Friday's Meetings Thirsk Flat 8 Races 1:15-5:30p.m. Epsom Downs Flat 7 Races 1:30-5:10p.m. The Oaks Off @ 4:00p.m. Bangor-on-Dee N/H 6 Races 1:40-4:40p.m. Fairyhouse(E) Flat 8 Races 4:15-8:10p.m. Clonmel(E) N/H 7 Races 5:00-8:30p.m. Bath(E) Flat 7 Races 5:15-8:40p.m. Goodwood(E) Flat 6 Races 5:25-8:19p.m. Doncaster(E) Flat 7 Races 5:34-9:00p.m. Racecards At The Races Sporting Life Racing Post Good Luck
I'll pass on a word for Flying Finn in the 3.15 Epsom. This has been the target for a while. 25/1 4 places general. Might be a hot heat.
In the 3.15 Epsom I like the look of Botanical. Previously trained by Roger Varian but now with George Boughey. Carrying top weight he is quite a classy sort and with first time cheek pieces on I feel he may be suited by Epsom. Ryan Moore is booked so that can only help I would think. 3.15 Epsom BOTANICAL 9/2
MOMAER 6.34 GOODWOOD @5/2 in singles and doubles with EMPOROSO 7.09 GOODWOOD @ 10/1 The ground has changed everywhere... good luck if you're punting everyone.
The composite ranking suggests that, based on the way our weighted model was built, Minnie Hauk comes out as the top candidate with a composite score of about 0.788. This is largely driven by her strong recent form—she shows a weighted ParDiff of roughly 3.53, which is a strong indicator of exceeding the race’s "par" performance. In contrast, although Whirl has an excellent draw bias (1.58, which normalized gives it a boost), its overall form (with a negative weighted ParDiff) brings its composite score just a touch below Minnie Hauk at around 0.774. Desert Flower comes in third with a score of about 0.695. The other horses trail behind, with Revoir and Wemightakedlongway in the bottom half of the ranking. What Does This Tell Us? Minnie Hauk: Her very positive weighted ParDiff and good speed rating put her in a strong position despite a relatively lower draw bias. It indicates she’s delivering performances well above the standard for the race conditions. Whirl: Although benefiting from an excellent draw (which can be crucial at Epsom), its form figures (a negative ParDiff) somewhat diminish its overall score. This could mean that while Whirl might have the tactical advantage of position, recent races haven’t shown it to be in top form. Desert Flower: The balanced figures suggest that it’s competitive, but its advantages aren’t as pronounced as Minnie Hauk’s when all factors are combined. I always had CoPilot down as an AOB fanboy/girl
Morning guys, my one and only bet at Epsom today will be maximized 205 I just can't see this beast getting beat after such an impressive debut. 11/8 is massive and the bet has to be 'maximized' even the rain won't stop this beauty GL if you play today
Many years ago, before Machiavellian was beaten at short odds in the Guineas, the racing journalist John Karter observed “the French will not hear of defeat for the unbeaten Machiavellian at Newmarket, but, as we all know, deaf people abound in racing.” Nine fillies face the starter for The Oaks and there looks to be little to assess. Qilin Queen won the Listed Newbury Fillies’ Trial in a photo from Revoir with favourite Sand Gazelle just behind. Revoir did not have an official rating going into that and the other two were rated in the 90s, so can either of them find a stone of improvement over the extra two furlongs today? I think not. Wemightakedlongway has won two races on easy ground, most recently when making all in a Group 3 at Navan, where the favourite (from the Tarnawa/Tahiyra family) ran abysmally but the runner-up had won easily on debut. She could be the pace angle today but is a doubtful stayer. Lingfield Oaks Trial winner Giselle beat just two rivals and it is easy to see why Ryan Moore has left the Frankel filly to Colin Keane. The only representative for the Gosdens (trainers of Sand Gazelle) is Go Go Boots but there is little reason to think that she will reverse running with easy Musidora winner Whirl over an extra two furlongs. Of the three Ballydoyle runners, Whirl’s clearly looks the best form, so why Moore has chosen Cheshire Oaks winner Minnie Hauk is a mystery. The Chester form has already been let down by the runner-up at Chantilly last Sunday. Elwateen is a bit of an unknown but she ran fourth in the 1000 Guineas, won by Desert Flower. At the beginning of the week, I was hoping that the bookies might want to take on the 1000 Guineas winner as I have not backed her ante post. Instead her odds have contracted making this a no bet; however, I thought she looked like an Oaks filly when she won the Fillies’ Mile and her first Classic victory did not diminish that view. I hear nothing. Clearly the form pick in the Coronation Cup is Francis-Henri Graffard’s gelding Calandagan, but his three previous visits to these shores have seen him win the King Edward VII at Ascot, run second in the Juddmonte at York and run second in the Champion Stakes scrimmaging match! He was second in the Dubai Sheema Classic to a Japanese horse and it is difficult to see why fifth home Giavellotto (winner of the Hong Kong Vase) should reverse that running. It is hard to make a case for the first of the Ballydoyle duo, Continuous, as he only has one win in the last two seasons and was stone last in the Yorkshire Cup and the Tattersalls Gold Cup on his last two starts. It seems obvious that he is here as a pacemaker for St Leger winner Jan Brueghel. Ryan Moore’s mount lost his unbeaten record in a Group 3 last time but was not given a hard time. Last year’s Irish Oaks winner You Got To Me was last in the St Leger and failed to confirm The Curragh placings with Content in the Yorkshire Oaks. She was a well beaten fourth in The Oaks after pulling too hard so it is hard to fancy her today first time out. Ancient Wisdom contested last year’s Derby, finishing eighth, but in two races this term has been last in the John Porter and second in the Gordon Richards. He will need to do much better to trouble the French raider today. Bellum Justum has met the Godolphin colt twice – he finished seventh in the Derby (nearly three lengths ahead); and fifth in the John Porter. He won a mediocre Jockey Club Stakes at the Guineas meeting easily against three rivals and would have been of each-way interest here if there were more than seven runners...
Looking for a bit of e/w value in the Oaks I have gone for Elwateen. Wasn't beaten at all far in the Guineas and whilst she might end up a 10F horse like her dam I'm hoping she has got a bit of whatever her sire Dubawi gave to last year's Oaks winner Ezaliya.
Nice one - did it well despite running green. Looks a horse with a future. Love to see Havana Hurricane jump a hurdle one day
And thats why there shouldn't be 2 year old races at Epsom.... joints not properly formed, down hill, camber, a recipe for disaster... RIP Normans Cay...
A classic example of the bookies fleecing the punters before the race in the Coronation Cup with the front two in the betting shortening as the four outsiders were friendless. No surprise that Continuous went to the front and went a fair clip with Ancient Wisdom tracking him. The Godolphin colt committed early but it ended up a battle between the two principals in the final furlong and, once again, Calandagan had to settle for a Group 1 second as Jan Brueghel rallied in the rise to the line. My feeling is that the winner may have improved there and Barzalona possibly got that wrong allowing the Ballydoyle colt to get first run.
Held a decent position but never travelling that well. Found vey little for pressure and then weakened. The winner spreadeagled his field and will no doubt be crucified by the handicapper after that. Could be the end of handicaps for him. There will be lower rated horses contesting the Oaks.
