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2025 Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe

Discussion in 'Horse Racing' started by Ron, Apr 11, 2025.

  1. OddDog

    OddDog Mild mannered janitor
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    Any chance Ombudsman might run here, despite looking all over a 10F horse? Press seem convinced he is going to Ascot or Breeders Cup and the trip of the Arc would appear to stretch him.
     
    #101
  2. Bustino74

    Bustino74 Thouroughbred Breed Enthusiast

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    All this receiving tons of weight because he/she's younger is malarkey. As is probably the sex allowance.
     
    #102
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  3. Bustino74

    Bustino74 Thouroughbred Breed Enthusiast

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    Seems I'm not the only one who sees the similarity with an Agatha Christie novel (See Racing Post today: Who will be holding the bloody knife?).

    The leading suspects are continually being bumped off (for those of you who didn't originally see the connection).
     
    #103
  4. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    They seem to have found the fav now. Can't see that changing? So my long range selections not looking quite so bad now
    upload_2025-9-22_23-37-46.png

    Aventure 4/1 fav
    Los Angeles 40/1
    Jan Brueghel 50/1

    Still have Regaleira quoted at 80/1 even though she won't be there <doh>
     
    #104
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  5. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    A lot of the shorter priced horses are entered at Ascot . Will they really run 2 such big races within 2 weeks of each other?
     
    #105
  6. Grendel

    Grendel Well-Known Member

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    I can't see Ombudsman in the Arc.

    I've been looking at a 33/1 shot with little to find on ratings and form.

    Quisisana was aimed at last year's Arc but was scuppered by injury. Francis Graffard reckoned she might have won last year's race but her campaign was littered with setbacks and injuries. She finally won her group 1 this August in the Prix Romanet. She finished ahead of Bedtime Story in doing so and that ties in closely with Aventure who also beat the O Brien filly. Quisisana has a RPR of 116 compared to 120 for Aventure.

    The French horse is 6/8 in her career which is admirable. Her trainer reckons she will stay a mile and a half without question and will probably have no concerns with soft going.

    His biggest worry is the horse picking up another injury but the race is getting close now.

    The Prix Romanet was changed to a "win and you're in" race this year and that was the clincher in going to the Arc instead of the Opera with her. 33/1 with Paddy Power but 20/1 with several firms.

    Double carpet looks huge compared to 4/1 Aventure considering the race Fav only got off the mark in Group 1 company recently as well.

    Quisisana 33/1 in an open year
     
    #106
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  7. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    Well spotted Grendel. That one has certainly slipped under the radar. Didn't notice it was a runner
     
    #107
  8. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    Just looked her up. Another 5yo mare. By Le Havre out of a Sea The Stars mare. Has won over 12f on good to soft in a decent time and has won on heavy. How did I not spot that one?
     
    #108
  9. Grendel

    Grendel Well-Known Member

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    #109

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