http://news.bbc.co.uk/sport1/hi/football/eng_div_1/predictor/default.stm Have a go and tell us your final positions. Post your Final top 6 and Bottom 6 and at the end of the season ill bring the thread back up and we will see who was right.
Well My Top 6 Finished Cardiff 98 Hull 95 Watford 89 Palace 85 Leicester 81 Brighton 79 Bottom 6 Wolves 51 Bristol City 50 Sheff Wednesday 49 Huddersfield 48 Barnsley 46 Peterborough 43
I have us finishing level with Barnsley in 18th and 19th place with 51 points. Eternally optimistic 4 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in our last 12 games. Cardiff top by 7 points Watford 2nd - well clear of 3rd. Blackpool (shock) Huddersfield Peterborough To go down.
I got to wondering since SOD's reign namely 8 games 4 wins all at home and 4 loses all away, we have played only Ipswich and Barnsley in the lower half- our other 6 games have been against top half teams. if we were to replicate the form from the last 8 games in the next 8 games.... and similarly the last 8 games of the other teams in the bottom half, continued their form.. the league table would be thus after 41 or 42 games .................. current points..... last 8 games........total Burnley.........44.....................11......... ...........55 Millwall.........44......................7........ .............51 Charlton........43.....................10......... ...........53 Bolton...........42.....................10........ ............52 Birmingham...42.....................13............ ........55 Blackpool.......41.....................7.......... ...........48 Sheff Wed......40....................15................. ....55 Ipswich..........39....................9.......... ............48 Huddersfield...38.....................6........... ..........44 barnsley.........37...................16.......... ..........53 Wolves..........35.....................4.......... ...........39 Bristol City.....34....................12................. ...46 peterboro.......33....................11.......... .........44 haven't been able to work put games in hand in this scenario, but if we can continue the progress under SOD, we will escape just..........
Based on current form, which will change around a lot between now and end of season; Cardiff 101pts Watford 90 Hull 87 Brighton 81 Palace 80 Leicester 74 Blackburn 71 Forest 64 Bolton 63 Burnley 63 Leeds 63 Birmingham 62 Middlesboro 56 Millwall 55 Barnsley 55 Derby 53 Charlton 51 Ipswich 51 Peterboro 50 City 49 Blackpool 48 Wednesday 48 Huddersfield 45 Wolves 44 This will not happen. At least two of the current bottom three will probably be relegated. I know Middlesboro are having a crap run, but for them to pick up only 5 pts in 12 games is unrealistic? I put Barnsley to win at Wednesday for instance but if that went the other way, and we lose at and thus dont get a point at Blackpool as I also predicted, then we go down with Huddersfield/Wolves and Wednesday and Blackpool survive. BUT there are too many IF'S and BUTS so it was fun to do it but realistic? I think not.
I got bored doing it halfway through because it's difficult on an IPad. But looking at these games. After us Blackpool have got a hard run in along with Barnsley Waste of time predicting Petersborough they are so unpredictable they coud hammer Cardiff then lose to Barnsley the next week. Huddlesfield also have a tuff run in so I feel more confident with ours
At the beginning of the season I did have blackpool down for a bottom 6 finish, I still stand by that now. It was obvious that they probably hit the best form of there lives but it could only last 3 seasons. Next season they will be floating around the relegation zone.
Top 6 Cardiff 101 Watford 90 Leicester 86 Hull 84 Palace 79 Brighton 71 Bottom 6 Birmingham 51 Sheff Weds 51 CITY 48 Charlton 47 Barnsley 45 Peterborough 42 I had City drawing at Charlton on the last day to stay up (did not look at the table before I did it) - if that happened I'm not sure my nerves could stand it!!
AFTER 41 GAMES..CURRENT...............PREDICTED............. BUT BIAS TOWARD CITY AND TEAMS WE NEED TO LOSE................USING MY USUAL METHODOLOGY for 46 games Cardiff 33 21 70 ............................90....................96 Watford 34 25 62 .........................77......................90 Crystal Palace 34 18 58 ..................73 Hull 34 9 62 ...............................73 Leicester 32 25 54 .......................66 Brighton 33 12 52 ........................64 Nottm Forest 34 3 48.....................61 Leeds United 33 -5 46 .....................61 Bolton 33 2 42 ...............................60.....................60 Middlesbrough 34 0 51 .....................58 Birmingham 34 -9 42......................57.....................58 Derby 34 2 44 10 ..............................57 Millwall 33 -5 44..............................57 Blackburn 33 2 45..............................55....................60 Burnley 33 0 44 .................................53...................57 Bristol City 34 -14 34............................50...................49 # Charlton 34 -4 43 ..............................50.....................55 Barnsley 33 -12 37...........................49......................52 Peterborough 32 -10 33 ...................49......................50 Ipswich 34 -20 39.............................49 .....................52 Huddersfield 33 -23 38.......................49....................47 # Sheff Wed 33 -8 40............................47....................58 Blackpool 34 1 41 ...........................46......................50 Wolves 34 -10 35.............................42......................42 # # RELEGATION ZONE AFTER 41 GAMES THIS TABLE WILL BE EDITED SHORTLY STOPPED AT 41 GAMES AS OUR NEXT 3 ARE AGAINST bolton, birmingham and hull SAFETY IS 50 to 52 PTS
Based on an average of 4 posters = Sheff Wednesday 50 CITY 48 Huddersfield 48 Barnsley 47 Wolves 47 Peterborough 45
I tend to agree, as posted on the other thread Wolves until a week or so ago had odds that they might get to playoff's but no more, last 3 games killed that....but still a chance for Bolton, Birmingham can still finish in the top 10 Shef may have done enough
1 Cardiff 100 2 Watford 88 3 Leicester 86 4 Hull 85 5 Palace 80 6 Middlesborough 73 17th City 51 19 Charlton 50 20 Sheff W 50 21 hudds 49 22 Barnsley 48 23 Ipswich 46 24 Peterborough 45
Cardiff 33 21 70 ............................96 Watford 34 25 62 .........................90 Crystal Palace 34 18 58 ..................83 Hull 34 9 62 ..............................82 Leicester 32 25 54 .......................78 Brighton 33 12 52 ........................76 Nottm Forest 34 3 48.....................73 Leeds United 33 -5 46 ....................72 Bolton 33 2 42 ...............................70 barnsley.....52 ipswich.......52 bpool..........50 peterbro......50 BCFC.........49 huddersfield..47 wolves.......42
