Yup. There won't be 3 or 4. It always gets whittled down A run at leadership is a all or nothing really. If you don't make it you are going to be in the back bench scrap heap. I don't think anyone wants to be the one to pull the trigger. .... Poll says 29% of labour voters won't vote labour next election if called this year and there's panic through the ranks. ..... Merkel trying to calm things after junker came out and said it'd be messy divorce. ..... That aston investment earlier was good. Obvious can't really be built elsewhere to sell here but still saying go ahead is good.
Oh dear. Farage is saying we were headed for a mild recession anyway regardless. Oh dear. If he can see the real story that the ****s coming should we be worried? I mean if he's willing to say mild recession now then he must be seeing a steep one and hoping to look like he predicted one all along. I think the economy will force the pace of this. The tories will not have til October to deal with article 50. I think economy will decide.
From what they were saying on TV earlier the way the P.M. election will go is that all candidates have to put themselves forward by a certain date and have to have a certain amount of nominations from fellow M.P.s. They then reduce it to two candidates who are the ones Tory Party members can vote for. I think it will be Boris and Theresa May as all the others that have been suggested are lightweights. Gove won't run against Boris as that is like choosing between dark grey and light black.
Juncker didn't say it would be a messy divorce actually and he said the EU would take a reasonable approach. Merkels comments were even more positive. A deal will be done as its in everyone's best interest.
No. Juncker said it won't be an amicable divorce. it is in all the news broadcasts. Merkel is trying to calm the anger amongst the other countries, She hints at it by saying lets be calm about it and let the UK start the negotiations but not wait for too long.
From the guardians comments section: If Boris Johnson looked downbeat yesterday, that is because he realises that he has lost. Perhaps many Brexiters do not realise it yet, but they have actually lost, and it is all down to one man: David Cameron. With one fell swoop yesterday at 9:15 am, Cameron effectively annulled the referendum result, and simultaneously destroyed the political careers of Boris Johnson, Michael Gove and leading Brexiters who cost him so much anguish, not to mention his premiership. How? Throughout the campaign, Cameron had repeatedly said that a vote for leave would lead to triggering Article 50 straight away. Whether implicitly or explicitly, the image was clear: he would be giving that notice under Article 50 the morning after a vote to leave. Whether that was scaremongering or not is a bit moot now but, in the midst of the sentimental nautical references of his speech yesterday, he quietly abandoned that position and handed the responsibility over to his successor. And as the day wore on, the enormity of that step started to sink in: the markets, Sterling, Scotland, the Irish border, the Gibraltar border, the frontier at Calais, the need to continue compliance with all EU regulations for a free market, re-issuing passports, Brits abroad, EU citizens in Britain, the mountain of legistlation to be torn up and rewritten ... the list grew and grew. The referendum result is not binding. It is advisory. Parliament is not bound to commit itself in that same direction. The Conservative party election that Cameron triggered will now have one question looming over it: will you, if elected as party leader, trigger the notice under Article 50? Who will want to have the responsibility of all those ramifications and consequences on his/her head and shoulders? Boris Johnson knew this yesterday, when he emerged subdued from his home and was even more subdued at the press conference. He has been out-maneouvered and check-mated. If he runs for leadership of the party, and then fails to follow through on triggering Article 50, then he is finished. If he does not run and effectively abandons the field, then he is finished. If he runs, wins and pulls the UK out of the EU, then it will all be over - Scotland will break away, there will be upheaval in Ireland, a recession ... broken trade agreements. Then he is also finished. Boris Johnson knows all of this. When he acts like the dumb blond it is just that: an act. The Brexit leaders now have a result that they cannot use. For them, leadership of the Tory party has become a poison chalice. When Boris Johnson said there was no need to trigger Article 50 straight away, what he really meant to say was "never". When Michael Gove went on and on about "informal negotiations" ... why? why not the formal ones straight away? ... he also meant not triggering the formal departure. They both know what a formal demarche would mean: an irreversible step that neither of them is prepared to take. All that remains is for someone to have the guts to stand up and say that Brexit is unachievable in reality without an enormous amount of pain and destruction, that cannot be borne. And David Cameron has put the onus of making that statement on the heads of the people who led the Brexit campaign.
He said "it will not be an amicable divorce, but then it was never a tight love affair anyway" adding that the EU would be "reasonable" in its negotiations.
This was/is my view too. I remember very well the very first interview that Boris gave when he came out on Brexit side. He declared: " I hope we can have a clear Brexit vote so that we can go to the EU and renegotiate our position and the wishes of the U.K." He got immediately slapped down by Cameron who declared " the referendum is not about renegotiation. If it is out we are out!" I think he would have been happy with giving the EU a bloody nose by having a high Brexit vote. But unfortunately for him too many people fell for his lies and supported the denigration of immigrants.
This ^ and a Curly Wurly. It's blown up in his face, as his sole intention was political positioning of himself as the PM in waiting for when Cameron stood down at the end of this parliament Now Cameron has walked away from the issue, he might as well have stood there and shouted 'not on my watch' on Friday morning. Now the Tories are in a flat spin. The vast majority know that overseeing Brexit and being the party to sign article 50 would be political suicide. The aftermath will lead to economic disaster and they'd bear the blame when the electorate abdicate their part in it. i can't see this ending in any other outcome than a GE now. It could well be the only election in history that no party really wants to him, laughable isn't it. Unless that is, one party has the gumption to stand up and declare that they'll not invoke article 50, in which case any election would in essence be a re- run of the referendum
If there is a GE in this calendar year the SNP should field candidates in all the English constituencies that way A) We all stay in EU B) They grant a second indepencence referendum to themselves job done
They'd not want a referendum now though if the UK hadn't opted for Brexit. So I can see a flaw in your cunning plan
Maybe we have a GE and Corbyn sneaks in, we stay in the EU and he f***s everything up anyway and the EU kick us out.
Corbyn is finished. Has there ever been a more lack lustre Labour leader in modern history? A nice bloke that he might be, he's shown with aplomb that he's no true leader during this debacle
Morgan Stanley has said those plans aren't #official Aston Martin have said it's too late to drop the plans completely but "savings" will have to be made
A GE is inevitable. The lib dems have already declared that they will run in a stay in the EU ticket. And if the Labour Party are savvy they should do the same. The people who voted leave have now seen the after effects of a Brexit. The other point is that there is no doubt in many people's mind that NOW 2 days after the referendum result, the % of truly leave people is <50%. So we could have a situation that article 50 is triggered when the majority of people are against it. Honestly, did that town in Wales truly wanted its much needed funding from the EU to be stopped? Did Sunderland really want to put its Nissan plant at risk as Nissan think of moving to France where its parent company is based? Did the people of England really wanted the UK to break up? Did they really want the risk of a recession and the massive uncertainty that paralyses business?
Hull at the top of the chart. A socially deprived area that's just seen Siemens arrive off the back of EU funding. Is the UK Capital of Culture next year and has had cash thrown at it for that, as well as being at the top of the charts in terms of its place in the queue for EU funding for anything that relates to Social and Economic Enterprise. You couldn't make it up. Oh and Cornwall have already asked for assurances that they'll still get their cash - but now from the UK pot. We voted out, but we want our cake as well like. ****ing morons
