When the going changed to Soft it became a ‘no bet’ Derby for me.
Just like last year, the O’Brien punters were done in as they punted the wrong one: the money went on talking horse Pierre Bonnard and it did not oblige. Those that did the friendless favourite Benvenuto Cellini will get their money back with it deemed a non-runner, unless they backed it ante post.
Soft ground Derbies very rarely throw up great horses and I do not think that this one will be any different. I was at York on Dante day when Christmas Day was behind Action and Item; and there were no excuses on good flat ground that day. Yes, the horse has improved and obviously he handled the soft ground and the track. The runner-up wandered around in the last two furlongs and might have been hitting the wall (coming to the end of his stamina) on ground easier than he wanted. At lot of the fancied runners never got into the race but Ronan Whelan decided at Tattenham Corner that he was heading for the middle ground having sat right next to his pacesetting stablemate to that point.
If they send Christmas Day for the Irish Derby and Ryan Moore takes over in the saddle, then which of the others Ballydoyle run will be winning? When he swapped to True Love in the Irish 1000 Guineas, the horse that he abandoned from the British Classic won.