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Daily Racing Thread Tuesday June 14 including Royal Ascot.

Discussion in 'Horse Racing' started by SimplyTheBlues(STB), Jun 13, 2011.

  1. SimplyTheBlues(STB)

    SimplyTheBlues(STB) Member

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    3.45 St James´s Palace Stakes

    Frankel 2/5 10pts win - I just don't see anything beating Frankel and close to certainty as you’re going to get. The unknown quantity Grand Prix Boss 20/1 is the only miniscule threat I see.

    So do 10pts win on Frankel @ 2/5 and 1pt EW on Grand Prix Boss @ 20/1.


    If Frankel wins and in all likely hoods will do you’ve made 2 points profit and hopefully GPB places to give you a few more points boost. In the unlikely event GPB wins you've more than doubled your money.

    Put it this way I think Frankel has a 90% chance of winning, GPB 5% and 5% for the rest.

    I will post my other selections tomorrow.
     
    #1
  2. Cyclonic

    Cyclonic Well Hung Member

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    Thanks for the DT Blue. <cheers>

    Ascot 14:30. Canford Cliffs. (nap)
    Ascot 15:05. Group Therapy. EW.
    Ascot 15:45. Grand Prix Boss. EW.
    Ascot 16:25. Trumper Major. EW.
    Ascot 17:00. Zigato. EW.
    Ascot 17:35 Magic City. EW.
     
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  3. NassauBoard

    NassauBoard Well-Known Member

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    Having a dreadful day so far so lets hope the two year old races give me a couple of winners.

    Fulbright/Roman Soldier in the Coventry
    Magic City/Frederick Engels in the Windsor Castle


    Its on the blog if anyone wants to have a read http://nassauboard.blogspot.com/
     
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  4. Cyclonic

    Cyclonic Well Hung Member

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    Having a dreadful day so early in the morning Nass? Every think ok?
     
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  5. NassauBoard

    NassauBoard Well-Known Member

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    Just about. Still feeling the pains of my RTA, today seems to be much more painful. Sure racing, Bacon sandwiches and perhaps a cider later will help me perk up!
     
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  6. QuarterMoonII

    QuarterMoonII Economist

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    I think that this year Royal Ascot may be a bookies&#8217; benefit. With the going starting out at good to soft most of the form will not be worth a candle as it has been dry, fast ground for the last two months. With rain forecast for Thursday onwards, the first two days may be best.

    That said, the first day possibly represents the punters&#8217; best chance if they are prepared to lump on at short prices (which I am not). What I think will win is not where my money will be going except possibly the Coventry.

    Queen Anne Stakes: Goldikova to beat Canford Cliffs
    King&#8217;s Stand Stakes: War Artist
    St James&#8217;s Palace Stakes: Frankel to beat Wootton Bassett
    Coventry Stakes: Gatepost
     
    #6

  7. beeforsalmon

    beeforsalmon Well-Known Member

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    Whilst not quite Cheltenham for me, today would be the only flat racing that warrants comparison. My tip today is straightforward and I don't have any lengthy write ups so I'll keep it simples. Not a fan of multiples but I make the exception for this.

    2.30 Canford Cliffs 6/4
    15.45 Frankel 2/5
    The double pays 5/2 with WH, Bet365 (BOG also applies).

    Not many better 5/2 shots than this IMO :emoticon-0103-cool:

    Good luck, this one will have you dancing coming 16.00 <party>
     
    #7
  8. antidistinctlyminty (ADM)

    antidistinctlyminty (ADM) Active Member

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    sorry to hear you're having a bad day - can you explain your selections to me (a complete novice) - can't access the blog from work
     
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  9. NassauBoard

    NassauBoard Well-Known Member

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    Comments for them are

    "Fulbright is an experienced Mark Johnston runner who comes here on the back of a win in the Woodcote (put up by the blog that day) in which he showed good early speed to dominate the race and win with a good amount in hand. He is a typical Johnston type who will improve for racing and could prove tough to pass, however I do think that he may become outpaced at some point in the race (he did when winning both of his wins) and in this better company he may have to find too much ground in the final furlong. He is bred to be a very smart sprinter and I do think he could run a massive race in this renewal. "

    "Roman Soldier is one that could be overpriced, he was able to make all at Leicester on his second start after disappointing on debut. This form was good, he beat a horse that Meehan really likes in Right To Dream (who holds fancy entries still) and beat him very convincingly with a good turn of foot and a high cruising speed. He holds Trumpet Major on the formline through Right To Dream and I think he is the sort to prove better than his early form in time. He is a fine stamp of a horse and I think on any ground that is easier than Good-Firm he should run a very big race. He is drawn very wide in stall 23. "

    and conclusion "I think it's fascinating to see so many interesting horses drawn on the high side with Power and Fulbright drawn that side. The raider of Ward's is in the middle and could go either side, whilst the Hills horse is drawn low with Commissar and Gatepost. I think the pace may come High to Middle and the two to be with are Roman Soldier @ 20/1 and Fulbright @ 20/1 with Rebellious Guest one to get on if the ground goes to the softer side of good."

    Windsor Castle

    "Windsor Castle

    Unlike the Coventry I have this race between four horses, Magic City, Frederick Engels, Hamza and the Wesley Ward raider Gentlemans Code.

    Magic City is an enigma. He won his maiden with such ease that he looked a potential superstar, putting away a big field of fancied horses by six lengths in a supreme front running display. That race is working out exceptionally well with Commissar and B Fifty Two both running in the Coventry after winning maidens. Magic City has since been very disappointing in defeat behind useful sorts in Miss Work Of Art, Bannock (twice) and Pyman's Theory. I do think that if he gets good ground or faster he is going to be a major danger to all in this fast five furlong sprint. If it is softer than good then he is one to swerve.

    Frederick Engels has one of the best profiles in the race, he won last time out at Musselburgh beating Es Que Love (who reopposes) by an easy six lengths. The form that impresses me the most however is the defeat by Shumoos who I rate very highly and expect to win the Queen Mary later at the festival. He is unproven on softer ground and could be one to take on if it goes soft, but on good ground he does look the form pick.

    The Wesley Ward trained Gentlemans Code won nicely on his first run in the UK, beating Bear Bottom (reopposes) with good style. He looks the typical forward sort that Wesley Ward sends to the festival and he could prove to be the one they all have to pass in the later stages. He is another who is untested on soft ground and could be vulnerable if we do get cut in the ground.

    If the ground does go soft then Hamza could be the one to be with. He won a very early season maiden (form working out nicely and Stonefield Flyer reopposes here) on good-soft ground and we know that he runs well on soft ground. He has run well in good company since and he could be good enough to win a race like this if conditions play to his advantage.

    I really like Magic City but on softer ground Hamza could be a danger to all. The ground looks set to be good so the two bets are Magic City at 9/1 and Frederick Engels at 4/1"
     
    #9
  10. antidistinctlyminty (ADM)

    antidistinctlyminty (ADM) Active Member

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    thanks nass - i appreciate your patience with us novices
     
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  11. heisenburg

    heisenburg Well-Known Member

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    MORNING ALL
    Nass always come up for a scan !!

    Overdose
    Wooton Bassett
    Plymouth Rock

    Each way RR

    Stay Frosty
     
    #11
  12. NassauBoard

    NassauBoard Well-Known Member

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    Bit far to travel, but I am sick and tired of them not doing one. Only visited the GP a mere 10 times since! They couldn't even get any blood out of me the last time I went.

    ADM - no problem and good luck today
     
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  13. bomb

    bomb New Member

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    1505 ascot monsieur chevalier 25/1 bet365 eway
    1735 arnold lane 33/1 VC eway
    1945 n abbot bermuda boy 11/4 SJ
     
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  14. Zenyatta

    Zenyatta Active Member

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    Going to Ascot today and really looking forward to a cracking days racing. The weather looks mighty fine and I suspect the ground will be good by the off.

    I have piled in on a Canford Cliffs/Frankel/So You Think treble. I'll be cheering the first two on this afternoon.

    Elsewhere I will probably back Junior and might have an interest on Power in the Coventry and Magic City in the Windsor Castle. I find it hard to believe that the Hannon/Hughes team were so wrong about this one and feel today might be the day when everything falls into place. Will have a good look in the paddock before committing my cash.

    Best of luck to one and all and here's to a truly great days racing.
     
    #14
  15. SimplyTheBlues(STB)

    SimplyTheBlues(STB) Member

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    5.50 Indian Trail 10/1 1.5pt EW
    6.00 Imaginary Diva 2/1 1pt win

    A few others I like but won't back just too many variables... These races are best watched: 2.05 Goldikova but can't discount Canford Cliffs, 3.05 Prohibit & War Artist, 5.00 Tyrrellis Wood & Junior, 5.35 Magic City
     
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  16. King Shergar

    King Shergar Well-Known Member

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    My 2 bets at Ascot today

    2.30 Goldikova 7/4 (Nap)
    3.45 Dream Ahead 14/1
     
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  17. I'll follow Carronhills off a cliff

    I'll follow Carronhills off a cliff Member

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    My selections today are:

    2.30 - Goldikova 7/4
    3.05 - Prohibit 14/1 (NAP)
    3.45 - Frankel 4/11
    4.25 - Power 5/1
    5.00 - Junior 4/1
    5.35 - Magic City 10/1

    Fourfolds from 6 - fingers crossed!!!!

    I also like St Barths e/w in the 4.25 & Australia Day e/w 5.00
     
    #17
  18. heisenburg

    heisenburg Well-Known Member

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    Just had these 2 texted Hard Rock City 3.25 thirsk Illustrious Blue 5.50 thirsk both Dec Carrols yard not fireing but these 2 should go well 7s and 8s

    Stay Frosty
     
    #18
  19. Cyclonic

    Cyclonic Well Hung Member

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    Canford Cliffs, a very nice horse. looks like a strong 10f horse.
     
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  20. beeforsalmon

    beeforsalmon Well-Known Member

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    Canford Cliffs, so that's what a winner feels like...I've hardly had any since, well, the last time CC ran <laugh> Nice performance, that answers the argument over the best miler around now.

    I'm sure there'll be someone who will disagree though...<whistle>

    Cyc, I think they'll not be in a hurry to step him up, all the Grade One mile races are his for the taking.
     
    #20

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