I think the odds on both Hamilton and Webber look really really good at the moment! I got on Webber at 11.5 and Hamilton at 9.7 (Betfair), and will look to make a tidy profit by betting the other way once those odds tumble! Anyone else with me or am I letting the green eyed monster get the better of me?
Dont bet on Hamilton - he wont able to do much in a car that is lacking downforce and has very poor mechanical grip. To be honest, I dont think we'll see a McLaren in Q3 - just my opinion though. Based on testing, McLaren look like they are near the back of the midfield, and over a second off the pace, so I wouldn't bet on any McLaren driver. As for Webber, hes in a Red Bull - believed to be the fastest car so in that sense he looks like a good bet. Only problem with him is that he never does well in front of his home crowd. That, and the fact that his teammate is a better driver. Still not a bad bet though. The most likely outcome will be a victory for Alonso or Vettel, but anything can happen. I think it will be very unlikely if the winner is not a Ferrari or Red Bull driver. For that reason Felipe Massa would be a very attractive prospect. I dont know what his odds are, but he feels very confident on Pirelli tyres and has the self belief that he can beat Alonso. He could surprise us all.
Is this for the race or the title? Either way I'd stay clear of Hamilton, the patriotic pound always mean his odds are stupidly low. Webber and Massa would be good shouts, they have a competitive car but aren't highly rated so their odds are decent. I think Massa was at 20/1 for the title a few weeks back. I've got a fiver on Massa to get a podium in Australia at 7/2, I thought they were great odds considering he's in one of the top two cars and he finished 3rd last year.
These are bets for the championship, not this race. I don't plan on these drivers winning, just that at some point in the season there odds will drop significantly and I will trade them off to make money whatever happens! (Those of you familiar with betfair will know what I mean.) Didn't Hamilton have a car last year which was worse than Red Bull/Ferrarri but he managed to do pretty well anyway! I'm hoping for the same this year. I think Webber at 12/1 is silly. He's in the fastest car and whilst he's a tad slower than Vettel, he's got more experience and he again didn't do too badly last year! Expect those odds to fall once he gets a few podiums
Its worth a shot, we dont know the real pace of the McLaren after the changes they have made to the car, MW mentioned a second in performance advantage, he wouldnt say something so bold if he didnt believe in it. Hamilton, Webber are good shouts, but a really good outside bet could be be Nick in the Renault or Rosberg in the heavily updated Mercedes. I find F1 one of the hardest sports to bet for as it is so unpredictable, though I would love to go back in time a put my life savings on Jenson pre testing in 2009 because those odds mustve been crazy, even post testing they wouldve been high
Aye, agree with you ModestMatt, they must have been tasty! Here is hoping to a successful betting season.
Well I bet ã10 on Nico at 33/1 before x-mas, hopefully being right that the car would be quick with them preparing for the next season sooner than most. So far from early testing it looked to be a mistake with the problems, but the complete car upgrade it got towards the end of testing has given me a decent shout for this season, hopefully... I have a mate who is a Kubica fan so I placed a ã10 bet on him as a x-mas present, remembering that the Renault would be something quick this year. Talks from the leaders in the team were saying throughout the 2010 season that they were gunning for the 2011-12 world championships, so it made sense compared to their performance last season that if they put the effort in early, they could challenge. Also it was 66/1 for Kubica so it was a good call at the time I feel, but we all know what happened to Robert, so my mate had to change it to Nico at 16/1.
You can get odds of 17/1 on Massa to win. Considering he likes the Pirellis this is great value. I've gone for this as well as covered myself with another bet for him to be on the podium. I've also gone for Vettel to get Pole. HRT to be the first car to retire from the race, Heidfeld to get a points finish and a Safety Car to be deployed during the race. You can get the best odds by going to oddschecker.com - Paddy Power, Bet 365 and Victor Chandler all seem competitive.
In my earlier post I thought you were referring to Melbourne specifically. For the championship, Massa and Webber are good bets.
How the hell are Massa and Webber "good bets" ? Massa is a de facto no2, no chance there then. Webber is not much different, with RedBull obviously favouring Vettel. Any bet placed on WDC must initially address who is going to win the respective team battle ? Both these candidates are obviously not seen as no1's within their own teams ? Perhaps am missing something here.
Broswer, my bets were on Betfair, looking for odds which were too far out which I would place and later trade off. So the driver I was betting on doesn't have to win the championship to make me money, just do better than the consensus!!
Massa today would not have done your bet any favours, however one quali into the season, I wouldn't worry too much
QPR, yeah I realise that's what you planned to do with your bet.I just didn't see the point in anyone punting on either Massa or Webber for WDC (if they were going to stick with that particular bet).
Alonso's odds have drifted to 11/2 with William Hill. 4/1 for Hamilton is looking quite appealing as well. I'm struggling to see past Vettel now that the we've seen the RB7 in action, he's evens by the way. He was 5/2 when I placed my bet.
