless they plan to make all.
Probably a sign of how confident they are in him and they've also most likely lined something else up for the Irish Derby. No point killing the things behind a potential superstar if you can give them a rest and win a classic themselves a few weeks later.
Thetasteofparadise has been tightened into 25/1 and even 20/1 in places. Stickwise strikes again. My eye has been caught by the former McCain hurdler Another for Joe having his first run in a second spell for Jim Goldie in the 4.20 at Ayr. With Dan's 'GLee' on his back and a bit of money behind him, I wonder if he might not improve into a place or better?
