Ridiculous the below from the bookies. Makes me mad!!! (from sportinglife.com) Frankel has been installed as the long odds-on favourite after 12 horses stood their ground for the Queen Anne Stakes at Royal Ascot on Tuesday. Sir Henry Cecil's brilliant colt has swept aside everything put before him, and seeks to take his unbeaten run to 11 in the Group One over the straight mile that brings the curtain up on the five-day meeting. Excelebration, who has been well-beaten four times by Frankel, including in the Lockinge Stakes at Newbury last month, takes on his nemesis again. His trainer Aidan O'Brien has also left in multiple Group One winner So You Think at the five-day stage, as well as Windsor Palace. Coral make Frankel a 1-8 chance, with spokesman David Stevens saying: "We've always been huge fans of Frankel and have never looked to take him on, and we can't see anything other than win number 11 in the Queen Anne Stakes, with Excelebration once again most likely to chase him home. "We're betting on the winning distance as an alternative to the prohibitive race odds on offer, with a 10-length romp on offer at 10-1," Betfred quote Frankel at 1-5, with Excelebration at 5-1 and So You Think a 9-1 chance. Spokesman George Primarolo said: "Frankel is a very short-price for the Queen Anne and while most people won't be backing him in a single to win the race, plenty of punters will have him in doubles with Black Caviar in the Diamond Jubilee and that particular bet promises to cause serious damage to the betting industry should they both oblige.
There were some hefty bets on BC at long odds on but not for me; anything can happen and, if it were my money, it would.
But you're less likely to have heard about the 39 that didn't... I dunno. I don't have the cash to make backing Frankel worth the time - it's more productive to play forecasts and the like. But if I did have a big 'betting bank' which I hoped to make real profit out of rather than just play with, then I think I'd be tempted at 1/8.
You can still get 2/9 with Paddy Power which is outstanding. That converts to a percentage chance of 82%. I'd have his real chance at 90% plus meaning his odds should be 1/9 or shorter. 1/8 is near enough to the mark as to make no difference but 2/9 (twice as big as he should be) must be smashed up regardless of how much money you have to put on. Don't worry about how much just put the whole lot on.
I wouldn't back any horse at 1/8, yes if he runs to form then he will piss the race, but I've been following racing long enough to know horses have off days.* I wouldn't imagine there will be many takers at 1/8, so I fancy he may drift a little come the day *
