Hi everyone, Long time reader of the threads on here and I must say there are Some very knowledgeable people that contribute. I thought after learning about the game for the past couple of years I am now in a position to contribute to the fourm. I will be offering my pearls of wisdom for you all to be amazed at (or laugh at). Anyway I have one bet for tomorrow so here goes, beginners luck would be a nice start. This nag runs at Lingfield 4.00 Mia`s Boy 5/1 He won off of a 4lb higher mark last year. Sorry can`t do big write ups like you on here but I knows what I like and I like`s what I know Yes My Tent Or Yours my favourite horse and the Supreme winner, just encase you was wondering!
Welcome MTOY i too like the chances of Mias Boy and there has been a little support for this one this evening.
Hi Ardent, yes he has been nibbled at in the market, glad you like him to! Hawkeye, No Champion Hurdle bid for MTOY this year imo, needs some more experience and I don`t think after losing Darlan JP will want to be in a rush with him, just my opinion of course.
Agree re Captain Cutter, surprised to see odds against. I predict the favourites will win the first 2 at Ascot (Up & Go and Rocky Creek) but there one I'm thinking of playing is in the 3.15 at Ascot. Top weight Sadler's Risk should come on leaps and bounds for his re-appearance which was on unfavourable heavy going. 18/1 simply too big in my eyes, and I think this slight step up in trip will bring about some improvement too. Many others look to have chances so it's not a race to go steep but much of those who look well in haven't run this season and I simply can't back a horse off of such a long layoff in a competitive race like this.
Just the three for me tomorrow; Ascot 2.40 - Tatenen - 8/1 3.50 - Cue Card - 11/4 Haydock 2.55 - Mac Aeda - 18/1 All the best for anyone else risking their hard earned tomorrow
Also like Lively Baron 25/1 in the national trial at Haydock. Idled all the way to the line at Sandown before a late blunder cost him a place LTO. Too big.
Backed him for the Festival bumper tonight coz if he wins this he will be favourite and if he flops he will be a non runner and I will get my dough back ;-)
Welcome aboard and good luck with your selection. I am on GEORGE GURU in that race. The yard are really hitting form and I know they fancy this one!
It's a good idea Stick. The Pipe horse is decent but at the end of the day Hendersons best bumper is almost always going to be better than Pipe's. I'm on Moyle Park for the Champion
4.50 Wincanton Bamboleo 9/2 David Pipe's 6 year old could prove absolutely chucked in on his handicap debut off a mark of 104 and, if he's anywhere near as good as his pedigree suggests, this Albert Bartlett entrant could turn this race into a procession. A full brother to the very talented Mossley who finished a clear 2nd to Bob's Worth in 2011 Albert Bartlett, I think its very fair to say he's been rather disappointing in his career to date but he starts life in handicap company at a very modest level and I'm sure connections will be bitterly disappointed if he's unable to score off a lowly mark such as this. After making an encouraging debut in a bumper at Doncaster in late 2011, he was a little disappointing in his other 2 bumpers when finishing a modest 3rd on both occasion and after being put away for 11 months I thought he made quite a nice introduction over hurdles on his seasonal reappearance last month. Over the 2m3f trip at Exeter, Bamboleo was settled just in behind the pace under tomorrow's jockey Tom Scudamore but he got pretty badly outpaced and looked like he'd fall away tamely as he dropped back to a remote 7th but he did stay on quite strongly in the end to finish a modest enough 22L beaten 4th but he did shape nicely enough. His final start came 2 weeks ago when upped to 3m at Ffos Las and despite not really looking like a winner in waiting he shaped well enough when finishing a 11L beaten 4th. Held up in the rear by Conor O'Farrell, Bambaleo made good progress to sit in behind the leaders turning into the home straight as he made some laboured progress to go 4th up the run in. Although not tested subsequently, I'm a big fan of the winner Ugly Bug and the runner up had finished 3rd off a mark of 115 in a race that has worked out well on his previous start so the form isn't that bad.Although he'll definitely need to improve from his opening two starts over hurdles, David Pipe is as shrewd as you get with horses like Bambaleo and I'm definitely sure he would have left something to work with after his first two starts for nearly a year absence. I think 2m6f in testing conditions looks perfect for him and he really starts at a low level off a mark of 104. Although clearly not as good as his full brother, even if he is 20lb inferior than him that would surely see him winning this contest and given that he has been entered in the Albert Bartlett leads me to believe that Pipe must think a bit about him at home. Stable jockey Tom Scudamore takes the ride and Pipe has his horses in fine fettle at present. Despite carrying 11-11, the past two winners of this race have come from the head of the weights and its also very interesting to note that Pipe won this with a handicap debutant 4 years ago. If anywhere near as good as he is bred to be, Bambaleo should be a distance better than his opening mark of 104 and if he proves to be just that he could turn this contest into a procession.
Is he actually entered Stick? Doesn't seem to hold an entry at Chelts, but maybe I am looking in the wrong place! Welcome to the forum MTOY. I'll be taking you on in the Supreme, as I'm holding vouchers about Un Atout at a nice 20-1 Interesting race that 15-15 at Ascot, and while Sadler's Risk is the class act, I'm looking to The Bear Trap to pay me back my lost dosh from LTO! In the Betfair, I'm expecting a big run from loveable rogue Somersby, who has had a bad press from time to time but is still a class act. And in the foxhunters Current Exchange holds a massive chance. Unfortunately all the bookies are quoting SP for this race and I don't bet on the exchanges!
Stick - Have you noticed Jamie Poulton's Push Me is out again at Lingfield tomorrow. I remember you put it up last week and it was very unlucky in my opinion and not given a great ride. I have missed the bigger prices but am on at 7-2 best odds as I think it will go in. I would have put it up as a selection but being fair probably would not have looked at the race too much had you not brought attention to the horse last week, and so I think the credit will be yours.
2.40 Ascot Tatenen 8/1 I absolutely adore this fella having tipped him up when winning successive Betvictor Handicap Chases at Ascot in the past two years and with his bid for a 3rd success victory in that race curtailed with the meeting abandoned last month but I'm glad he's found another similar event less than a month later at the same track as he's been trained for that particular race for the past 3 seasons. Formerly very close to top class when trained by Paul Nicholls and sent off the Arkle favourite back in 2009, Tatenen joined Richard Rowe in October 2010 and he didn't have to wait long for his first success when running away with the 2011 renewal of the Betvictor Handicap Chase in January of that year when smashing the field by 16L off a mark of 137. He was hit hard by the handicapper when raised to a mark of 150 after that effort but after 2 more runs that season and a reappearance run to get him spot on for the same race last year he had fallen to a mark of 143 where he was given an inspired ride by Andrew Thornton to score by a head in a fantastic battling finish in the extended 2m5f contest. After being prominent early on, he took up the running under tomorrow's pilot at about half way and he was kicked clear of the field coming around the home turn. At 2 out, he was headed by the eventual runner up I'msingingtheblues and was a length down after jumping the last but this now 9 year old should tremendous battling and resolve to get up and score by a head in a fantastic driving finish. He was again propelled to a mark of 150 but after running in a Grade 1 and when unseating in the Grand National last year he was again dropped in the weights. His final start came at Cheltenham off a mark of 147 back in December where he shaped really well what was clearly a prep run for last month's abandoned contest which the handicapper has seen fit to drop him another 3lb to a mark of 144 - just 1lb above the mark he was successful off last year. Tomorrow's contest is a little different to what he would have faced if last month's race took place given that he's got to carry quite a bit more weight and its over 3m but off just 1lb higher than the mark he was successful at the track last year I certainly feel he's got an excellent chance where he is 2-2 in handicaps. In addition to the worries about the testing conditions, Richard Rowe has been going through a barren spell for quite a few months but there is no doubt in my mind Tatenen will be spot on for this tomorrow. At a track he clearly loves, I'm confident of a big showing from this 9 year old under Andrew Thornton and hopefully he can score seal a 3rd early year success at Ascot in the past 3 seasons.
