1. Log in now to remove adverts - no adverts at all to registered members!

Relegation Watch 2013/4

Discussion in 'Norwich City' started by Cruyff's Turn, Jul 21, 2013.

  1. THURNBY CANARY

    THURNBY CANARY Active Member

    Joined:
    Mar 27, 2012
    Messages:
    2,292
    Likes Received:
    21
    The table looks a lot better this morning thanks to West Ham's win and the bottom 4 look to be slightly adrift. A win on Saturday would give us breathing space and because of that we may relax and actually accumulate more points than we think at present. Well in theory anyway!
     
    #721
  2. Canary Rob

    Canary Rob Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jun 10, 2011
    Messages:
    11,844
    Likes Received:
    4,082
    The interesting thing about this stat is that, at this stage, it appears more useful to be able to draw games than necessarily win them, given the order in the table! Obviously there are games in hand and it might all change by the end of the season, but that is an odd effect.
     
    #722
  3. DHCanary

    DHCanary Very Well-Known Member
    Forum Moderator

    Joined:
    Jan 24, 2011
    Messages:
    17,000
    Likes Received:
    5,897
    Sunderland's next four are Spurs, Man City and Chelsea all away, and Everton at home. Getting more than 2 points from those fixtures looks pretty unlikely to me. Should we beat West Brom, that puts them 8 behind with 4 to play, including a trip to Old Trafford and the visit of WBA. They'd need to win 3 of those 4 games to overtake us. It's just about possible, but if they can't beat West Ham at home in a "must-win", I'm not convinced they'll beat Cardiff, WBA and Swansea.
     
    #723
  4. Resurgam

    Resurgam Top Analyst
    Staff Member

    Joined:
    Jan 30, 2011
    Messages:
    20,967
    Likes Received:
    5,019
    I still remember Coventry having to win their last few games to relegate us from the top division, including a trip to the new champions Everton.
    Possible but not probable was the verdict.
    Most of us remember what happened then, so I won't be counting the chickens just yet.
     
    #724
  5. canary_max

    canary_max Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Feb 4, 2011
    Messages:
    5,659
    Likes Received:
    45
    another biggie this weekend is cardiff vs palace, not only our game
     
    #725
  6. WareCanary

    WareCanary Active Member

    Joined:
    Mar 7, 2011
    Messages:
    485
    Likes Received:
    72
    I don't see any of the bottom 3 getting more than 33 points, so a win on Saturday will be huge IMO.
     
    #726
  7. RiverEndRick

    RiverEndRick Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 26, 2011
    Messages:
    17,291
    Likes Received:
    8,987
    I'd hope for a good reaction against WBA at home after the players agreeing to refund the yellow army's expenses. Winning on saturday would make it very difficult for any of the bottom 3 to catch us, IMO. Even WBA would be 6 behind with 5 to play. Huge match, then! OTBC!
     
    #727
  8. Cruyff's Turn

    Cruyff's Turn Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 16, 2011
    Messages:
    5,069
    Likes Received:
    324
    I really think that yesterday's events will have little effect on the issue as a whole.It's pretty much down to Fulham now.I think if we win there then the chances of going down are around 5%.If we draw about 25% and if we lose around 70%.Don't forget though that Fulham are still a rubbish side with a massive negative GD.Villa was a bit of a fluke and they are rubbish as well at the moment.
     
    #728
  9. JKCanary

    JKCanary Guest

    Good grief I cannot wait for this season to be over. It hasn't been an enjoyable one.
     
    #729
  10. Canary Rob

    Canary Rob Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jun 10, 2011
    Messages:
    11,844
    Likes Received:
    4,082
    Admirable positivity CT! I am actually with you - I think we can stay up. I actually wouldn't be surprised if we stayed up after losing all our remaining games as mad as that sounds. The fact that Fulham are now the only likely bottom three member to catch us is very good news because their goal difference is even worse. So I can see their remaining matches being: Norwich W, Tottenham L, Hull D, Stoke L and finally Palace D to keep us up


    <laugh>. But it's no laughing matter, I completely agree. Though I might feel rather differently in retrospect if we beat Liverpool to stop them winning the title!
     
    #730

  11. JKCanary

    JKCanary Guest

    After feeling surprisingly positive before the West Brom game, I'm now at an all time low.
    If we come out of the Fulham game still on 32 points, in my opinion we will need at least another couple of points from our last 4 games to make us safe.

    If we beat Fulham, I think we're safe.

    If we draw, who knows.
     
    #731
  12. The B&S Fanclub

    The B&S Fanclub Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 27, 2011
    Messages:
    11,595
    Likes Received:
    6,777
    QUOTE
    hull have no goals in them at all and i can't see them staying up.

    13 Newcastle United
    14 Cardiff City
    15 Aston Villa
    16 Fulham
    17 West Bromwich Albion
    18 Crystal Palace
    19 Sunderland
    20 Hull City

    Planet Norwich!!........For crying out loud..SUPER HULL CITY are on the beach.
    Norwich are GOING DOWN!! can't wait...
     
    #732
  13. Superman wears Grant Holt pyjamas in bed

    Joined:
    Jan 24, 2011
    Messages:
    13,639
    Likes Received:
    346
    this piece, interesting as it is, has little relevance to our decision to sack hughton now as there's no time left to effect things dramatically but does highlight that changing your manager makes basically no difference in terms of league position

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/newsbeat/26920629
     
    #733
  14. JKCanary

    JKCanary Guest

    Isn't it true though, that a change in manager often improves a clubs fortunes in the very short-term (say, the first 3 games or so)?
     
    #734
  15. canary_max

    canary_max Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Feb 4, 2011
    Messages:
    5,659
    Likes Received:
    45
    our odds will drop through the floor if we lose on saturday. currently we are not favs to go down with the punters
    however, even if we lose, i don't think that willl be that - there are still some twists to come this season
     
    #735
  16. Superman wears Grant Holt pyjamas in bed

    Joined:
    Jan 24, 2011
    Messages:
    13,639
    Likes Received:
    346
    not sure. i would guess it's probably 50/50 at best
     
    #736
  17. Cruyff's Turn

    Cruyff's Turn Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 16, 2011
    Messages:
    5,069
    Likes Received:
    324
    It's easy to be positive.We have had three seasons and our finances are sorted.If we do go down I won't be thinking can we scrape a draw every week.We will have Ipswich to batter (twice) And yes,I genuinely do think we may stay up anyway.
     
    #737
  18. DragonPhilljack

    DragonPhilljack Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Feb 25, 2011
    Messages:
    25,369
    Likes Received:
    11,125
    You just need to give Fulham a good thumping and you will be ok! Wouldn't like to see you boys go down, and I'm sure you will get a draw or two from your final fixtures, though you do have one of the toughest run ins, best of luck lads!...................<ok>
     
    #738
  19. Cruyff's Turn

    Cruyff's Turn Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 16, 2011
    Messages:
    5,069
    Likes Received:
    324
    Sunderland's games in hand are turning into a bit of a two edged sword.A 5-1 thumping by The Spuds moves their GD to -24 and Citeh still to come.
     
    #739
  20. Bandit

    Bandit Active Member

    Joined:
    Mar 30, 2011
    Messages:
    2,747
    Likes Received:
    7
    6 points in the last 4 games, two defeats against Man City and Everton, hardly 'rubbish' form really, especially taking yours into account. And if you think the Villa game was a fluke, you obviously weren't watching. If we beat you in the next game, you're down, and your fans know it. If you can't beat the likes of us and WBA, then you have no chance against the big four.
     
    #740

Share This Page