LADY HEIDI 8-1 Musidora 2.45 York This filly improved with every run last season proving herself very useful with plenty of give underfoot. She was pretty much unfancied on her final run last season but beat some pretty highly rated colts. Back against her own sex tomorrow and in these conditions it will take some decent filly to beat her if she has trained on. Cambridge has been well touted but would you really take such skinny odds about a seasonal debutante in such soft ground. LADY HEIDI has the highest official rating and if she were in a higher profile yard she would be half the odds currently available.
I have taken the Cambridge odds chaps and think she'll win. Maarek will carry a few quid also if it chucks it down.
Maarek has a Group 1 penalty to overcome giving at least 5lbs away to some very good horses and 10lbs to the bottom weight, but in soft ground and now fully wound up after 2 runs, he could be up to doing so. Certainly worth a bit of e/w interest, especially if the ground comes up soft. The handicaps look as tough as ever, but I like the look of O Ma Lad in the last, he bounced back to form with a 3 length second to Sirvino, when heavily supported in the market on his latest run, he is 4lb well in on his best winning mark and was rated 91 at his peak. He has a fantastic record in Class 4 events including 2 wins and 2 places. He has also won a Class 3 race and contested some very tough staying handicaps at the back end of last season. Tomorrows race represents a drop in grade from his most recent outings and presents a great opportunity to get his head back infront.
Cambridge may not run yet Bob, Ted Grimthorpe has said the ground may be too soft. http://www.racingpost.com/news/live.sd?event_id=1155651&category=0
York 1.45 Hi There 12/1 2.15 Aetna 12/1 2.45 Cambridge 7/2 3.15 Jack Dexter 5/1 3.50 Makin The Rules 33/1
Summerinthecity @ 18/1 2.15 York Another recent purchase by the forums joint favourite Good Doctor...Marwan Koukash, he has left the barn of David Nicholls to join Richard Fahey who seems to improve the good Dr's purchaces, well enough handicapped here off a mark of 90, ridden by the boy Ian Brennan claiming -3lbs, 50% (2from4) record for the yard, Summerinthecity had excellent C/D form last year when hampered behind Tropics now rated 15lbs higher, he also has form on a soft surface and is by the beautiful Indian Ridge. We all know how the Good Doctor Koukash likes to win these big handicaps, I believe he has bought this horse with this race in mind? 18/1 E/W 1/4 the Odd's 1st 4 looks value to me! Good Luck!
Eastern Belle 16/1 each way York 2:45 - I remember her being highly touted last year and whilst running well on 2 occasions over 7f, placing twice, she did not set the world alight. Now at 3 and stepped up in trip I think we will see this filly in a much better light and hopefully it starts today. She was beaten a short head by Miss Lillie now rated 82 on her final 2yo start on soft ground and went down over 1 and a half lengths on her comeback run this season to Hadaatha on good ground, that filly looks a smart prospect out of Sea The Stars and it should have Eastern Belle stripping fit for a crack at this today. Obviously she needs to improve for that today to win but with conditions set to suit and progression granted over the 10f trip I think she will run very well here.
Looks a tight race the 245 not really a betting opertunity to my liking but with the obvious intrest it intrigues me. I am looking forward to Rotos usual exeptional write ups that hopefully will be more frequent as I noticed on a post the other day. Anyway my views on a race I would normally just watch so please take them with a pinch of salt , i will play with a small stake just to pass the time away and make the watching a little more exiting. I recognise a few of them but have justed opened the form book which is very nice but very brief indeed , First thoughts absences can be a real off putting thing but with a few of them having exeptional first runs can you rule them out ! Conditions I think as mentioned will the fav run or be withdrawn due to this , we know lady heidi wont mind them. Jockeys im just throwing darts now. Time figures , consistency , previous track runs. One stands out as way to big , placing at the grade/ distance won at the distance , been here before , won14 days ago at 10f , goes well on soft ground . Ticks all the boxes with 20s available bet placed ew on latenightrequest . Good luck all who play
If I was picking 3 horses in the very tricky York Sprint I think I would go with Jack Dexter, Music Master and Astaire. But what a list of possibles that are very difficult to rule out. Good luck to anyone betting in that race.
IDEA 4-1 York 3:50 is a horse I have been waiting for. I think its better than handicap class and I am confident of a big run tomorrow. This is the Miizzen Mast colt that I was giving Bustino the heads up for pre season. He is a good looking animal and although his pedigree suggested a top of the ground performer he handled the soft very nicely at Windsor. He didn't have the clearest of runs that day but won a shade cosily. Seven furlongs looks perfect for him given the amount of speed in the family.
20.25 Chepstow- LAC SACRE- 2/1 Had a lot in over C&D last time and still has scope to do better in this form given his hurdles form
Cheers Wooly mate - he had 2 decent winners on Saturday so hope PWISE back to better form now. - STH he is on commission like bet fair haha ! Thought PWISE would do a few tomorrow as good midweek meeting. Done Bostonbobs 2 today early on and Uncles one at Beverley which made a boring day in the office on a Tuesday a bit more bearable - cheers fellas.
1.45 York Clever Cookie 8/1 Having had a blinding season over hurdles which saw him win a Grade 2 Novice Hurdle, Peter Niven turned the attentions of his star 6 year old to the flat where he won at the first time of asking in comfortable fashion at Doncaster last month and although it's hard to know what he beat I think a mark of 88 could prove lenient for this talented, unexposed horse. In a contest won by subsequent Ormonde Stakes runner up Mad Moose last year and the useful Suraj the year before, Clever Cookie made a seamless progression from the National Hunt scene to the flat with a ready 1.5L success under today's jockey Graham Lee and although it's virtually impossible to know what he beat in Air Pilot who had a solitary start in France nearly 2 years earlier I was quite taken by that performance and I'm keen to believe that this dual bumper winner is capable of better than his opening mark now turned to a handicap. Although stall 17 certainly could have been kinder, Clever Cookie should be held up off the pace so it shouldn't make a massive difference and at 8/1 I'm certainly willing to back him as I really feel he'll run a very big race. 2.15 York Royal Rascal 11/1 & Blaine 10/1 The reasoning behind both of these horses is virtually identical as both were very decent 2 year olds, who struggled badly at 3 (which happens a lot to those just below top level), but ran extremely promising reappearances on their first starts at 4 back in handicaps. Tim Easterby's Royal Rascal is a triple C+D winner who was 3rd in the Lowther and winner of the Rockingham in her juvenile season before performing terribly in two Pattern Races as a 3 year but who massively caught the eye last month. Returned to a handicap off a mark of 97 over 6f at Pontefract, I felt Royal Rascal ran a highly encouraging race when a not knocked about 6th from a wide draw and uncompromising position when beaten less than 4L in a race that has worked out well (reopposing Fast Shot & Yeoow meet her on 11lb & 4lb worse terms respectively). Dropped 2lb to a mark of 95, sure to have come on for the run, returned to her favourite venue and with underfoot conditions looking no issue, I think Royal Rascal is primed to run a big race and I'd be very surprised if she doesn't go very close. Incredibly similarly, Kevin Ryan's Blaine was a highly promising two year old who won the Gimcrack over C+D on just his second start before flopping as a 3 year old but who hinted the spark had not gone when reappearing at Beverley 28 days ago. Having been gelded over the winter, Blaine was dropped to the flying 5f at Beverley for the first time and off a mark of 95 he was never nearer than at the finish beaten under 2L. Looking outpaced for much of the contest, the return to 6f will definitely suit and he has a perfect 2-2 record at the Knavesmire whilst that first run since August will definitely have put him spot on for this. Richard Hughes is an incredibly eye catching booking for the Kevin Ryan Yard given he is 1-5 in the past 5 seasons and it very much looks as if this has been his early season target for some time. The one concern I have about Blaine is his ability to handle a testing surface but he is undoubtedly well handicapped on his 2 year old exploits and if handling conditions he's sure to run a blinder. I have a slight preference for Royal Rascal but have backed both and done a reverse-forecast on the pair too. 2.45 York Lady Heidi 8/1 I'm in total agreement with all points raised by Stick and if Lady Heidi was trained by a "traditional big name" she would unquestionably be a lot, lot shorter. but I think Phil Kirby is an outstanding young trainer and fancy his Oaks hope to go very close in this. The highest rated horse in the field, Lady Heidi had obviously been steadily brought along by Kirby and run with promise in two Maidens but she took a gigantic step forward on her 3rd start when pitched into Listed Company against the Colts where she ran out an impressive 3L winner. On heavy ground over a mile at Pontefract, Lady Heidi came from the back of the field and was going away at the finish as she left in her wake 4 male counterparts. There was no fluke about her victory as she beat the useful Safety Check who could only finish 2nd and she should undoubtedly improve for the step up in trip. Phil Kirby clearly takes care of his horses at 2 and given that Lady Heidi was his first juvenile success from 34 runners I certainly do not believe you can question the merit of her victory. If taking that run on face value, on collateral form Lady Heidi is the one they all have to beat and at 8/1 she is truly brilliant value. 3.15 York Maarek 9/1 Maarek is undoubtedly my favourite horse in training and although he's got a tough ask shouldering a 5lb Group 1 penalty this certainly isn't the strongest renewal of this contest and I'd be very disappointed if he isn't bang there at the finish. First of all, last year's Prix De L'Abbaye winner has Evanna McCutcheon listed as his trainer this season but there has been no change to his team with McCutcheon filling the role of assistant to previous named trainer Barry Lalor last year but they have swapped titles this year (can only assume McCutcheon couldn't get licensed last year). Now a 7 year old, Maarek absolutely bombed out on his reappearance at Cork but he put in a much better performance when 2nd to Aidan O'Brien's unexposed 3 year old Guerre conceding him a stone and first run on ground quicker than ideal and he seems to be coming to the boil nicely now. A deluge of rain at York over the past few days has seen the ground turn perfectly for this mud lover and he's unquestionably a top class sprinter when getting his conditions. Although Astaire & Jack Dexter pose obvious dangers, this really isn't the strongest of contests and Maarek is drawn low (perhaps not ideal) where all the pace seems to be which this hold up performer thrives on. Although this is not his season definer, he should be spot on for this after his two runs back and getting his ground conditions in a race that lacks obvious depth I cannot see him being far away and I think 9/1 is an insult to his chances and he rates a great each way proposition. I could not have been more impressed with the debut of 3.50 York That Is The Spirit as he landed some nice bets from the David O'Meara yard at Doncaster back in March and for who I think is definitely a future Pattern Horse. In a 19 runner handicap carrying top weight (mark of 90) I think 7/2 is too short about him but I'm confident he'll be touch at least 5/1 tomorrow at which point I will back him. The St James Palace Stakes entry for Idea very much catches the eye given the grey is rated 79 and, for all I think That Is The Spirit is quite a bit better than a mark of 90, you've got to expect Idea has at least a few lbs in hand of the handicapper and it will take a serious performance by That Is The Spirit to give that rival 11lb. Both will probably be taken on tomorrow to 5/1+ and I think they could prove a cut above this field. I've played the RFC.
Jack Dexter @ 9/2 (GP) 15:15 DUKE OF YORK STAKES 6f Cambridge @ 3/1 (GP) 14:45 MUSIDORA STAKES 1m 2f 88y Fast Shot @ 10/1 (GP) 14:15 INFINITY TYRES STAKES 6f Clever Cookie @ 8/1 (GP) 13:45 STANJAMES.COM STAKES 1m 2f 88y Channel 4 lucky and acca (ew) stay frosty
Hello all What fantastic weather it looks like being for the York meeting !!!! just the 3 races for 2yr olds today: 4.25 York- Magic Roundabout 525 Chep- Be Bold 545 Naas- Simply a star e/w Good luck all 