So if we win our group, we get a third place side in the L32, and then (in theory) the winner of group A in the L16. And group A is Mexico's group, so lacks a big hitter.
But surely you tell them to not look. You know, because people might assume the worst. It’s FIFA and Trump ffs
On the nine major sides in pot 1, four of them will get to avoid a fellow group winner in the L16, whilst three more of them will get the group winners from the Mexico/USA/Canada groups. That leaves two remaining major sides in pot 1. And the unlucky two are...and a potential L16 tie...France vs Germany.