All these numbers branded about surrounding death estimates are very puzzling. A few have mentioned some in this thread and to be honest, they are as good a guess as the experts who say 20000 or under. Who ****ing knows, we dont, they dont and we can keep on guessing until the whole population is tested. I sometimes get the feeling that all we are doing is hiding from this particular enemy (for want of a better word). It will eventually find us or at least it will until a vaccine is found and mass manufactured. That is the only way we will fight it and win. Until then we keep hiding.