VIP SUNDAY Firstly HAPPY FATHERS day to all the dads. I’m going to send out these tips and then probably will spend the rest of the day with my daughter… Hope you all have a great day. I think now is a good time to send a massive thanks to everyone that has been patient with me, provided advice and stuck with me in my first year in fatherhood. After feedback yesterday I will not be sending tips out sporadically. I will send a set of tips in the morning and a set around 3pm for the evening races. (This will help with peoples bankrolls and stakes for the day I think) Picked up some decent winners over the past few days but we are by no means out of the woods yet and will be doing my best to ensure we have a solid Ascot. I’ve put a lot of work into the study this past week and hopefully it pays off for us. There will be NO TIPS tomorrow and I will send out ASCOT tips on Tuesday morning (I was going to send early but I’ve decided to leave it until the day of the racing as worried about ground) Anyway enough from me here’s todays tips: VIP TIPS SALISBURY 2.55 - BEAU JARDINE 7/2 - 1 point win 3.25 - BEACH POINT 15/8 - 1 point win 4.30 - CATCH THE LIGHT 15/2 - 1 point EW BEAU JARDINE is in cracking form here and the one to beat in my opinion. He’s running very well of late - his LTO 4th places doesn’t tell the full story - a mistake near the end of the race cost him his chance but he still rallied to finish less than 2 lengths away from the winner. James Doyle picks up a solid ride here with BEACH POINT who was only bested in the final strides at Lingfield. The one to beat here and will surprise me if this one doesn’t go off even shorter. CATCH THE LIGHT has shown promise on both starts for the Balding team. I track this one and it’s a winner in waiting. For today a place would be realistic as there’s a 4/11 favourite that will need to be turned over for the win. DONCASTER 3.40 - SUNBELT 28/1 - 1 point EW Won on debut in a class 4. This is a class 5. Why is this GOSDEN horse 28/1? I’ve no idea but happy to back at this price. Was keen on SUNBELT last week at 6/1 before being withdrawn. This step up in trip might come too early for this developing horse and she’s not been straightforward for the Gosdens as this is her first time back out on track since that debut win in 2022. THIRSK 4.45 - CATHERINE CHROI - 7/1 - 1 point EW 6.15 - ARTISAN DANCER - 22/1 - 1 point EW ARTISAN DANCER was well backed at Kempton and never got involved. There’s plenty of efforts recently at class 3 level that suggests this drop in class might see a decent run. 22/1 is a massive price for a horse that has already proven to be capable at this level. A wide open race as you can tell from the market - another one I fancy in this big field is VALLEY OF THE FLOWERS at 14/1. In the 4.45 the favourite MEZZO SOPRANO will be a popular choice and bet. She’s returning after a break and is the one to beat off a short price. CATHERINE CHROI looks to make it win number 7 this year and 5 in a row. I normally avoid horses on a streak like this as the handicapper will always get them in the end. CATHERINE is up 3lbs again for her last win - a hard fought close affair at Hamilton. She steps up in grade today but at 7/1 the price is right and the value is there. TOTAL POINTS SUGGESTED - 7
Ascot. Tomorrow. Early one. 615 A piece of heaven Joseph o Brian has this entered in a Group 2 at the curragh next month. My thinking is this could be a group horse in a handicap race. 7/1 is too big to not have a good go. Ew if you wish to it’s a bet to nothing but I’ve gone on the nose to win
thanks but I’m banned from 365….they don’t like you winning…I had a really good summer a few years ago & they just closed me down ****ers
I’ve just had this through from another owner about one of their horses running today. Take it or leave it. They’re hardly bigging it up too much but I’ve seen it run some decent races. BONAVENTURE is ready for his start today at Nottingham where he takes on the 6f Handicap at 18:20 with Marco Ghiani on board. He is drawn in Stall 6 of seven runners and the ground is measured at good to soft, which should suit his action well, although it may dry out to good over the afternoon which shouldn’t give him too much trouble. He wears a tongue tie today as further encouragement and is in great form at home, so we are hopeful to see him return to his progressive form following his tricky last start. The stiff track at Nottingham should suit now back down to 6f and we do think there is more to come from him.
I was watching it on 365, but no volume, so I had no idea who won, but I had it E/W @ 7-1, so happy with that.
ASCOT SATURDAY PLEASE READ GUYS www.allsportstips.com ‘We are just under 15 points profit for the week heading into today so whatever happens we end the festival with a small profit based from the points outlay. We have had a few big prices just fall short with 50/1 and 40/1 places this week that is the difference between a big profit overall and a steady one. Hopefully people have either followed the advice or managed to put together winners yourself using the guides throughout the week. There’s been plenty of losers but it’s tough tipping every race here and I always regret doing it around day 3. For those that have asked we will be back to 2-6 tips daily from Tuesday. Thanks everyone for choosing to follow us throughout the festival. I’m aware there’s plenty of other groups / places to get tips from so always grateful and it’s a privilege that you choose to follow our tips ! Nice one!!! If anyone wants to cancel now festival is over that is fine just make sure you inbox me @ukracingtips and I’ll cancel the sub and remove from group. Welcome to rejoin anytime! On wards to todays tips’ Nate ____________________________ SATURDAYS ASCOT TIPS If you look across the card today you will see that Ryan Moore has 4 favourites. All very short prices considering the races. I’m going whack them in a 2 point LUCKY 15 and have done with it. IF you DO NOT FANCY one of the rides - leave it out and make a LUCKY 15 or PATENT etc. Focus will then be on trying to find some big price winners elsewhere across the card. RYAN MOORE LUCKY 31 - 2 points TOTAL MAX. 2:30 PM - Chesham Stakes (Listed) PENTLE BAY - 8/1 - 0.5 EW JEWEL OF LONDON 33/1 - 0.25 EW The one horse all the lads have agreed on today is PENTLE BAY. 0.5 EW the majority of long shots I’m going with 0.25 EW. We only have one debut run to work with at Leicester where Jamie Spencer rode. Blew the start, trouble in running, was pushed along as a result very early. Look in all sorts of trouble before getting act together and ran on very strongly. Steps up in trip - has Marquand booked today. All eyes on the start for this one. Appleby will hope that AGE OF GOLD can beat the O Brien fav as they have paid £600,000+ for this Frankel Colt. Obvious potential and they are overdue a winner to say the least… JEWEL OF LONDON is a decent price I think at 33/1. I’m having a small EW here - two solid runs for this Lope De Vega filly. In good hands and an expensive acquisition for the yard. Only tried over 6 furlongs so far - 7 furlongs will hopefully see more improvement. 3:05 PM - Hardwicke Stakes (Group 2) ISLE OF JURA 12/1 - 0.25 EW GOLIATH 40/1 - 0.25 EW MIDDLE EARTH is a worthy competitor to CONTINUOUS but the horse doesn’t Ledger win in the Locker… although disappointing last time out in France G1 - CONTINOUS wasn’t far off. Most O Brien horses have needed a run this year before hitting top form. It’s a step down in Grade as well… I simply cannot see ISLE OF JURA running a bad race here. Any doubts about running on the turf were eradicated after a recent Goodwood win. She arrives seeking a 5 timer after multiple wins in Bahrain over the winter. A step up in class from that Goodwood listed race but still no forlorn hope. MISSED THE CUT is over from the USA with the Doyle on board - ran well at g2 in America so deffo one to keep an eye on. However it misses the cut for a tip… French trained, German bred horse GOLIATH has 4 wins from 7 races. This includes a g3 at Longchamp and recently a 4th in a g2. This form is arguably just as good as the likes of MISSED THE CUT who is a 3rd of the price which is ultimately why I’ve landed with GOLIATH today for the value. 3:45 PM - Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes (Group 1) BELIEVING 6/1 - 0.5 EW SWINGALONG 16/1 - 0.25 EW Favs look a bit short here - but MILL STREAM is the rightful fav now KINROSS (our initial pick) is now a non runner… I like BELIEVING he’s 13/2 (6/1 now ffs) so we can have a small EW. She ran on Day One and is turned out quickly for Boughey after a 4th place in the King Charles. A very good run and we can have confidence she is in sharp form. I’ve done 0.5 EW on this one and fancy a big run from her again. SWINGALONG is a Group 2 and 3 winner and made the frame in three Group 1 races last year including when third over this course and distance in the Commonwealth Cup on good to firm ground. Last months reappearance run seemed below par but she may of needed that run after nearly 7 months off. A career best will be needed today but she can’t be ruled out and holds each way claims. 4:25 PM - Jersey Stakes (Group 3) PEARLS AND RUBIES 50/1 - 0.25 EW EBEN SHADDAD 25/1 - 0.25 EW In a race that should be fought out between the 3 at the top of the market - it’s RIVER TIBER that just about shades the vote over HAATEM but there’s really not much in it. Both have rock solid form coming into this race. TASK FORCE might be capable of improving but he has a lot to find here on the two at the top of the market. Not happy to pick between the two really - our Moore cover lucky has TIBER in already… However it might not be that simple with a 20 runner field… PEARLS AND RUBIES holds solid Group 1 form. She was second in Judmonte behind PORTA FORTUNA so after studying PORTAS form yesterday I’d already watched that race - it was good effort from PEARLS AND RUBIES but she completely misfired when last in the Irish guineas which is likely the reason for the big price today, If she comes on for the run and runs to her Newmarket standard - she has a chance here to place at least. For one final time this week we go with the Shoemark / Gosden combo on EBEN SHADDAD - feel like a bad drunk that keeps going back to the bar with this pair but we did get a nice 40/1 second from the two on day one - they have been unlucky in running with a couple as well. This selection has nearly doubled in price - ran well at G1 and holds solid form from earlier in the year including a 2nd place to near fav for this race HAATEM. 5:05 PM - Wokingham Stakes (Handicap) DARK TROOPER 15/1 - 0.5 point EW ROCKET RODNEY - 66/1 - 0.25 EW FIVETHOSUANDTOONE - 14/1 - 0.25 EW DARK TROOPER at 15/2 for the Watnan team looks a good bet for this race at 15/2. We potentially have a Group horse in a handicap here - well backed - 8 places paid with sky and still 13/2. There’s 30 runners in this one so we will need a bit of luck to win it regardless but having a slightly bigger bet on this one. Best price for ROCKET RODNEY currently is 66/1… he’s 50/1 on Sky with 8 places. This horse has been rubbish recently but he’s a listed winner running in a handicap now 2lbs below the mark he won that listed race at Sandown. He’s well handicapped for this but form is horrendous. Cheekpieces have been applied recently at Epsom - he flopped the start and nearly lost his rider. Great price with all considered. I think we can forgive FIVETHOUSANDTOONES York run recently - never got involved in that G2 and he will benefit from these calmer waters today back in handicap company. This was probably the real and realistic target this summer for the horse and his recent win in the sprint at Newcastle beating MISTY GREY / BILLY JOH etc shows he more than capable at this class 2 level. Oisin Murphy takes the ride and he’s 14/1. 5:40 PM - Golden Gates Stakes (Handicap) HAND OF GOD 3/1 - 1 point win CAMBRIDGE 14/1 - 0.25 EW HAND OF GOD won nicely at Sandown the last day and looks like he’s been primed for what doesn’t look a very deep race. If he can take to the fast ground which we’ll see today at ascot there’s no doubt he’ll be the one they all have to beat. Only had the 1 run so far this year and should come on for that. CAMBRIDGE is on handicap debut today and any horse from the Aidan Obrien stable on handicap debut is worth a look. I do feel if Ryan Moore was to be on this one it would be a lot shorter and shouldn’t be overlooked and with 5 places paid should have a cracking chance at at least taking a place. 6:15 PM - Queen Alexandra Stakes (Conditions) DRAWN TO DREAM 33/1 - 0.25 EW TASKHAN 10/1 - 0.25 If TRUESHAN runs then he is more than capable of winning this but I doubt he runs? Big drop in class for the old boy who loves it round Ascot. Will connections risk him at his age, with no rain? Probably not... 11/1 currently. Presuming he’s not running I’ve had my EWs on the following… TASHKHAN looks quite the versatile horse and should make a good account of himself today. Was desperate in the cesarewitch at Newmarket after just being picked up late on under top weight. Back down to a reasonable mark today and if able to back up that run at Newmarket should be in there fighting at the end. I put DRAWN TO DREAM in the group last minute at 66/1 and it went on to place for Saffie Osbourne and her pa. They have turned the horse out quickly for another crack. 33/1 is a decent price here and I’m trying it again in the lucky last. TOTAL POINTS INCLUDING LUCKY 31 - 8 points. We have a small profit for the festival whatever happens today. THANKS FOR READING IF YOU GOT THIS FAR! GOOD LUCK! ENJOY!
