1. Log in now to remove adverts - no adverts at all to registered members!

The 2015 Supreme Novices Hurdle

Discussion in 'Horse Racing' started by OddDog, Mar 2, 2015.

  1. Black Caviar

    Black Caviar 1 of the top judges in Europe

    Joined:
    Jun 12, 2012
    Messages:
    43,884
    Likes Received:
    58,773
    The only superstar ive seen run in it is Sprinter Sacre.

    The others mentioned are the type of superstars that William gets every year.
     
    #41
  2. Black Caviar

    Black Caviar 1 of the top judges in Europe

    Joined:
    Jun 12, 2012
    Messages:
    43,884
    Likes Received:
    58,773
    Have you been aware of the requisite reek of superstar in any of his races though? Thats the question.

    If not, may I suggest a scratch and sniff form book.
     
    #42
    Deleted 1 likes this.
  3. Harchineedsballs

    Joined:
    Feb 22, 2013
    Messages:
    52
    Likes Received:
    3
    Pulled Dan I'm afraid
     
    #43
  4. Deleted 1

    Deleted 1 Well-Known Member
    Forum Moderator

    Joined:
    Jun 16, 2011
    Messages:
    19,443
    Likes Received:
    3,690
    That's a bloody good question Eddie - I haven't yet but if he wins next week I shall tell you all that I saw his mother walking round the paddock when she was in foal with him and you could tell by the look in her eye, the texture of her mane and the curious way in which she strtched her front right fetlock that it was clear for all to see that he would win Festival races 2 years in a row.

    Just seen the post below <doh> <laugh>
     
    #44
  5. boil1512

    boil1512 Active Member

    Joined:
    Jan 6, 2014
    Messages:
    363
    Likes Received:
    62
    I'm a massive fan of L'Ami for this race and if you look back Henderson has finished 2nd for the last 4 years so he knows what it takes to be there abouts. to add to that hes going in with a 2nd season novice, it think he will win and win well!!!! may be worth backing in running as Douvan will no doubt cruise and look the winner until they start the climb to the line!!!

    Just my opinion of course :)
     
    #45
  6. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
    Forum Moderator

    Joined:
    Jan 25, 2011
    Messages:
    50,332
    Likes Received:
    23,810
    Although I think Douvan will take some beating, at the prices I prefer Nichols Canyon ew. Betway are offering 20/1 and it's 42/1 on Betfair.
     
    #46
  7. Reebok

    Reebok YTS Mod
    Staff Member

    Joined:
    Jun 30, 2011
    Messages:
    8,156
    Likes Received:
    2,837
    Nichols Canyon is only 4-1 for the Neptune Ron (although bizarrely 18-1 with Spreadex) presumably this is his target if the market is any guide?
     
    #47
  8. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
    Forum Moderator

    Joined:
    Jan 25, 2011
    Messages:
    50,332
    Likes Received:
    23,810
    Cheers Reebs. That would explain it.
     
    #48
  9. Reebok

    Reebok YTS Mod
    Staff Member

    Joined:
    Jun 30, 2011
    Messages:
    8,156
    Likes Received:
    2,837
    Well this is confusing now Ron. Nichols Canyon is as low as 7-1 with a lot of bookies, yet still 45-47 on exchanges for the Supreme but still pretty much 4's across the board for the Neptune. Maybe he's going for both!
     
    #49
  10. King Shergar

    King Shergar Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 9, 2011
    Messages:
    8,982
    Likes Received:
    1,010
    The reason he is shorter with the bookies is because they are non runner no bet, where as the exchanges aren't so you'd lose your money. I'd imagine the only way he will go for that race is if anything happens to Douvan :biggrin:
     
    #50

  11. dwaynnyt

    dwaynnyt Member

    Joined:
    Jan 30, 2015
    Messages:
    29
    Likes Received:
    0
    Seems like that. But I don't see any odds that it will happen though.
     
    #51
  12. Bluesky9

    Bluesky9 Philosopher

    Joined:
    Jun 21, 2011
    Messages:
    2,851
    Likes Received:
    242
    This is a typical Cheltenham betting goggles race in my book. What happens is the excitement of Cheltenham takes over and we stop weighing and measuring our bets in the usual way. If you like betting at 6-4 you will find 10 bets much better than this throughout any normal week in which you can be reasonably sure of knowing exactly what the opposition is, a field of half the size and likely only one or possibly 2 only moderate threats to your selection.

    In this race everything is primed, everything is trying for it's life, some will have been tenderly handled with this day alone in mind. The favourite in any year will never have been tested as it will be on this day, will have to run to a new high mark to win and deal with the completely new highly charged occasion. Every single year there is a machine and yet before last year you had to go back 10 years to find a winning favourite.

    This is a brilliant race to watch and has thrown up some serious horses - it is not a race to bet in at short prices however and I would suggest no fav for this race should go off at less than 3-1 minimum.

    I think most of the first day is a right off as a betting proposition and really just for watching. However I will be hoping all the first four favs come in as I do love a bookie with an empty satchel. In my view the only sure thing is Annie Power.
     
    #52
  13. King Shergar

    King Shergar Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 9, 2011
    Messages:
    8,982
    Likes Received:
    1,010
    With only 12 runners going to post, this may not be the usual cavalry charge that doesn't favour favourites. And the bookies are now dangling the carrot of 2/1 about Douvan. I'm getting stuck in at those odds:biggrin:
     
    #53

Share This Page