Cheltenham 2014 Day One Daily Thread - Tuesday 11th March

On the contrary -the winners price will drift!

 

These are the ones I'll be backing today:

1.30 Wicklow brave/gilgamboa
2.05 dodging bullets
2.40 king massini/muldoon's picnic
3.20 the new one
4.00 quevega/highland retreat ew
4.40 shutthefrontdoor
5.15 ericht/Buthelezi

Good luck all, the waiting is finally over!!!!

 

Morning all.
Today's lucky 15.
Cheltenham.
1-30.Irving.
2-05.Dodging Bullets.
3-20.Hurricane Fly.
4-00.Quevega.
Also I've done a lucky 15 consisting of 1 horse each day.
Tues, Irving.
Weds,Sire De Grugy.
Thurs,Big Buck's
Fri,Silviniaco Conti.
Good luck to all.

 

Right, I'm on The Fly at 7/2. Too big a price to leave unbacked.

 

Morning all - very busy for a Tuesday Great to see so many of the old gang on here.

My 7 losers are:
The liquidator (e-w)
Trifoleum
Renard (e-w)
My tent or yours
Down Ace (e-w)
Shotgun paddy
Many rivers to cross (e-w)

 

This did make me smile, as did Brough Tigers 'TNO, oh no maybe Our Conor' I really think that sums up the Champion Hurdle. For all the bullishness about certainties in this race (you know who you are!) you simply cannot be overly dogmatic as to who will win this race. No way

Today's markets again show why ante-post betting should be minimised if not avoided completely during the couple of weeks before the big day. Irving / Vautour 4/1, Western Boy 25/1! Fly 7/2 generally and 6/1 WH @ 10.00am (though only for a tenner).

Good luck

 

Morning all, been a while hope everyone is well. Something i just saw in an email that might interest a few of you William Hill are going 6/1 on Hurricane Fly at 10am

 

The liquidator e/w
Trifolium
Time for rupert e/w
The fly
Quevega
Suntiep e/w
Babymix e/w

 

Welcome Dimitar

 

No one who watched last year's Triumph can deny they witnessed a future champion. You may simply want to change it from 2014 to 2015 though Seriously bullish vibes around the preview circuit for him and Dessie seems pretty confident. Personally, I think, as with Fly Our Conor would have been slightly more suited by slower ground as I think stamina is his forte but he's certainly a big player. I've done My Tent or Yours as a saver in the race though, as I think he's been seriously underestimated, well up until he'd been 'pricewised'! It's a race you could have 3 bets in and still not have the winner. That's my hugely insightful view on it

P.S. I wasn't meaning you as being the 'bullish' one either!

 

Welcome back DefinitelyMaybe94

 

They'll do owt to keep that market moving...!!!

 

Morning Ron, right picks for the day

The Liquidator E/W
Champagne Fever
Holywell
Hurricane Fly (Can't bring myself to abandon him now!)
Quevega
Foxrock
Pendra E/W

 

Hurricane Fly @ 11/4 (GP)
15:20 CHAMPION HURDLE (GRADE 1) 2m 1/2f
Quevega @ 4/6 (GP)
16:00 OLBG MARES' HURDLE 2m 4f

Pendra @ 8/1 (GP)
17:15 NOVICES' HANDICAP CHASE 2m 4 1/2f

Holywell @ 7/1 (GP)
14:40 HANDICAP CHASE (GRADE 3) 3m 1/2f

Champagne Fever @ 5/2 (GP)
14:05 ARKLE CHASE (GRADE 1) 2m

Vautour @ 3/1 (GP)
13:30 SUPREME NOVICES' HURDLE 2m 1/2f


ACCA AND LUCKY 63

GOOD LUCK ALL

AND AS ALWAYS

S
T
A
Y

F
R
O
S
T
Y

XXXXXX

 

Morning all... The first of many bets today that will be burning my hands until the finish line... then torn up and binned...!!!

1.30 - Vaniteux, 12/1
2.40 - Holywell, 8/1
4.40 - Midnight Prayer, 9/1
5.15 - Close House, 14/1

That's my Lucky15 for starters... Good luck lads and lasses...

 

The 5.15 is a minefield.

Barry G says his has a great chance if it jumps.
Bryan Cooper says his ride is his best outsider of the week.
Stick and The Don and presumably the Longsdon yard think Pendra is ready to win.

That's just three runners seemingly mega fancied.

And that's just one handicap.

Handicap betting is a quick way to the poor house.

 

Baby Mix doesn't go in the 5.15.

 

I was backing Our Conor large on the flat before most of you had even heard of him, he wont win a Champion Hurdle, doesnt do enough off the bridle.