VIP SOUTHWELL Tonight is poor - we finally have good jumps back so going to put my focus into research for tomorrow's tips and I think there's a few good ones out. I have one tracker but I’m not fully convinced he wins, maybe a place for : 6.00 - SAN ISIDRO 12/1 - 1 point EW - He has Ryan Sexton on board who has ridden out his claim at this point is a good price at 12/1. 3rd LTO but yet to win on UK soil. I gave up on him a bit last year as was bottom 2 in 4 races in a row and just looked laboured. A recent 3rd place at this course - losing by 1/2 length to the winner, was the best he has looked for ages. There's 4 places paid here and for some reason the handicapper has eased him another 1lb. As I say this horse has plenty to prove and just have small EW on him. Other than that I will be back tomorrow. Thanks everyone for messages and slips today - nice to get some proper winners in and I appreciate all the support as always. Any slips please drop in, cheers https://t.me/ ClR26rNgRwU5MWU0 Nate
VIP WEDNESDAY Please read carefully Writing up CHEPSTOW now but I think KOUROUSH in the 2.35 is worth backing at evens on 365. He’s 4/6 elsewhere. We were on on UK debut when he won nicely (he’s over from Germany for the Skeltons ) we then had him at Cheltenham, he fell at the final fence. Should get some of our money back on him. He looks very good. CATTERICK Bit gutted JIMMY THE DIGGER has been withdrawn from the veterans race which is a shame as looked a good value bet. I think SHANTY ALLEY bow 5/2 is the most likely winner - another that drops in class. We will track JIMMY THE DIGGER for next time as I’m sure he’s got one win left in him despite his advancing age. 1.50 - SADLERS BAY 2/1 - 1 point win - Saver - MACKIE DEE 25/1 - 0.5 EW - 4 places paid 2.25 - AUTUMN RETURN 4/1 James Bowen done a great job today so happy to have him on SADLERS BAY tomorrow at 2/1. He’s been second on the last two runs. He’s an above average jumper thats needed a bit of experience but has that now and has solid form claims here to win. SAVER is the rank outsider MACKIE DEE who is nearly double the age of the rest of the line up at 12. Despite being off 16 months he ran 3rd at Market Rasen. A deeper look into his form shows he’s finished 3331262 over the past 18 months. Big value for a small EW. AUTUMN FLIGHT was 11/2 about half an hour ago and now is 10/3 on some sites. 365 is still t 4/1, the money has come and it’s come quickly. We have missed the big value but it might go off fav here and alot shorter IMO. Brian Hughes is on and it’s another horse in brilliant form - he steps back up to his previous winning distance (both his last wins have come over trip) TOTAL POINTS - 2.5 Cheers all NATE
VIP LINGFIELD 1 point win bets 12.40 - ASGARDS CAPTAIN 5/4 1.10 - NIGHT ON EARTH 15/8 Not going to type up too much about these two but I think they are both very worthy favourites and both returning over evens so fair value. ASGARDS CAPTAIN recent form looks solid due to the placed horses winning next time out. NIGHT ON EARTH has been epically unlucky of late. Only a nose denied him last time out. I think he will go off near odds on so 15/8 is good value tonight. He was 9/4 when I picked him 20 mins ago. Obviously not rocket science these two but I don't have anything else for Lingfield. Chepstow posted in the morning will be one or two guys cheers
VIP CHEPSTOW Please stake sensible and follow the points system. Tough ground today by looks of it. I think it will be heavier rather than the soft listed at Chepstow especially. Good day yesterday but todays a new day and need to get some more winners in !!!! Hope we got on KOUROSH last night…. 4/11 now!!! Few more for Chepstow today. IMPORTANT PLEASE READ !!!!! We have someone sharing the tips again… Any info on this or people know anything / seen anything please let me know ASAP. Just want to get them removed and concentrate on finding winners. Please help if you can and message me privately. THANK YOU 1.30 - HOUSE OF STORIES - 11/2 - 1 point EW I was going to do two in this race GENTLEMANS RELISH and HOUSE OF STORIES but the Henderson horse has been pulled. I presume this will be ground related as it says SOFT at Chepstow but I reckon it’s going to be on the heavy side, hence why the Hendo fav in the first has drifted out to 9/4. I’m not touching that today but I will be watching for the future as he looks a decent recruit from France. Back to this race and HOUSE OF STORIES. We need to beat the Cobden/Nicholls paired MARVELLOUS MICK who is 7/4 here and dropping significantly in company. He was 7th in a listed race after over a year off so he’s the rightful favourite and the one to beat with Cobden riding very well. HOUSE OF STORIES looks a bit more complicated and that is evident from the fact he took a break of two years off the track after winning a points sales race at Tattersalls. He ran at FFOS LAS in December and went off at 50/1. The ground was heavy, he was well beaten by the winner but stayed on well behind THE JUKEBOX MAN. He was with alot of credit and went into the tracker. I think these conditions will suit HOUSE OF STORIES today and he’s worth a small EW taking on the favourite who might not be best suited for the mud. Being well backed was 13/2 when I started writing this and now 11/2 ffs. 2.00 - JAMES JET 10/3 - 1 point win This one has done the opposite and is on the drift. I’m not sure why as this is a heavy ground horse. The support for PULLING STUMPS has been significant but the value is certainly with JAMES JET now at 10/3 . He’s a tough horse that battles on and this attitude was demonstrated in his recent FFOS LAS victory when he won by the margin of a nose. This race is harder but we have Cobden booked and he’s not been harshly punished by the handicapper. Total points suggested - 2 points.
VIP DONCASTER FANCIES and SATURDAY AW I’ve sent INTERVENTION for 6.15 WOLVES but he’s drifted to 9/2 now - not looking good. I’m not tempted by anything else and I’ll post tomorrows AW horses here as well but I’m not writing them up - just fancies as lots of good racing to look forward to at Doncaster and Cheltenham this weekend. Again this is mainly for the VIP members who are at Doncaster races tomorrow. Theres a few so hopefully can find you some winners. Main VIP bets tomorrow will be for Cheltenham that I will post tonight if finished or before 11.30 am tomorrow. 11.50 - CALICO 5/1 - 1 point EW Early start and looks like bad weather. I think 4 places paid and 5/1 is a good shout for CALICO who holds solid form claims in my opinion. Rarely runs a bad race and shouldn’t be too offended by poor conditions. This is a class 2 - he’s been tried at Grade 1 in the past and carries a 3lb claimer. A safe EW in my opinion. 12.20 - Not too interested in trying to beat this 1/2 fav who looks nailed on. One I will mention is RULER OF THE RIVER at 50/1 who runs for Same England and has decent form. This is a big ask as it’s a listed race but 3 places on offer, you never know. 12.55 - GERONIMO 9/1 - 0.5 ew Small go for GERONIMO at 9/1 with 4 places on offer. This one looks the hardest of the day in my opinion but we are very familiar with GERONIMO who won LTO and also has a 10lb claimer on in Charlie Maggs. Weighted with a chance and good form. 1.30 - CHELTENHAM ANTE POST BET RUNS HERE - sent at 12/1 he’s 6/1 now JERIKO DU REPONET to hopefully romp it…. 2.05 - ASHROE DIAMOND 11/8 - 1 point win. Mullins is in incredible form. The problem is he shares favouritism with stable mate GALA MARCEAU… they should make up the forecast as both top class animals. I prefer and track ASHROE DIAMOND. Was hoping to get through with a fav but I think he's a good tip still at 11/8. 2.40 - I LOVE MY BAIE 8/1 - 1 point EW Nobody want I LOVE MY BAIE in the market last december but us. We backed him and he won nicely pulling away on the drift. It would be rude not to try again with nice value in the price. 3 places paid - Daryl Jacob on board - can he handle the step up to 3 miles on what could be difficult ground?? 3.15 - Need more time for this one maybe have a tip tomorrow - 18 runner handicap :S with 6 places paid… 3.50 - WISEGUY 12/1 - 3 paid - 0.5 point EW I’ve avoided a lot of Hendersons horses this week but trust me they WILL start to fire soon and don’t be surprised to see him have a good weekend. I think this is a big price for a solid horse who tends to run good races wherever he goes. TOTAL POINTS SUGGESTED 4. Cheltenam out tonight or morning. Will look at AW now but won’t be many… NATE
VIP DONCASTER Good day of racing at Doncaster for a Sunday ! Later races look like bookie races I’ve just left them. We have enough today and don’t want to force bets out in those solid handicaps ❤️ 12.20 - moves like Monty 16/1 EW 12.50 - CERENDIPITY - 6/1- 1 point EW - 3 paid Pulled up last time, I’m hoping for a better run today from this tracked horses who is a fair price at 6/1 after receiving overnight market support from near 8/1. He jumped like ‘a bag of spanners’. at Haydock but heavy conditions would not of helped him. He ran well previously at Doncaster when 3rd over C&D and he has been eased a 1lb and drops in class. This should see him competitive. My tracker comments: “Brought along steadily after making his debut in October 2021, Cerendipity looked far from the finished article in bumpers but won a 2m3f Catterick novice on his second start over hurdles and arrived at Sandown on the back of a good second over the same distance at Wetherby. A half-brother to two useful jumpers, and out of a half-sister to the 3m Grade 1 chase winner Southern Vic, Cerendipity should make into an above-average hurdler/chaser himself.” 1.25 - GOLD LINK - 1 point EW - 3 paid GOLD LINK is the value here, the fav drops in class but has 5lb penalty so although SOME SCOPE looks progressive, I think GOLD LINK is a better bet. Form reads 2382222124U13231 -They are solid figures - he’s rarely out the place but knows how to win. 2.00 - MONTECAM 15/8 - 1 point EW Odds on fav has the better form claims but i’m sticking with my tracker MONTECAM for this one. MINELLA RESCUE looks big at 12/1 for a saver. My tracker comments: “We gave him a couple of runs last season when he was very weak. He’s came back in a much stronger individual. He really does look the part. He goes nicely, he did a bit of work and it was better than anything he showed us last year. I think he will go straight over hurdles, he jumps very well” - Nicky Henderson 2.35 - MARIES ROCKS race this to lose, she is the most proven at this level. COQUELICOT is track… she will try and make all most likely but will need to run the race of her life to win at 25/1… MARIES ROCK is very short for this Grade2 so it's up to you if you get involved here. 3.05 - NO BET 3.35 - NO BET 4.10 - NO BET TOTAL POINTS SUGGESTED - 3
Tues 30th VIP NEWCASTLE 1.15 - NALA THE LIONESS 7/4 - 1 point win Excellent debut from NALA who has a very nice pedigree. Very unlucky not to win and straight in the tracker with the simple comment from me ‘wins next time out’. Sits at the head of the market here as the one to beat. 1.50 - BUSHMILL BOY 18/1 - 0.5 EW - 5 places paid 18/1 and a maiden after 18 starts. Drifting like a barge. Looks like excellent value to me. I had him picked last night at 12/1… probably wouldn’t have made the cut without the drift, he’s good value now. Form over the past year is teasing a win but handicapper is doing him no favours. From May last year he’s gone on a solid run of placed efforts 344334 - this has seen his mark go from 75 up to 82 which is a bit tight from the handicapper really but also shows that he’s hovering around a mark he’s capable of winning from, He’s 1lb down for his last effort when 4th. Theres 5 places paid here with most bookies. 3.00 - FLORIDA DREAMS (Tracker not a tip) Very short price for FLORIDA DREAMS who we track and backed in the Grade 1, Formby Novice at AINTREE. After finishing 5th that day, he drops down to class 4 company with debutants and horses that have won in this class at best. He should be way too good for this lot and it’s arguable still good value despite being as short as 4/9. 3.35 -READYSTEADYBEAU 10/3 - 1 point win Tricky race this one with 7 runners and 3 tracked horses. There's been a few non runners so there's only 2 places paid here. It’s hard not to think that MINT CONDITION is overpriced at 16/1 but he has been off the race track for nearly 2 years. Previous to this, he was winning races better than this and he makes debut for new yard. With only 2 places paid he’s an option but I think the fact that he’s drifting out is an indication he’s unlikely to get up today. MAROWN, the second tracker is into 6/1. Good value for a good run - needs to beat our third tracker and selection READYSTEADYBEAU. They have raced each other recently where our pick won by nearly 8 lengths. I would imagine we would adopt similar tactics of leading from the front today. READYSTEADY is up 7lbs for that last effort in December so there's a 5lb swing in the weights between him and MAROWN who has ran well since with another 2nd place. I think READYSTEADYBEAU will attempt to make all again and hopefully he can hang on with the extra weight today. TOTAL POINTS 2.5 Maybe one or two for Southwell later I will have a look - Irish racing is coming from LIMERICK today - please click here for Irish tips - https://t.me/ kufFTxJNhc03Y2Jk have a nice day! Nate
VIP WEDNESDAY Definitley caught out by the ground today a bit - you could see how many Non runners before races and horses pulled up - certainly wasn’t the soft listed when I wrote up the tips. Poor ❌Sorry guys some bad runs today and it’s a bad start to the week unless one of this 20/1 shots do us a big favour at Southwell… EXETER VIP 1.30 - KANSAS DU BERLAIS 5/1 - 1 point EW - 3 paid I track two in this 1.30 both TINTINTIN at 5/2 and KANSAS DU BERLAIS - it’s very tight at the top of the market and a competitive race for this conditional jockey's handicap to start the day. Jack Hogan is a solid rider with a 3lb claim - TINTINTIN looked very good LTO so surely the one to beat. KANSAS has moved on to Adam Wests yard and makes his debut today after leaving Gary Moore. I’m surprised he’s let this horse move on as he’s only 5 years old and looked very progressive last year when he won two novice hurdles. He won one by 18 lengths and in my opinion this has left him to struggle since in his races. He’s back around a realistic winning mark now and obviously has talent. Hopefully off to a good start with a nice run for his new stable tomorrow. 4.15 - FLASH GORCOMBE 5/1 - 1 point EW - 5 paid 365 Saver LAZY SUNDAY. 16 runners in this one we will need a bit of luck to win it. Looking closer at this race LAZY SUNDAY stands out at 14/1 if she’s able to return to previous form. She was pulled up last time but form read 111222 before this so surely worth a chance at 14/1. She’s been around a while this one and is usually reliable for a decent run. FLASH GORCOMBES form also reads well and I’m surprised this horse isn’t shorter as the clear cut fav. Yes he steps up in class and takes on a further 8lbs but he did win decisively by 15 lengths LTO… Form reads 1124321.. you need reliable travellers and jumpers in these handicaps with big fields in order to be in with a chance at the business end of the race. FLASH is usually that… 4.45 - RADDON TOP 15/2 - 1 point EW - 4 paid 365 I can imagine RADDON TOP will prove to popular tomorrow and will probably shorten up. He won this race in 2022 and save's his best for Exeter. In fact Eexter is the only place he has won… With 4 wins and 4 places at the track it’s safe to say he runs well here. He’s good EW value and has two good runs under his belt heading into this staying handicap tomorrow. TOTAL POINTS SUGGEST 3. I’ve one or two marked down for Leicester and potentially 2 for Kempton that I will post either late tonight or tomorrow morning. Most Kempton prices aren’t yet up. Cheers Nate
VIP THURSDAY Hey guys we had a 7/1 place and 5/1 winner yesterday stopped it from being a complete write off but still a loss day after ARATUS 3rd last night. GOLF IS POSTED at the bottom. We might do one or two on the AW if we can make a profit from this lot… I will have January's results update on the website by Monday latest - thankful we are back to profit!!! Behind on messaged my Mrs and baby both sick so holding the fort at the moment please bare with me ❤️ FFOS LAS 4.30 MUMBLES - 5/4 - 1 point win Conor Ring has a 3lb claim here so despite carrying a penalty MUMBLES looks to have a good chance to follow up today. He looks quite progressive but his recent win flattered to decieve. He won by nearly 20 lengths but theres no doubt the runner up and main rival was eased down where he pushed on or it would of been a lot closer. He’s well ahead of the rest of the market here and rightly so IMO. WINCANTON 1.45 - COUNTRY LADY 2/1 - 1 point win The ground is listed as good-soft here at Wincanton and it turns out to be heavy like it has on tracks the past two days then this horse may struggle again. I can only go off the listed going - it’s been wrong the past two days. This horse did not take to the heavy ground over Christmas and should bounce back for a Nicholls team that is really starting to hit their stride. 3.45 - COPPERHEAD 4/1 - 1 point win COPPERHEAD drops in class today after a 3rd place before Christmas in a class 2 race. I’ve followed COPPERHEAD for a long time, he’s a C&D winner but his last win came nearly 4 years ago at this point albeit in a Grade 2 at Ascot. He’s in the twilight of his career but has ran well of late being unlucky to finish second place at both Ludlow and Fontwell at the end of last year. I think this might be the last time I bet on him if he loses today. Freddie Gingell is on board again, LTO they finished in behind FLEGMATIK who went to win at Kempton earlier this year and he was also ahead of FEIDELIO VALLIS who won on New Years Day so his form looks solid today just whether or not that desire to win is still there…. 2.15 - ASIAN SPICE 16/1 - 1 point EW - 3 point win As big as 20/1 with Ladbrokes and as short at 12/1 with Sky. Bryony rides ASIAN SPICE again for her Dad as they bid for a hat trick. What’s really impressive with ASIAN SPICE form is that FIVE of the horses she beat on her handicap hurdle debut in November went on to win their next start, she also followed up with a win. The best horse she beat was MAJOR FORTUNE who looks a good animal. Cobden rode last time out but he is on LARCHMONTH LASS TODAY who is arguably the main danger. It’s a very big task for ASIAN SPICE to compete off near top weight with these more experienced horses, but the price is right to see if she can take the step up in class in stride for the Frost team. TOTAL POINTS SUGGESTED - 4 VIP GOLF - AT PEBBLE BEACH PRO - 5-12 places paid on 365. 1 point EW for all. Starts at 3.45. VIKTOR HOVLAND 11/1 (8 places) MAX HOMA 12/1 (8) TOMMY FLEETWOOD 28/1 (8) ADAM SCOTT 55/1 (8) SI WOO KIM 66/1 (8) ADAM SVENSSON 100/1 (8) GOOD LUCK ALL NATE
VIP FRIDAY - CATTERICK & SOUTHWELL I will post LINGFIELD before 11.30. I had 4 picked out last night so will write them up now. DUBLIN FESTIVAL starts tomorrow - the best racing this weekend is at LEOPARDSTOWN make sure you are following if keen - https://t.me/ kjYxJvYdNLMxNGY8 CATTERICK 2.35 MOORE CLOUDS 5/2 - 1 point win She’s only been hit with a 1lb rise for Decembers Sedgefield win over simi.iar conditions. This is a new trip for her but the race looks relatively weak. If she runs to the standard she did on Boxing day it’s hard to see what beats her here. The rest of the line up all have question marks surrounding the form. SOUTHWELL 1.55 MY GIFT TO YOU 2/1 - 1 point win 3.25 ZWICKY 15/8 - 1 point win Money has come for both of these Southwell horses overnight. We are familiar with MY GIFT TO YOU who maintains the partnership with Harry Cobden in the attempt for a hat trick. The horse has been a revelation since switching to the larger obstacles. It was only 2 weeks ago that MY GIFT WON here at C&D after applying front running tactics that seems to be working well for the horse. I’d expect similar again today from Cobden and this will ultimately come down to whether or not MY GIFT TO YOU is competitive now bumped up a further 5lbs. ZWICKY boasts very solid form figures and has found market support overnight. Recent form reads 131133 but in fairness he looked held LTO - this might of been due to the heavy ground. He steps up in trip to 3 miles for the first time today. Cobden will be going for it. He is only 10 rides behind Bowen for the jockey championship and he should be seeing this ride as a good opportunity to close the gap. LONGSHOTS 2.55 - SOUTHWELL - SHESUPINCOURT 9/1 - 4 paid - 1 point EW If you can forgive SHESUPINCOURT for unseating her rider and the uncharacteristically poor effort at Leicester on the heavy ground. You are left with a horse that won by 8 lengths at this level the race prior. She also won convincingly in November but has seen the mark hit 91 from 79 in the space of two months. Good value to get back to form today in my opinion. TOTAL POINTS SUGGESTED - 4
VIP admin longshots ✅ All the Irish tips are posted you can get 2 week FRER VIP here https://sublaunch.co/irishline?code=dublinfestival✅ Two Sandown longshots from ste and one longshot from Aidan! 1510 Sandown- West Balboa 7/1 ew 0.5 points Probably one of the tougher races of the day with plenty in the field having more improvement to come and my tracker Ed Walker is currently favourite but going to take a chance on top weight West Balboa here, form for this yard read 122111 before struggling in the grade 1 Howden walk hurdle at Ascot in December finishing last of 10 having gone off at 3/1 favourite, was intouch for a long way travelling well and weren't given a hard time once beaten before the last. This doesn't look as tough with the ground in her favour and the drop in distance to 1m 7f I thinks a positive, placed on her only other visit here and she's capable of bouncing back with more to come, Tristan Durrell jumps on board for the first time with his 3lb claim and bookies are paying extra places. 1545 Sandown- Java Point 11/1 ew - 0.5 points Has placed in seven of his 13 starts over fences winning three all on similar ground and he's back below his last winning mark having put up a decent effort lto to finish fourth of 8 on stable debut back from 197 days off in December at Newbury over 2m 6f, probably needed the run but back up to 3m here and if building on that effort then he could go well at eachway odds with Jonathan Burke in the saddle looking for his fifth win on board. Aidans tip Wetherby 1.32 - KEPAGGE 10/1 (1 point EW) This one’s worth taking a chance on tomorrow, this four-time hurdle winner hasn’t quite shown the same level of form in two runs over fences but they haven’t been disgraceful runs either and some positives can be taken away from them. The handicapper has now given him a bit of a chance dropping him by 3lbs from 121 to 118 with conditions looking as if they should suit. Looks one to not give up on just yet and holds each way claims. Total points suggested 2.
VIP TUESDAY TAUNTON & WOLVES SPOTLIGHT on Cobden again? Really struggling to pick the winner in this first race. Top 3 in the market are hard to split. We could be looking at another good day for Cobden here. He has 5 rides today and they all have chances. CENTARA in the first finished a few lengths off JERIKO DE REPONET at Newbury in a class higher than this, FIRE FLYER is as short at 5/4 (still not the fav in the race) and he also rides GYLLEN again in the last race of the day. We backed and won with with GYLLEN recently at Sandown. I felt the horse won with a bit in hand personally despite it being a close finish but now up another 5lbs it’s hard to keep winning handicaps like this. He’s going for four in a row today and at 4/1 the value is there for a small go if you fancy following up with GYLLEN. The other rides are EW options, he has one for Evan Williams 7/1 - QUI DE NEUF and then BENY NAHAR ROAD in the 2.50. With Cobden riding with the championship in mind he will be looking for winners and seems to be taking all the rides he can get. Again, I’ll be surprised if he can’t get a double up here with his book today. 3.20 MERRY MONTY 7/2 - 1 point win This horse remains a maiden after 11 attempts but he has never been closer than his New Years Day effort in behind BOLSOVER BILL. Monty and Bill finished 10 lengths clear of rivals that day but BILL has run since and stepped up in class to win a class 4 last week in the race we bet FLASH GORCOMBE… BOLSOVER BILL won that race by 5 lengths - thats a really nice form boost for MERRY MONTY. He’s been bumped 3lbs for that last run and rates a good price today to finally get his first win. 8.00 PESSOA 5/2 - 1 point win Finley Marsh rides PESSOA tonight and I think he can beat the favorite on BERKSHIRE PHANTOM who is turned out quickly after Saturdays win. A 5lb penalty may see PESSOA with a good chance here. Although he was unable to complete the hat trick here at Wolves, he ran well and the winner went on to run well again himself at Southwell NTO. Money has come for PESSOA overnight and I think he might end up going off the favourite by this evening. TOTAL POINTS 2.
