50%+ win ratio is the key to CL

MrToontastic · Apr 21, 2012

Don't know if anyone else on here follows Martin Tyler's stat page on SkySports but I thought this part was of particular interest to us lot. There's also a bit where we'd be sitting 4th if games ended after 45mins!

http://www.skysports.com/opinion/story/0,,12038_7681240,00.html

Of the 19 Premier League seasons completed since its inception in 1992, the benchmark for making the top four does indeed seem to be a ratio of winning half of games played. In fact, the side finishing fourth has won exactly half their games no less than six times - and in each of the last six seasons the teams that have finished in the top four have won at least half of their games.

To answer your question, the lowest winning percentage of any side to have finished in the top four belongs to Liverpool, who won just 42.1% of their games during the 2003/04 season having emerged victorious in 16 of 38 fixtures. This just shades Arsenal way back in 1993/94, who won 18 of their 42 games for a win percentage of 42.8%. Both Liverpool and Arsenal finished fourth in these seasons.

Only three sides have won half their games and failed to finish in the top four. Blackburn Rovers finished sixth in 2005/06 despite winning exactly half of their matches and Everton, who were fifth in 2007/08, had the same record.

Perhaps most unlucky of all were Ipswich Town in the 2000/01 campaign, who managed 20 victories from their 38 games for an impressive winning percentage of 52.6% only to finish fifth. They are the only side in Premier League history to win more than half their games and not finish in the top four.

If you're looking for omens, Manchester United, Manchester City and Arsenal have already won more than 19 games - so a top-four finish seems inevitable for those sides. Tottenham and Newcastle have each won 17 of their 33 games and if they both win three of their remaining five fixtures then one of them will join Ipswich as the only other side in Premier League history to win more than half their games and not finish in the top four. Chelsea currently have 16 wins - and would need to win four of their last five to match Ipswich's record.
Click to expand...

The question is can we win 2 of our next 5 and still fall short?

Albert's Chip Shop · Apr 21, 2012

Good stuff

Agent Bruce · Apr 21, 2012

Think things will work out well for us.

50%+ win ratio is the key to CL

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50%+ win ratio is the key to CL

MrToontastic Well-Known Member

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