Ok, so 9 more wins from 15 required to meet 40 points. The question is, can we win against teams that don't play badly? We failed against labouring Arsenal and Newcastle sides, and couldn't do enough against a poor and underconfident Sunderland. Will we rely on moments of magic? Taarabt's layoff and SWP's inch perfect shot into the corner of the net vs Chelsea; Taarabt's goals vs West Ham and Fulham. Can we pack the midfield at home and be happy to play on the counter attack?? West Brom on Saturday has come at the perfect time; nothing to lose. A home match. Perhaps this will tell us more about how we need to play over the coming four months to achieve the 40 point target.
You're over complicating matters with these questions, as are all pundits. For example if you win your next game and the saints or wigan lose, you're 2 points behind them, 2 measly points, so you go from a team needing a "Miracle" to a team that just needs to outscore your rivals by 3 points to stay up. This is why its so tight, and why its best to ignore the pundits saying you need a miracle, as you don't require a miracle, all you require is for your players to perform to the standard they are capable of, under a manager that knows how to win premier leagues. Yes you may well go down, but you also have as much chance as saints or wigan and I hope you pull it off.
Not sure we need to win 9 though that would be almost certain safety. Looking at the fixtures, there are certainly winnable games. No doubt still a big ask but at least there is real progress now. The Team and Harry have clearly not given up so neither will I. If Wigan did it last year (also beating Chelsea at The Bridge if I recall correctly??), then why can't we.
We have 17 games left, you're probably ruling out the two Manc games, but Israel's projection this morning was realistic and attainable ; of course we still have to actually go out and get the results but it is definitely possible.
17 games to go - 38 points the target.. 7 wins 4 draws 6 lost - not impossible if we play like last night. I was thinking no chance on Sunday, I'm thinking it might just be possible now...
We haven't become a different team following that fantastic result last night. Still looks highly unlikely, although an injection of confidence can't be underestimated.
We might become a different team during the window and with the outcasts back, we've taken 9 points from Harry's first 8 games compared to 4 from 13 under the Welsh W*nker, progress indeed...
Trying very hard not to get over confident - we have a hell of long way to go. However, I've promised myself that if it all comes down to the last game away at Liverpool (not at all impossible, maybe even likely!), I will be there!!
YES. How's that? That's how optimistic I am. On the other hand....... will it be 40 points? OK so lets say it is. We could simply DRAW the rest of the matches. We don't have to win. But to offset any possibilities of losing 2 or 3, we might as well go and win 2 or 3 and still draw the rest. And we'd be safe. If it's 40 points, that is. Who knows how much it will be this year. It looks tight.
Great post, common sense. Points targets are meaningless, 17th position after the Liverpool game is the aim. Boss, I'm sure Spurs will be donating 3 points on the 14th, you owe them to Harold.
!7 Matches are left so 2 wins (6 points and 15 draws will give 21 points added to the 13 we have will only make 34 if we win 3 matches (9 points and draw the remaining 14 games that wolud give us 23 points plus the 13 we have already giving us only 36 points not 30 or 40. Just do the maths. Comeon Urrrrss.
We just have to 17th. That's it. Nobody can predict how many points is needed. We just need to overtake 3 clubs to safety
9 from 15? We win the next 2 or 3 we could be out of the bottom 3, and these games include easy ones for us against "top" Clubs. No cause for concern.