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Ante Post Big Races (no Cheltenham Festival)

Discussion in 'Horse Racing' started by Pilgrim, Nov 11, 2024.

  1. Grendel

    Grendel Well-Known Member

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    Oxagon got a boost when Cape Orator and Puerto Rico won in France this weekend, the latter winning the Group 1 Lagardere. Oxagon had finished a length behind Puerto Rico in the Champagne Stakes, with Cape Orator third, at Doncaster and with the form of that working out he surely deserves to take his chance in the Dewhurst now.

    I have already backed Distant Storm at 5/1 for the top 2YO colt's race of the season but Oxagon at 16/1 looks big.

    It's 3/1 each of three at the head of affairs with Zavateri and Gstaad sharing the honours with Distant Storm.
     
    #121
  2. Pilgrim

    Pilgrim Well-Known Member

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    Ascot Saturday 18th October
    Balmoral
    Oliver Show 33/1 e/w four places all bookies
     
    #122
  3. Grendel

    Grendel Well-Known Member

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    In the Fillies Mile there are jf at present in Precise and Legacy Link. They are a contrast of potential and proven form.

    Precise won the Prestige at Goodwood where she beat Moon Target, who has flopped and then beaten again. However Precise went on to win the Moyglare in something of an upset. The Moyglare form has been let down a couple of times, particularly Beautify who was runner up but made no impression in the May Hill at Doncaster.

    Legacy Link won on her second start looking useful but it was only a class 3 Novice at Haydock. By Dubawi out of Chiasma, who is a full sister to Frankel, she certainly has the pedigree but for now she is rated 24 lbs behind Precise. Trained by Gosden(s) she may be a longer term prospect. She is proven at the mile but the Group 1 form of Precise at the same odds looks the bet to me.

    PRECISE 9/4

    All things being equal I would expect the punters to be backing Precise on the day, rather than a filly with 24 lbs to find on the ratings.
    .
     
    #123
  4. Grendel

    Grendel Well-Known Member

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    Oxagon has halved to 8/1, available at 16/1 yesterday.
     
    #124
  5. Benvenuto Cellini

    Benvenuto Cellini 1 of the top judges in Europe

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    id be keen on Queen of Hawaii against the top two in the Fillies Mile, shes been quite impressive and has a good level of form in the book, unlike Legacy Link

    Precise is by Starspangledbanner, started at 6f and showed a lot of speed to win the Moyglare off a slow pace, whereas Josephs filly is more of an out and out mile type, she could probably be doing with some rain to make it more of a stamina test

    this race was mentioned by Joseph as a good option and hes won it twice in recent years, but not sure if she actually turns up, 11.5 for pennies on betfair at the minute and only some trying to get on at 16 so will wait and see if shes confirmed, not rushing to take 7/1 at this relatively early stage
     
    #125
  6. Benvenuto Cellini

    Benvenuto Cellini 1 of the top judges in Europe

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    had a look when I saw your post last night, 16s was a rick, and I was pretty sure it would have in price today, its high level form but I just wasnt convinced about him winning, he got done for speed a bit at Doncaster and a step up in trip for the Futurity was mentioned as an option, so id worry about him against real fast horses like Gstaad and Zavateri, and looking at the entries it might not be the strongest run Dewhurst

    Distant Storm was mighty impressive last time, but Appleby has said all along its about next year for him, and its quite a quick turnaround to go again 16 days later given his profile, I dont think it was the plan, and the Somerville is usually a relatively weak race, you need to go back to Milk It Mick in 2003 for the last time a winner has followed up here, although Alyanaabi and Wichita have placed

    i just think this Zavateri is the champion 2yo who turned up in a small yard, it would be great to see the 35k purchase beating the might of Ballydoyle and Godolphin in the top 2yo race, he just fits the bill with that 1111 form, July Stakes, Vintage Stakes, National Stakes, he has a great turn of foot and is game as you like in a finish, proper 2yo and very tough to beat I think
     
    #126

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