Anyone know whether we're seeded for tonight's Carling Cup 2nd Round Draw? No clues on the official CC website. I'm fairly sure there are 50 teams in this round, meaning 25 are seeded. 13 Premiership teams are in the draw leaving 12 Championship clubs to be seeded as well. How are these chosen? Obviously the CC isn't at all our priority, but with our squad having as much depth as it does this season it could be beneficial in giving the likes of Dickson, Seaborne, Chaplow, Holmes and Forte another start for morale as much as match practice's sake, were we to get another home draw against lower league opposition. On a side note, if Radio Solent are to be believed (admittedly unlikely (i understandably can't really be ****ed to research it myself)), and Torquay was our 12th consecutive home tie drawn in all competitions, the chances of this streak happening were 1 in 4,096. Therefore there's a 1 in 8,192 chance of 13 straight home draws, which could occur later this evening. HG
It is normally done on the orevoius season's league standings By that method, I don;t think we would be seeded?
I would imagine that it's determined by last season's league finishes. So the 12 Championship seeds would be those sides who finished 4th - 12th, plus Blackpool, Birmingham and West Ham.
Yeah obviously if you're just looking at tonight's draw it's 50/50, but the chances of 13 in a row of anything are 8,192 i.e. very small.
I'll nerd this thread up as I am a maths teacher. Because the 12 previous home games have already happened, technically they hold a probability of 1 as it is certain that the previous 12 games were drawn at home, thus making the probability of the next match being drawn at home 0.5 or 50%. If the questions was 'what would the probability that the next 13 games were all drawn at home?', as these events have not yet taken place, all the probabilities would create a probability of 1 in 8192. Oh how I love being a maths geek, it's one of my sexiest qualities lol!!!
Yeah they go in next round. Hence why AFC Wimbledon and Crawley played a preliminary round a few weeks back.
Ah yes, now you mention it I think you're right. I think that's why Crawley and Wimbledon had to have a qualifying play-off a couple of weeks back, so that there would still be an even number of teams in the 1st round this week.
Each draw is an independent event so our chances of getting a home draw are exactly 50%, that is one in two. Now come on brush up on you GCSE maths and the statistics you learned. Remember the difference between dependent and independent events.
