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Championship play offs 2025

Discussion in 'Hull City' started by bradymk2, May 7, 2025.

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Who wins the playoffs?

Poll closed May 14, 2025.
  1. blunts

    29 vote(s)
    51.8%
  2. coventry

    12 vote(s)
    21.4%
  3. sunderland

    8 vote(s)
    14.3%
  4. bristol city

    7 vote(s)
    12.5%
  1. Roary's Smelly Head

    Roary's Smelly Head Well-Known Member

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    To be fair some the rovers Gas heads at work still say that about Deano's goal at Wembley :emoticon-0102-bigsm
     
    #21
  2. bradymk2

    bradymk2 Well-Known Member

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    Come on bristol

    Love the fkin playoffs
     
    #22
  3. Kalman II

    Kalman II Well-Known Member

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    Hang on. I thought there was a double jeopardy principle regarding straight red cards and penalties? It’s not serious foul play, just a foul.

    Isn’t this the same arsehole ref who made two shocking red cards in the regular season recently?
     
    #23
  4. pcworks

    pcworks Well-Known Member

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    0 - 2 to the Blunts.
     
    #24
  5. pcworks

    pcworks Well-Known Member

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    0 - 3 to the Blunts, Brizzle on the ropes now.
     
    #25
  6. tigerrev

    tigerrev Well-Known Member

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    Hmm - if only we knew of a situation where the away team won a championship play off semi final 0-3. We'd know what a doddle the second leg would be - oh, wait...
     
    #26
    pcworks likes this.
  7. pcworks

    pcworks Well-Known Member

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    I think I might remember it now, who was it now, Der.....
     
    #27
  8. Febbos

    Febbos Well-Known Member

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    If Bristol need some advice on how to turn 0-3 around at Bramall Lane

     
    #28
  9. petersaxton

    petersaxton Well-Known Member

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    How can Don Goodman say that wasnt a penalty?
    Dickie put his arms around Moore and pulled him back and then kicked the ball away
    Goodman seems to think that everything else is forgiven if he kicks the ball
    Moore only had the goalkeeper to beat so he stopped a goalscoring opportunity
    I'm sure at one stage there was the double jeopardy principle but I've seen penalties and red cards a few times recently so they may have changed it
     
    #29
    tigermaul and Evington like this.
  10. PLT

    PLT Well-Known Member

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    It is meant to be the rule now that you don't get a straight red for denying a clear goalscoring opportunity if you foul someone making an attempt to play the ball. I suppose the ref here might've seen it as pulling him back from a position where he couldn't play the ball, and he only eventually got to it thanks to the pull.
     
    #30
    petersaxton likes this.

  11. Red top reader

    Red top reader Well-Known Member

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    Sheff to go up , the other three are much of a muchness for next season when the mighty tigers are promoted to the promise land….
     
    #31
    Phinius T Bookbinder likes this.
  12. Aquity

    Aquity Well-Known Member

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    I think Coventry will get promoted but in an ideal world Bristol C simply on account on how graceful they were in defeat at Wembley and I remember a lot of them supporting us that year in the prem
     
    #32
    Ron Burguvdy likes this.
  13. Howdentiger2

    Howdentiger2 Well-Known Member

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    Hopefully it's Sheff utd go up. It's one less team with parachute payments and leaves the in theory, not so strong clubs down for us to compete with
     
    #33
    TwoWrights likes this.
  14. CBeeeee

    CBeeeee Member

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    Green dots represent teams that go up, red those that didn't

    please log in to view this image
     
    #34
  15. CBeeeee

    CBeeeee Member

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    I did a little mathematical model too which looked at prob of winning play-offs given your own form and quality conditional on the other 3 teams in the play-off (conditional logit for those with a maths background) and it (unsurprisingly) found that overall quality and form matter with higher values indicating better prob. It seemed to work ok within sample. Last year it predicted Southampton (who oddly had the best form of the 4 going in despite having below average form for the usual play off team) should be favs above Leeds. But predictions on this year lack face validity. Suggesting SU were way out front as massive favourites (~ 80%) and Cov, Sunderland and Bristol all about 7% (with Cov slightly ahead). Although I think this is the most unbalanced play-offs (BC and Cov just aren't very good play off teams, and Sunderland have blown it with form) I can't see the probabilities being quite that polarised. You can also work out the highest and lowest quality play-offs in terms of the overall aggregate value of quality and form. They were 2008 and 2016 respectively - seems somehow familiar
     
    #35
  16. Newland Tiger

    Newland Tiger Well-Known Member

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    Sheffield United have never gone up through the play-offs
    although they were once relegated through a play-off game
     
    #36
  17. TwoWrights

    TwoWrights Well-Known Member

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    Abridged version, it's a lottery. :emoticon-0138-think


    The views expressed in my posts are not necessarily mine.
     
    #37
    Ric Glasgow likes this.
  18. TIGERSCAVE

    TIGERSCAVE Well-Known Member

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    Sheffield United have lost all 4 play off finals that they have played in and haven't scored in any,,,
     
    #38
  19. Ajbtiger

    Ajbtiger Well-Known Member

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    Sunderland and Coventry, both good teams that have had their fare share of new managers but have done solid business in the transfer market over time. Doesn't surprise me at all how well they're both doing this season. I really hope the penny has dropped for us now.
     
    #39
    HulltoHellandback likes this.

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