Onya mate. For the first time, I've managed to get free, live pictures of the racing. Loving it. It's addictive though. Anyway bed time.
6.40 Windsor We Have a Dream 33/1 Quite like the look of William Muir’s 6 year old and at the price I think he is a fantastic bet. This gelding, for the most part, has been in very good form this year notching 2 wins from 8 starts. After a 4 month lay off and after 3 comeback runs We Have a Dream notched his first victory of the year over C+D under todays jockey Martin Dwyer when scoring off a mark 81 when beating Victorian Bounty and Apache Ridge by a head with a very well timed challenge on 13 June. This was this gelding’s first win since October 2009 and showed that he still retained the ability of his younger days. The form of this race has worked out quite nicely as well. Victorian Bounty has come out since and won off a 1lb higher mark and perhaps most interestingly of all is Ginger Ted who finished 0.88L behind back in 4th. Ginger Ted has subsequently come out and won off the same mark and LTO he finished an excellent 1.50L behind Hoof It who has subsequently gone on to win the Stewards Cup in excellent fashion and who looks a group horse in the making. On this form alone We Have a Dream has an excellent chance off his mark today of 87. We Have a Dream subsequently came out and won on his next start at Folkestone by 1.25L off a mark of effectively 79 when beating Ray of Joy into second place. This was a rather comfortable victory with George Baker easing his mount down before the line seeming as if he had a lot left in hand. The horses behind haven’t had too many races subsequently so the form of this race is hard to analyse but the 4th Deerslayer, who finished 4.5L behind, won the other day off a 2lb lower mark. We Have a Dream has had 3 starts since this latest victory and for two of these he has run credibly, but not fantastically. 3 starts ago he finished 3.25L behind Mac Gillie Eoin, who reopposes again today, at Epsom at the end of June. We Have a Dream employed his normal front running tactics but with about 4 other horses in the race who took the same approach they went too fast out in front and it played into the hands of the horses who came from off the pace including the winner and the 2nd Another Try. That said, it was still a credible effort. His next and 2nd last start came in the Scottish Stewards Cup in Hamilton. Off a mark of 88 (minus James Rogers’ 5lb claim), We Have a Dream again put in another credible showing for the 5f before running out of steam entering the final furlong. It was a tough race, however, and finishing 3.12L back in 6th is no disgrace. LTO, We Have a Dream put in a pretty poor performance at Goodwood in the Stewards Sprint Handicap. He adopted his traditional front running tactics but seemed under pressure a long way out. He was bumped when well beaten and was eased right down subsequently but he had absolutely no chance of figuring in what is a hot race. I can’t say he didn’t act on the track as he finished 3rd there last year. It was a hot race, a massive field and perhaps once he got passed he just chucked the towel in. However, I don’ t think there is any excuses but I am definitely willing to forgive a horse a poor run as they often happen. That said, his last 2 races were very competitive with large prize money at stake so perhaps connections were trying to attain things out of his capabilities. Today, We Have a Dream returns to Windsor where he was successful earlier in the year under the tutelage of Martin Dwyer, who gets the ride again today. This gelding represents William Muir’s only runner at this track tonight with his other horse declared a non-runner. Muir is 1-14 at Windsor this year (We Have a Dream's win) and has is 1-6 with 4 YO+ and I think its significant that he is sending his horse back here tonight. Although he has never won off a mark this high before, he has placed off marks between 85 and 88 6 times in the last year and half so if he is fully wound up and in top form I definitely feel he can win off this mark. He has an ideal draw in stall 2 for his front running tactics, with his win coming from stall 1 over C+D. Although he is friendless in the market, he was for his victory in June so that wouldn’t be a concern. All in all I think We Have a Dream is vastly overpriced. He has proven he can perform off a mark similar to this and fingers crossed Dwyer can get this home in front at massive odds. How Could I leave this out! Martin Dwyer now makes the trip from Lingfield to Windsor for this 1 ride after Muir's other runner was declared a non-runner A couple of others who I will try get write ups done for 5.40 Windsor Come on Blue Chip 50/1 8.20 Ballinrobe Realta Rathcabhain 11/1
I like the look of Ralph Becket's Compton in the 6.10 at Windsor together with Soprano (NAP) in the 8.30 at Thirsk. Best of luck everybody
Dexter - very happy that came off. Nice one ROTO with We Have A Dream - unlucky not to win but that Joe Packet could go in again next time
Cheers to Odddog and Degs and also to whoever mentioned GG Margason last week! Did Soprano, Rebellious Guest and Uptown Guy! Great tipping on a quiet day!
