1. Log in now to remove adverts - no adverts at all to registered members!

Daily Thread Saturday 31st December

Discussion in 'Horse Racing' started by OddDog, Dec 30, 2011.

  1. OddDog

    OddDog Mild mannered janitor Staff Member

    Joined:
    Jun 2, 2011
    Messages:
    28,355
    Likes Received:
    10,421
    For the final time in 2011 it's all hands to the pump to find some winners. Racing comes from Newbury, Warwick, Uttoxeter, Lingfield, Punchestown (including Mikael D'haguenet) and Tramore.

    Here my 5 selections:

    1.30 Newbury Destroyer Deployed - took his unbeaten record to the Cheltenham bumper and found only Cheltenian too good. Will have to be at his best to see off All The Aces but that one may have been flattered by his proximity to Prospect Wells last time out and Destroyer Deployed makes more appeal at the prices.

    2.05 Newbury Walkon (NAP) - jumped like a stag on his chasing debut to easily outpoint Zaynar and should improve for that outing. He will need to in order to get the better of For Non Stop, who pushed Al Ferof all the way at Sandown, but Alan King's gelding looks destined for the very top table over fences.

    3.05 Newbury Fingal Bay - quite simply the best staying novice hurdler in training. Should take this comfortably en route to the Albert Bartlett at the festival - I'm convinced that's the race he will go for and 5/1 for that is still generally available. Has speed, stamina and a resolute attitude to go with his assured hurdling. Already looks a festival banker.

    3.40 Newbury First In The Queue - one of 3 Nicky Henderson runners in the race and finally gets a surface with plenty of give after some decent efforts on good or better going. Although still only a 4YO he has had plenty of racing (25 career starts) and his best performance on the flat with Sylvester Kirk came on soft at Newbury where he absolutely sluiced up. After being BD on hurdles debut he won his second race (on Good/Soft) and yet in 7 races since then has not seen going on the softer side of good, including 2 runs at the Galway Festival. His comeback run for Henderson over hurdles on GOOD at Cheltenham (off a mark of 125) was full of promise, finishing a head 2nd to Bally Legend and in front of Edgardo Sol. I'm convinced that he will run a massive race tomorrow having come on for his run at Cheltenham and with more juice in the ground and could cause a minor surprise at very tasty odds.

    3.50 Warwick Swing Bowler - this Galileo filly won her only race (a bumper at Wincanton in May) in very impressive fashion and although her rivals that day look akin to the proverbial trees she looks to have a future in the winter game and is taken to score from some other promising looking individuals in what should be an informative bumper.
     
    #1
  2. woolcombe-folly007

    woolcombe-folly007 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 9, 2011
    Messages:
    8,655
    Likes Received:
    1,462
    Oddy you think we will see Fingal Bay take on Big Bucks in a staying hurdle?
     
    #2
  3. Bluesky9

    Bluesky9 Philosopher

    Joined:
    Jun 21, 2011
    Messages:
    2,851
    Likes Received:
    242
    I think Dunraven Storm is a fantastic each way bet in the last at Newbury at 14-1 (Hills) . This horse has won first time out in the two previous years demonstrating he is not one that needs a run and goes well fresh. He was a top prospect last year at one point eventually finishing lame at Cheltenham. They have taken their time to bring him back and i expect him to go very close tomorrow and then be kept fresh until Cheltenham as he flopped when run, too quickly in my opinion, at 1-2 on in his final race before Cheltenham last year. This is a good horse, not top class but a good horse who should be able to get very well involved in the finish tomorrow at a huge price.
     
    #3
  4. Reebok

    Reebok YTS Mod Staff Member

    Joined:
    Jun 30, 2011
    Messages:
    8,156
    Likes Received:
    2,837
    I have to oppose Bluesky9 and Oddy regarding the 3-40 Newbury. Good I hear you say!
    This looks nailed on for Lifestyle - IF this race doesn't come too soon for him. Just 4 days since his last (winning) run, and although he couldn't have won any easier - he still had to run the race.However - I have a personal "system" if you can call it that, in that I never desert a horse that has won for me, and will back it until it DOES lose.
    So for that reason Reebok's rubles will be on UBI ACE :)

    Others for me at Newbury will be Walkon on in the 2.10 and Quotica De Poyans in the 2.35
    The 3.05 ought to be a Fingal Bay stroll, but what does anyone make of Henderson's pitching in of Top of the Range into this grade 1 event? I have this horse on my Tracker, but either NH has lost the plot, or TOTR is pulling up trees at home! I really like the horse but surely he can't make this jump in class?
    At Warwick in the 2.20 I like Inga Bird who will surely confirm form with Glen's Boy and looks like a late improver.


    Good luck all <ok>
     
    #4
  5. heisenburg

    heisenburg Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Apr 28, 2011
    Messages:
    3,638
    Likes Received:
    643
    Dont wont to put the mockers on reebok but ive been given Ubiace as a cert !!!!!!!!!!!!!
    had it the last 2 times out and its reported to be improving all the time, this comes from the yard, Walfords have bought a couple of horses from same
    breeder of Dappers Dancer who me and the Don have a touch in

    be lucky
     
    #5
  6. Cyclonic

    Cyclonic Well Hung Member

    Joined:
    Mar 4, 2011
    Messages:
    13,975
    Likes Received:
    2,917
    Destroyer Deployed. Top name for a racehorse.
     
    #6

  7. OddDog

    OddDog Mild mannered janitor Staff Member

    Joined:
    Jun 2, 2011
    Messages:
    28,355
    Likes Received:
    10,421
    I had a long, hard look at this fella as he looked very progressive early last season before finding Cue Card too good before disappointing afterwards. I do think he could be one to follow in handicaps this season but this is a hot contest and he would have to run right up to his very best to get involved. A cracking renewal with quality right the way through the field.
     
    #7
  8. Furiousiceman

    Furiousiceman Active Member

    Joined:
    Nov 10, 2011
    Messages:
    154
    Likes Received:
    25
    Dunraven Storm is a non runner.
     
    #8
  9. sparkymarky

    sparkymarky Member

    Joined:
    Sep 22, 2011
    Messages:
    241
    Likes Received:
    0
    Morning all! Two Placepots for me today...

    Newbury:
    Leg 1: Night Alliance (7)
    Leg 2: Tango De Juilley (1)
    Leg 3: All The Aces (1)
    Leg 4: For Non Stop (4)
    Leg 5: Rey Nacarado (8)
    Leg 6: Fingal Bay (4)
    1 @ £13.50
    £13.50

    Warwick:
    Leg 1: Terra Bleu (9)
    Leg 2: Spirit Of Barbados (3) / Areuwitmenow (8) / Kingsmere (11)
    Leg 3: Jetnova (4)
    Leg 4: Tafika (7) / Inga Bird (10) / Glens Boy (12)
    Leg 5: The Boss (2) / Ballyoliver (6)
    Leg 6: La Belle Sauvage (10) / Legendary Hop (11) / Little Miss Flora (12)
    54 @ 30p
    £16.20

    Hope everyone has a great end to 2011....
     
    #9
  10. SwanHills

    SwanHills Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 19, 2011
    Messages:
    9,698
    Likes Received:
    5,383
    Peter Walwyn - Recognition well deserved:

    http://www.racingpost.com/news/hors...n-honoured-for-services-to-racing/969660/top/

    Hoping Tarateeno can plough through the mud at Warwick in the 13:10 there, it's one of Cyc's slogs, and how. Don't think he liked the big fences too much (Tarateeno I mean, not Cyc) so maybe a return to the smaller obstacles will make a difference; it sometimes does. Going now heavy from good-to-soft yesterday, so guess they've had a fair old whack of rain in the Midlands?

    In closing, sincere apologies to Reebok and Oddy for totally screwing-up their bet on the final race at Haydock yesterday. It was careless and stupid of me to talk about some outsider's place possibilities (Sacre Toi has still not been located, by the way; popped-off to have a noggin with Sir Alex I guess?).

    Einen Guten Rutsch to everyone on the forum (a good slide-in to the New Year!). And GL today, of course!
     
    #10
  11. Cyclonic

    Cyclonic Well Hung Member

    Joined:
    Mar 4, 2011
    Messages:
    13,975
    Likes Received:
    2,917
    Nice too see that you've gone for one near the minimum in the weights Swanny. I usually work my way up from the bottom when looking into these races. Hope you nail it mate.

    P.S. Another thing I like is to have miles in the legs this time in, yours has that too.
     
    #11
  12. SwanHills

    SwanHills Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 19, 2011
    Messages:
    9,698
    Likes Received:
    5,383
    <cheers> Cyc!

    (P.S. Snowing like hell down here).
     
    #12
  13. Bluesky9

    Bluesky9 Philosopher

    Joined:
    Jun 21, 2011
    Messages:
    2,851
    Likes Received:
    242
    Since Dunraven Storm is now a non runner i cannot get too interested in anything, so have just had a yankee, all at best odds.

    CUE CARD @ 3/1
    14:05 Newbury

    UBI ACE @ 5/1
    15:40 Newbury

    GRIFFIN POINT @ 4/1
    14:15 LINGFIELD

    AVENGING ACE @ 15/8
    12:10 UTTOXETER

    Good luck to everyone on the last day of the year and may the next be as good as the last with more of Frankel and Big Bucks confirming that at the same time we may well have the best Flat and National hunt horse seen for a generation.
     
    #13
  14. redcgull

    redcgull Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 3, 2011
    Messages:
    7,458
    Likes Received:
    1,945
    Morning gents... Hope we are all well for the last day of the year...!!! So i hope to go out with at least a couple of winners to take into 2012. So for consideration today...

    Newbury...
    12.20 - Night Alliance, 11/4
    2.35 - Quotica De Poyans, 5/2

    Utt...
    1.20 - Sustainability, 10/3
    3.00 - Royal Chatelier, 9/4

    War...
    2.20 - Thats Ben, 11/2

    Singles n Doubles all round...

    Good luck to all today... <cheers>
     
    #14
  15. CHIEF MECHANIC

    CHIEF MECHANIC Active Member

    Joined:
    Sep 16, 2011
    Messages:
    226
    Likes Received:
    39
    hello everyone
    i still have my betting but tend not to post horses much anymore.i find its a bit of a jinx to me.
    ive always done my own thing anyway and dont want to bore people with my ****e.
    i had a very good bet on aidy lewis to win 5-3 @9-2 0n the darts last night.
    been a funny old year on racehorse boards ,the highlight undoubtably being THE BANNING OF ARKLESUPREME FROM 606---that was one of my goals in cyberspace---yes sad---but i ****in hate the barsteward.
    anyway---just want to wish you all A HAPPY AND PROSPEROUS NEW YEAR---TAKE CARE.
    "DO WHAT NEEDS TO BE DONE--FOR THE GOOD OF ALL------AND----ENJOY LIFES JOURNEY,BUT LEAVE NO TRACKS"
     
    #15
  16. Cyclonic

    Cyclonic Well Hung Member

    Joined:
    Mar 4, 2011
    Messages:
    13,975
    Likes Received:
    2,917
    I have no idea what snow is like Swanny. <laugh> As I sit here at 9:40 it's 21c.
     
    #16
  17. heisenburg

    heisenburg Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Apr 28, 2011
    Messages:
    3,638
    Likes Received:
    643
    All the very best chief, long may your shovel shift ****e and inspirse all the young ens to take up this brilliant past time
     
    #17
  18. Cyclonic

    Cyclonic Well Hung Member

    Joined:
    Mar 4, 2011
    Messages:
    13,975
    Likes Received:
    2,917
    Happy New Year to you too Chief. <cheers>
     
    #18
  19. OddDog

    OddDog Mild mannered janitor Staff Member

    Joined:
    Jun 2, 2011
    Messages:
    28,355
    Likes Received:
    10,421
    Happy noooooo year CHIEF

    Dan hope you have the night off? Happy new year to you mate any many thanks for all the text messages <ok>
     
    #19
  20. heisenburg

    heisenburg Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Apr 28, 2011
    Messages:
    3,638
    Likes Received:
    643
    Pozyc @ 4/1 (GP)
    Lukes Benefit @ 2/1 (GP)
    Ubi Ace @ 6/1 (GP)
    Night Alliance @ 3/1 (GP)


    This is my first bet early doors L15 Win


    be here all day unless i get called out, hopefully the habitants of the Boro will be on there best behaviour and i get to stay home !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    (i'll, get me coat ready)
     
    #20

Share This Page