Statto's final league table predictions

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DMD

Eh?
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Jan 25, 2011
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Full Article

With just six points separating leaders Chelsea and Manchester City in fourth - and with Liverpool, Arsenal and Manchester City all having games in hand - this season's title race looks set to go down to the wire and appears almost impossible to predict.
But the gurus at Bloomberg Sports have been busy number-crunching a season's worth of data and have used complex algorithms to predict the final standings - and it is Manchester City who are set to emerge victorious.

Attacking stats such as pass completion and shooting accuracy have been considered as well as defensive details, including tackles and interceptions.
But other factors involved include less tangible effects like the importance of new players added into squads.
The final standings are all based on the most likely outcomes from the remaining fixtures of the season, and Bloomberg's table contains a predicted final points total for all 20 top-flight teams.

There are also percentages included for how likely each team is to win the Premier League, with Arsenal given just a 7.4 per cent chance of emerging victorious.
But the consolation for Arsene Wenger is that his side are 94.8 per cent likely to finish in the Champions League places this term, according to the stats.
Fulham, Cardiff and Crystal Palace are the three teams predicted for relegation down to the Championship.
And the worst news for Cardiff fans is that, while they are in the precarious position of sitting second bottom of the league, the Bluebirds are still more likely to be relgated than rock-bottom Fulham.




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