I asked the question a month ago and it generated a decent debate. I always intended to ask again a month later because we know bubbles can be broken and blown up. My best bet a month ago was Faugheen in the Neptune. The horses price has collapsed since to 3/1ish. However, we've not seen him since 2013 and The Tullow Tank and others have emerged as Neptune runners so the race has gone from a one horse procession irrespective of jumping frailty to a really competitive heat with three or four serious contenders. What a difference a month can make. He can't be my best bet now. So what does that lead me to? I think the 2 bets of the Festival with a month to go are Mossey Joe in the Fox Hunter at 5/1 and Guitar Pete e/w at 10/1 in the Triumph. Anymore for anymore?
Novices double - Vautour and Kings Palace Last Instalment for the Gold Cup (the 10s seems to have disappeared for no ****ing reason but 8/1 still generally available)
Oi Oddy!!! How come you can swear and we get moderated??? Last ****ing Instalment for me in the ****ing CGC and Annie ****ing Power in the World ****ing Hurdle! And you know where I am in the Champion ****ing Hurdle
Big Bucks 4/1 for WH and Hurricane Fly 6/1 for CH. Just been looking on PP at current prices and can't believe Sprinter Sacre is 4/5. It ought to be 1/5!
I think you'll find it is the Gold Gonad Cup, World ****ing Hurdle and Champion Chugging Hurdle. Don't even mention the Arsehole Arkle, the Bastard Byrne Plate or the Rimjob Ryanair.
Rimjob Ryanair is one of the funniest things I have read for ages. Michael O'Leary would be doing his nut!
Ive got Guitar Pete at 20/1, not really expecting much to be honest tho, decent wee horse but hes no Our Conor, would have to be another really poor Triumph like last year. Its impossible to say just now what the best bet is I think. Trifolium was a stupid price after what he done last time and he still might be a decent price at 6/1, he goes on any of the possible ground, you know hes running in the race and he should be clear fav so thats about as solid a bet I can see as things stand. TNO still the banker of the meeting but will get 4/1 the night before so ignore the 3s just now.
Mossey at 5s. (backed him at 10s NRFB) Apparently he had a spin at Leopardstown over a mile under Danny Mullins and he supposedly picked up the lead horse easily and looked fairly straight. Due to run in a P2P next Sunday. If he comes through all of that unscathed, he'll go off about a 6/4 shot on the day and I honestly believe he only needs to stay on his feet to win.
I would have said Vautour this day last week when he was available around the 5/1 mark but now into 3/1 does look skinny. I'd expect he'll be available bigger on the day. He's probably my festival NAP at this stage.
Hate to say it as I'm a huge Silviniaco Conti fan, but Bobs Worth has to be the best bet at this stage. Previous winner, cracking run last time out, coming into the race fresh as he likes, only one rival that has performed anywhere near what will be required to win this, 9/4 best odds looks a really good investment at this stage
