Predictive texting. There won’t be as much empty space there as there is in the East Stand even if we have won within 2 minutes of the final whistle.
Last five City matches - two wins, one draw, two defeats. That is bang on target for 50+ points and survival.
I was convinced that we’d stay up, I’m more 50/50 now. I think we might run out of games. There’s another deluge of transfer activity in and out. Not sure if that’s good or bad.
This account always posts up to date PPG prediction. It’s got a remarkably low amount to stay up this year
I've got us on 51 at best and that's being optimistic, winning most of our "easy" home games, which feels unlikely
I was also convinced. Our form hasn't changed my thinking at all but the form of the other sides around us has made things harder. It won't last forever of course, and the sides above us are struggling so I still think we'll be safe, but it's frustrating and disappointing to still be in the bottom three after improving so much. I think you're right about the transfers too. I've not always been as critical as others about the transfer policy but I think this month it's really starting to hit home for me (maybe a bit late) that we cause ourselves so much difficulty with the amount of people coming and going every window and the disruption it causes.
Obviously I wasn't LR's biggest fan but alarm bells have been ringing for me since his sacking. Just the random hot headed nature of it felt very Birmingham and Eustace. Felt inevitable that we'd struggle and potentially go down ever since.
We’re currently averaging less than a point a game as we have 26 points from 28 games which is 0.93 points per game. They’ve rounded that down to 0.9 points per game and then multiplied that by 46 games to get 41.4. You can’t have 0.4 of a point so they’ve rounded that down to 41. What that table doesn’t account for is the improvement since Sellés took over in terms of points per game, which sits at 1.2 points. If we keep that up we’ll get 21 points and finish with 47 points.
I think this is the key thing. Our form under Walter was so sketchy as we only had one singular period of winning games. That's such a weird trend in the Championship its almost impossible to work out what that now means for our form in the second half of the season. Equally, once we get our next few 4/5 games out of the way - our run in is relatively kind. We'll have played all of the top 3 and some other play off teams twice already. That could be of great benefit as Selles will have had even more time to work with his squad and the new signings should be ready for the run in. I genuinely don't think we can predict what's going to happen between now and the end of the season - you could put money on it going horribly wrong and we go down but equally I wouldn't be surprised if it came together and we sailed fairly comfortably clear. Its a complete season of two halves - and they feel completely disconnected to each other.
I could have predicted the Pompey result tonight, at least I backed it anyway! We’re not going to win every game & not going to lose every game either. We just have to remember that the team & fans, need to start looking at all games as winnable, not going into games against form teams & everyone’s saying, “I’d be happy with a draw right now.” Especially with home games. Friday is winnable, regardless of what anyone else thinks that’s the mentality we need to take into this game on Friday!
