Bluesky's multiple experiment

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Bluesky9

Bluesky9

Philosopher
Jun 21, 2011
2,851
290
83
As some may remember i started a post in November detailing a bet that i have found some good success with, the bet being a trixi with an additional treble. I wanted to see if the bet is as efficient as i imagine or not so decided to run the post as an experiment. I was prompted by the common suggestions that multiples can never pay long term, and whilst i do generally agree with this i also feel this bet has actual potential. It proved pretty good and when run in November finished with a profit of 27 points but also included many losing days and so left the matter undecided i felt.

I did not wish to continue it back then as i wanted to give it every possible chance and i felt winter jumps has never been my game and so waited for the flat season. I intend to start again from today until the end of April to see what happens. I will once again be staking to £10 a point for ease of viewing the bet and the stats. Prices will be stated at what is available at the time and will be placed via William Hill or Betvictor unless stated to get best odds Guaranteed which will apply.

So here goes

Kempton 3.30 Eshtibaak 5-2 Unplaced
Kempton 4.05 Primaeval Evns Won
Doncaster 4.20 Sir Graham Wade 7-4 Unplaced
All best odds guaranteed

£10 win trixie & £10 win treble
Stake £50
Return £0
Running total £ - 50
 
Best Of Luck Bluesky can remember your posts at back end of last year..
Will be keeping an eye out on your progress ;)
 
Doncaster
2.10 Born to surprise 8-11 won 7-4
4.30 King of Wands 10-11 2nd 5-4
5.05 Attenborough 11-8 unplcd 13-8
All best odds guaranteed

£10 win trixi & £10 win treble
Stake £50
Return £0
Running total £ -100
 
Redcar
2.15 All fur coat 9-4 2nd 10-3
3.15 Lady Loch Evns 2nd 5-4
Kelso
3.30 Kai Broon 5-4 won
All best odds guaranteed

£10 win trixi & £10 win treble
Stake £50
Return £0
Running total £ -150
 
Exeter
2.50 Trop Fort 9-4 2nd
3.20 Jive Master 11-10 2nd
4.20 Dukes Art 4-5 2nd
All best odds guaranteed
£10 win trixi & £10 win treble
Stake £50
Return£0
Rolling Total £-200
 
Kempton
2.40 Law of the Range 9-4 2nd
4.55 Solar Dietey 6-4 unplaced
Mussleburgh
3.50 Shabora 13-2 unplaced
All best odds
£10 win trixi & £10 win treble
Stake £50
Return £0
Running total £ -250

What a rubbish start !
 
Warwick
3.20 Macs Power evns 3rd
Yarmouth
5.20 Glass mountain 9-2 2nd
5.55 Scatter Dice 8-11 won
All best odds
£10 win trixi & £10 win treble
Stake £50
Return £0
Running Total £ -300
 
Yarmouth
2.10 Out of the blocks 10-11 2nd
2.40 Knight Vision evns unplaced
Pontefract
4.10 Splendid Light 5-4 unplaced
All best odds
£10 win trixi & £10 win treble
Stake £50
Return £0
Running total £-350
 
Nottingham
2.40 Dinkum Diamond 13-8 unp
Catterick
3.00 Tagneed 5-4 unp
4.30 Hi Dancer 15-8 2nd
£10 win trixi & £10 win treble
all best odds
stake £50
Return £0
Running total £ -£400
 
Aintree
2.00 Darlan 6-4 won 7-4
3.05 Albertas Run 5-2 3rd
4.15 Fingal Bay 13-8 2nd
£10 win trixi & £10 win treble
All best odds guaranteed
stake £50
Return £0
Rolling total £-450
 
We keep going

Windsor
2.30 Impel 15-8 unp
3.00 Priestly's reward 5-2 unp
3.30 Rosslyn Castle 11-8 won
All best odds
£10 win Trixi & £10 win treble
Stake £50
Return £0
Total £-500
 
Newmarket
1.50 Tassel 5-6 won 5-4
4.45 Twice Over 5-4 2nd
5.50 Main sequence 7-4 won 2-1
All best odds
£10 win trixi & £10 win treble
Stake £50
Return £67.50
Total £ - 482.50

At last a return and but for Twice over's narrow defeat we would have turned around the most attrocious start i could have imagined. I know it sounds ludicrous with the stats this month so far but i still believe in this bet.
 
Newbury
Aljamaheer 6-5 unp
Ayr
4.00 Divers 3-1 unp
5.05 Florafern 7-2 unp
All best odds
£10 win trixi & £10 win treble
Stake £50
Return £0
Total £- 532
 
Wolverhampton
2.20 Kai 2-1
2.50 Unlimited 9-4
5.05 Lost Highway 5-4
All best odds
£10 win trixi & £10 win treble
Stake £50
Return £0
Total £-582
 
Sandown
1.15 Trader Jack 6-4 unp
1.50 Famous Name 2-1 3rd
2.20 Oojooba 5-2 unp
All best odds
£10 win trixi & £10 win treble
Stake £50
Return £0
Total £- 632
 
Bluesky very interesting to see your results of late. I personally think this is a very dodgy time of the year to be betting, you were certainly much more successful in the winter. Best of luck going forward <ok>
 
Thanks for your kind words Oddy. I have felt that everything has been against me in as much as it's the change over from one code to the other which is notoriously a difficult punting time and the weather has recently been very soft which does not help. This said however i am always more successful on the flat than jumps and it's no good me making excuses. I could have let the post drift away but that would have been wrong as it is genuinely an experiment to test the bet as i think it's one i have done well from, but as we know it's only the wins that get selectively remembered and so i wanted to make a post of it to see. At the end of the month the result will be as it is and will be there for all to see but foolishly perhaps i am not going to give up on the bet as i really do think it has merit. One of the reasons for this is that if Twice Over would have beaten Questioning in that photo at Newmarket despite all other results we would have been even which shows that you can win big sums for actually only asking 3 horses that are reasonably short priced favs and so expected to actually win.

One thing that has been nice however is that not one person has posted abuse of any kind and i think that were it the old 606 that would not have been the case. I really think the people on here are really good people and Ron has got the thing running well. So thanks everyone for not running me over for my poor results in this post even if i do perhaps deserve it.

I have actually backed these horses as well by the way.
 
Sandown
4.15 Stipulate 2-1 unp
Ripon
3.30 Gulf of Naples 5-6 won
5.45 Fortieth and fith 5-4 2nd
All best odds
£10 win trixi & £10 win treble
Stake £50
Return £0
Total £ -682
 
Last roll of the dice for this month. I have been really shaken by the results of this experiment as i really did, and maybe foolishly, still have faith in this bet. I will persevere with it after this but without placing a timeframe on it which will hopefully lead to a more selective usage of it.

Kempton
2.45 Mutafaakir 5-4 unp
3.15 Missisippi 3-1 won
3.45 Furbelow 2-1 won
All best odds
£10 win trixi & £10 win treble
Stake £50
Return £120
End Total £-612

At least we went out with a winner, and only the Hamdan Favourite prevented a horendous month being turned around today. I personally blame Richard Hills for the complete failure of this months experiment and before anyone wishes to point out that he retired and Hanigan rode it- i know. He however would have saddled it, or ridden it in work or simply looked at it, and that would have been enough so there.
 
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