Grand National Saturday 11th April 2015

1st time I have done this but using the National "Trends" I have whittled it down to 3 horses

Across The Bay
First Lieutenant
Portrait King

Plus have had abit of Rocky Creek already as I like him alot

 

But knowing my luck the winner will probably defy all trends lol

 

The trends I used were;
Aged 9,10,11
Under 11st 5
Rated 136+
Won over 3m
Has had 10 chase starts
Has run within 53 days
Run at least 3 chases this season
Won or placed in 15 runner fields
Won more than 17,000 in prize money
Has run over hurdles this season

 

Presumably Many Clouds and Lord Windermere won't run, and Carlingford Lough is already out, so the weights will go up a little. Not much though, as Sam Winner is a definite runner (if only to keep the weights down for Rocky Creek). So everything will go up about 2lbs I guess. Nothing runs from out the handicap these days does it?

Saint Are would interest me at 33/1 off about 10-7. As would the aforementioned Rocky Creek, natch.

 

Balz king & rocky creek interest me but will have to give the race a proper look near the time.i wonder what odds stfd will go off, 7/2

 

Chance Du Roy 40s
Saint Are 33s
Alvarado 25s
The Rainbow Hunter 66s

Seems like a few like Saint Are. Have only backed Chance Do Roy so far but will probably spray a few quid ew on the others nearer the time. The Rainbow Hunter has only got as far as the the 9th in 2 attempts but was brought down both times. Last year he actually completed the course riderless so he must like the fences.

 

thought this morning I would have an ante post bet on TEAFORTHREE

just found out he is out injured.Typical!!

 

Al co for me.

 

pops?

 

I always wait until we have a good idea of ground conditions, then who is likely to run -some need it proper soft others want it good...........

 

personally all of that goes out the window! if a horse is good enough to win, it will win- I doubt very much if it will be anything worst than Good - Soft As it usually is which really is ideal ground for the national!

 

Many Clouds runs

 

........and by the way.........its not on April 4th....!!!!!!!!!!

 

Cheers stick. I just came on to see what was happening, saw the thread and said to my wife " Crikey, it's the National on Saturday". Then looked to see what you had posted. It was almost as if you were answering me

 

With Tony McCoy’s announcement that he will almost certainly ride Shutthefrontdoor for Jonjo O’Neill in the Grand National, are we looking at potentially the shortest priced favourite in the history of the race when the once-a-year punters pile onto it on 11th April?

According to Oddschecker, it is currently 8/1. I note that a lot of the bookies are already going Non Runner No Bet. I wonder if that is because they have had enquiries from punters who saw this thread earlier and thought that the race was on Easter Saturday...

 

Timeform Preview here

 

Guys whats the chances of Broadway Buffalo getting in? Looking at the weights hes currently 45th. Im not sure how this whole thing works but i would be very sweet on him if he does scrape in.

 

Broadway Buffalo hasn't got in and won't run. Has missed the cut.

 

Cheers SBC, i guess they will try the Scottish? He has marathon written all over him.

 

I'm increasingly keen on old boy Oscar Time, 3lbs better off than than the last couple of near misses, the W-C's seem to have gotten a good shift out of him.. Can a 14 year old win it??