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Match Day Thread It's on!!!!

Discussion in 'Liverpool' started by moreinjuredthanowen, Feb 26, 2016.

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  1. Page_Moss_Kopite

    Page_Moss_Kopite Well-Known Member

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    If form means nothing neither do previous results.

    #justsaying
     
    #61
  2. Bodinki

    Bodinki You're welcome Forum Moderator

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    <laugh>
    Haha ffs Astro lol
     
    #62
  3. AndyI

    AndyI Well-Known Member

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    Your maths is ****e but I love your eternal optimism <cheers>
     
    #63
  4. astro

    astro Well-Known Member

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    Given we have a 50% chance of reaching the final, what is the chance of winning the next round?

    To reach the final we need to win the round of 16, and the round of 8, and the round of 4, so P(16)*P(8)*P(4)=0.5

    Let's assume as an approximation that each round's opponents are about the same odds (in reality Man Utd are slighly easier but this is just a simplification) so P(16)=P(8)=P(4)

    P(16)^3=0.5

    So P(16)=0.5^(1/3)=0.7937

    So about an 80% chance of winning the next round (and more like the 90% I said if you take into account later opponents are more difficult) <ok>
     
    #64
  5. AndyI

    AndyI Well-Known Member

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    As i said your maths is ****e.

    The next round is a game over 2 ties against a single opponent.

    So the real math (as opposed to whatever that bollox you posted was) is that there are 2 possible outcomes, Liverpool or Utd progress, ergo 50%
     
    #65
  6. astro

    astro Well-Known Member

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    And you have a 50/50 chance of winning the lottery, because either you win it or you don't <ok>

    #twopossibleoutcomes
     
    #66

  7. AndyI

    AndyI Well-Known Member

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    That would be nice, do you have this weeks numbers, just off to Tesco as it happens :emoticon-0100-smile
     
    #67
  8. theevilreddevil

    theevilreddevil Well-Known Member

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    1 goal vs Augsburg in 180 minutes and that was a penalty, yet you believe you will batter us <laugh><laugh><laugh>
     
    #68
  9. astro

    astro Well-Known Member

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    Who said batter? We'll dominate but miss a lot of chances and probably only win by 1 or 2 goals.

    Then you won't be able to get back into the tie so long as we don't score an unforced own goal, concede 2 stupid penalties, and get a man sent off #doingamidtjylland
     
    #69
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  10. jenners04

    jenners04 I must not post porn!

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    wonder how many internet connections will not work :bandit:
     
    #70
  11. moreinjuredthanowen

    moreinjuredthanowen Mr Brightside

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    you lost to midgets.

    you then beat up midgets when they came to visit.

    you are the disgrace.

    imagine if dorathy drops a house of you... you munchkin beaters.
     
    #71
  12. Bumps

    Bumps Well-Known Member

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    Mine will be off i cant take this
    Would love to think we will win but my entire life has seen us continually get beaten or shown up by Utd. To many friends of mine support utd so personally i am fecking dropping a brick.
    Internet off - eyes wide shut :(
     
    #72
  13. Binomial

    Binomial Well-Known Member

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    **** off, you're just as **** as us or have you forgotten?
     
    #73
  14. jenners04

    jenners04 I must not post porn!

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    he's about 18, so has the memory of a stoned goldfish.
     
    #74
    Page_Moss_Kopite likes this.
  15. We'll ****ing smash'em, home and away!
     
    #75
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  16. astro

    astro Well-Known Member

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    Same as Van Gaal who thinks he's on for the @Treble after wins against Shrewsbury and Midtjylland
     
    #76
  17. moreinjuredthanowen

    moreinjuredthanowen Mr Brightside

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    Oh it's on all right.
     
    #77
  18. What's the third competition?
     
    #78
  19. astro

    astro Well-Known Member

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    "We are in all the competitions, just six points behind Manchester City, we have a lot of chances, a lot of titles to fight for."
     
    #79
  20. wishiwasinliverpool

    wishiwasinliverpool Well-Known Member

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    'kin 'ell! <doh> And to think I wished for a nice, peaceful 2016! :(
     
    #80
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