Did a quick very non-scientific study of the remaining fixtures of the current top 4 teams. We play Burnley next - who are 11th in the table. Then Forest who are 6th. Adding 11 to 6 and repeating this for all our games left, came to a total of 134. Divided by number of games, 10 = average placing of 13.4 of our opponents. Applying the same method to all top 4 teams gave the following results: Cardiff 11.8 Watford 12.3 Palace 15.5 City 13.4 So, based on current standings, Palace have the easiest run-in. As I said, it's only based on current placings and can change from week to week and doesn't take into home home/away games. So, it's not fool-proof. In fact, I'd go as far to say that it shouldn't be taken to seriously and I may have just wasted half an hour of my life compiling the info and posting this. If I can find another half an hour later in the day I may post some more drivel.
I actually found that interesting but you really should be doing something more useful on a Sunday morning, like eating a bacon sarnie.....as I am just about to do!
I came to an agreement with my maths teacher- I wouldn't bother going to her lessons and she wouldn't mark me as absent. So I have absolutely no idea what your on about chilts, are we going up as champs? Come up with a formula for that, cheers
Did you have the same agreement with your English teacher as well Thought it was self- explanatory - PALACE HAVE THE EASIEST RUN-IN
how did you guess? Though strangely enough I never missed PE, which s why I'm doing keepy uppy while I'm typing
doesn't including games against each other distort the figures. surely removing them and multiplying by the remaining number of games after that gives a more accurate reading? this is utter bollocks by the way but just thought I'd unnecessarily question your equation. your welcome (deliberate grammar mistake but don't worry, chazz won't pick up on it haha)
It's an interesting and unusual approach and (as I'm sure you realise) based on some rather dodgy assumptions - for example, current positions in the league table are not necessarily an indicator of current form. Any statistical prediction would really need to be based upon a much more complex, multifactorial approach with allowance for confounding factors blah blah...... But, as my old supervisor used to say about any statistical test - "if it works then it's good!" So, we'll all just have to wait and see.
Each team should have points from their last 6 games added to their league position and then averaged.
here is the "run in " table of stats at 365 http://stats.football365.co.uk/dom/ENG/D1/runin.html Its all stats so kinda meaningless of course , though interestingly Our current form is equal to our season form , Both Watford and Palace are performing above their season form , on season form City are predicted to finish 2nd on 83pts on recent form City are predicted to finish 4th on 83pts :/
Oh dear, and Leicester are predicted to finish 8th If this does turn out to be accurate I wonder how many Leicester fans will support us in the play offs, in a similar way to that in which Scarbs appears to be rooting for them? Not many I wouldn't have thought
Never mind didn't read your last few lines... ps: **** this was my 1000 th post on the board... what a ****e one
