Wednesday's Meetings Glorious Goodwood Flat 7 Races 1:20-4:55p.m. Redcar Flat 6 Races 2:10-5:10p.m. Galway Festival(E) Mixed 7 Races 5:05-8:20p.m. Sandown(E) Flat 6 Races 5:45-8:30p.m. Leicester(E) Flat 6 Races 5:55-8:43p.m Racecards At The Races Sporting Life Racing Post Good Luck
On a retrieval mission here after todays failure and will double up on Lady Iman 13/8 B365 Goodwood 14.30
1.20 Goodwood Mdawi 12/1 By Wootten Bassett out of Peeping Fawn he showed all his mum's resolution when toughing it out from the front at Doncaster last time. If he gets into a rhythm in front he could be difficult to pass up the home straight. Yard like to target the handicaps at this meeting.
Two unexposed sorts over fences, Nurburgring and Down Memory Lane, are vying for favouritism in the Galway Plate. However, recent stats show that 11/12 winners had at least 5 previous chase runs, 9/12 winners had at least 2 previous chase wins - neither meets that stat and both look high enough in the weights to me. One I like a little bit further down the card is Ashdale Bob. Jessica Harrington's charge won the Grade 3 novice chase at the Galway festival last summer and had a nice pop round under a 7lb claimer in the trial last month which should have him spot on for this. Ashdale Bob 20/1 e/w.
The Inglorious Goodwood card did not take long to evaluate. I note that the Super Boost with Bet365 today is Lady Iman or Military Code to win the Molecomb Stakes. There are too many horses running at this meeting where you are expected to “forgive the poor run at Royal Ascot last time”. I have learned in the past that it is very expensive to forgive that bad run last time as very few of them win next time. Forgive Sing Us A Song in the opener (ninth at Ascot, mark unchanged) when Omni Man (fifth at Ascot in the same race, raised 3lb for being nearly 3 lengths ahead) is in the field? The Molecomb Stakes (2.30) is another race to be avoided with several having claims based on Royal Ascot form where their finishing position was pretty much dictated by the draw. Ameeq was fourth in the Norfolk won easily by Charles Darwin. Dickensian was second in the Windsor Castle but the winner was on the other side of the track. Military Code is a ‘forgive Royal Ascot’ (fourth last in the Coventry). Lady Iman’s Group 3 penalty for a six furlong win at Naas (Prix Robert Papin winner Green Sense second) means that she effectively gets no sex allowance but drops back to a quick five here after being beaten in a six furlong Group 2 when long odds on. I fully expect the best three year old in training, Field Of Gold, to win the Sussex Stakes (3.05) and enhance his reputation. There are two pacemakers in the race (Qirat was supplemented, Serengeti is there for Henri Matisse) and I can think of no tactic that is going to help the Ballydoyle colt reverse placings with the Gosden one from Ascot. Docklands beat Rosallion at Ascot but three of the former’s four career wins have been at the Berkshire track and the Hannon colt looks the one for the forecast as I see no reason why American import Carl Spackler (sixth at Ascot) should suddenly improve to challenge the Juddmonte grey. The best prospect for a bet on the card looks to be the Oak Tree Stakes (1.55) as the betting is quite open; however, that is probably because there is very little between seven of the runners on Timeform ratings and those backing the favourite, Tabiti, are hoping that after her seasonal debut third in the Sandringham off top weight, she will fulfil the potential of her juvenile Group 3 win, a race in which today’s rival Betty Clover was more than four lengths fourth. The early money in this race is going on Karl Burke’s Bright Thunder, easy winner of a Deauville Listed race last time. I expect that it will be all about Galway on here later on...
Day 2 at the Not So Glorious Goodward 1:20 - Sudu, 9/2 1:55 - Jabaara, 9/2 2:30 - Military Code, 7/2 3:05 - Henri Matisse, 7/1 3:45 - Music Piece, 4/1 4:20 - Spicy Marg, 5/1 4:55 - Leadman, 13/2 Had a half decent day yesterday with a couple of winners, and those were longer odds than the selection for today... Not had a bet on these, and probably wont, but good luck if you are playing today...
The Molecomb sees the Racing Post state that there is so much substance to Lady Iman's form that she will be hard to beat. However, their own ratings only have her fifth in the race on 106, with Military Code 110, Argentine Tango109, Sands Of Spain 108 and Ameeq 107 all ahead of her on RPR figures adjusted for weight. As Quarter Moon says she does not get a sex allowance as it is negated by her penalty. On official ratings she comes out better but it's very narrow with Military Code. The last named stank the place out in the Coventry where the 6F didn't seem to suit. Dropped back to 5F he failed by only a head to give 5lbs to Staya, who later went on to be second to Fitzella when her jockey dropped the whip when she was finishing strongly. I feel Lady Iman is too short and that the race is more open than it looks at first glance. At the prices I thought Sands Of Spain at 15/2 may be under rated. Quietly progressive he needs to find more but he travelled well in the Super Sprint last time before hanging and losing his chance but still finishing a respectable third behind Anthelia and Havana Hurricane. I thought it was a cracking effort in a race where conditions meant he was conceding weight to horses rated 10 and 16 pounds superior to him. He is 9lbs lower than the Fav but at more than 4 times the odds he may prove closer than those prices suggest. 2.30 Goodwood Sands O Spain 15/2
Or just back the Fav. Sands Of Spain and Military Code seemed miles behind the others on the far side.
I don't think Field Of Gold handled the undulations - seemed unbalanced at various stages of the race.
Well, they got their money back (and some more) for supplementing Qirat... A great job by Wayne Lordan on Serengeti, taking the pacemaking job from him so he could just sit behind and pick him off. Across the card double for Beckett, although the one at Redcar was 1/8 so it only comes to just under 169/1.
Comparing FOG to Frankel was hysterical at the very best... and look at the times compared to other r/course times..
