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Daily Racing Thread Saturday 6th. May 2023

Discussion in 'Horse Racing' started by attivo, May 5, 2023.

  1. attivo

    attivo Well-Known Member

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    Saturday's Meetings

    Naas
    Flat 8 Races 1:00-5:10p.m.
    Goodwood
    Flat 7 Races 1:20-5:00p.m.
    Thirsk
    Flat 7 Races 1:30-4:55p.m.
    Newmarket
    Flat 7 Races 1:40-5:50p.m.
    2,000 Guineas Off @ 4:40p.m.
    Cork
    N/H 7 Races 1:48-5:25p.m.
    Uttoxeter
    N/H 8 Races 2:05-6:15p.m.
    Doncaster(E)
    Flat 7 Races 5:20-8:25p.m.
    Hexham(E)
    N/H 7 Races 5:30-8:40p.m.

    Racecards
    At The Races
    Sporting Life
    Racing Post


    Good Luck <ok>
     
    #1
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  2. Grade One

    Grade One Well-Known Member

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    Think this horse will be a lively outsider in the 2000 Guineas

    Galeron

    Each Way @ 100-1...four places
     
    #2
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  3. SwanHills

    SwanHills Well-Known Member

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    Newmarket - 2000 Gns - (16:40) - Group-1, One Mile

    Am really hoping Silver Knott will give a good account in the first classic of the season. William Buick has chosen the Lope De Vega colt from the two Charlie Appleby runners. Has given two fine performances in the past over the distance, and will surely have a good crack at this? Will be very disappointed if Silver Knott does not run a good race. Should mention that sire Lope De Vega was definitely best over one mile during his racing career.

    14/1 (PP) best price at time of writing, a price I find slightly baffling. E/W at these odds.
     
    #3
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  4. Resurgam

    Resurgam Top Analyst
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    Nemarket 3:25 - Dutch Decoy - e/w 6 places (skybet)
     
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  5. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    2000 Gns. With the forecast going good, good to firm in places I think I will stick with my original choice, Noble Style. EW at 18/1 PP and Betfair
     
    #5
  6. stick

    stick Bumper King

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    Have you seen the weather around Newmarket this evening?
     
    #6
  7. Ron

    Ron Well-Known Member
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    No, is it raining?
     
    #7
  8. SaveTheHumans

    SaveTheHumans Well-Known Member

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    If all the noises from the locality are to be believed then there is no point in running to 2000G's. Auguste Rodin is already smoking a Cuban cigar, laying off having his back scratched in a beautiful lush green meadow surrounded by young fillies having strode to victory.

    On the other hand the price is just not right as my dear old friend Bruce used to say. To SwanHills' misfortune, I also like Silver Knott and the Varian runner Sakheer catches the eye if he can stay the mile well enough.
     
    #8
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  9. SaveTheHumans

    SaveTheHumans Well-Known Member

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    Scorchio?
     
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  10. stick

    stick Bumper King

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    Cats and dogs
     
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  11. stick

    stick Bumper King

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    RAASEL 14/1 Nkt 4.00
    Incredible rise through the ranks since joining Mick Appleby and looks certain to have a say in many of the big sprint races this season. Slightly dissapointing winter in Meydan but crucially for me today he is reunited with James Doyle who in seven rides on him has won five and been placed in the other two. He is very versatile groundwise so no need to worry about the weather.

    also like.
    Blackrod 2.50
    Majestic 3.25
     
    #11
  12. rudebwoy

    rudebwoy Well-Known Member

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    yard form has dipped dramatically......?
     
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  13. stick

    stick Bumper King

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    very true, 44 runs without a winner but the more fancied ones have tended to place. they are too good to be out of the winners circle for too much longer
     
    #13
  14. NassauBoard

    NassauBoard Well-Known Member

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    Even with the rain, I think the pace bias will remain at Newmarket, which makes the following of interest

    Star Caliber
    Azure Blue
    Leap Aboard
    Dawn Of Liberation
    Dubai Mile
    Shaquille


    Leap Aboard would be the best bet of that lot for me, but I will be trading all of them on the exchange.

    Up For Parol is my NAP today though, class horse in the race and hopefully a return to chasing will help him continue his good career.
     
    #14
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  15. Pilgrim

    Pilgrim Well-Known Member

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    Newmarket
    14,50 Popmaster 22/1 e/w sky seven places, six others
    16,40 Indestructible 25/1 e/w bet365 four places, three others

    Uttoxeter
    17,40 Dog Of War 13/2 WH, 6/1 others
     
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  16. OddDog

    OddDog Mild mannered janitor
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    Royal Scotsman for me in the 2000 Guineas. He was doing his best work late in the Dewhurst and I'm sure no one would begrudge Paul Cole another classic winner in the autumn of his career.
     
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  17. QuarterMoonII

    QuarterMoonII Economist

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    Happy Coronation Day to one and all. I hope that our Republican brethren behave themselves and do not disrupt proceedings in London.

    Looking at the 2:15 at HQ, I have something of a dilemma. Michael Dods fields two course and distance winners, the four year old filly Azure Blue, who finished her three year old campaign on the up with victory over her stablemate seven year old mare Gale Force Maya in fourth giving her four pounds. It seems reasonable to assume that the filly will improve again while the older mare probably does not have much improvement to give. In that race, Makarova was second as one of five big outsiders and retains the tongue tie that was applied that day. George Boughey is running a couple of three year olds against their elders here, one of them, Perdika, carrying a penalty for a previous Listed race win. Despite the fact that I think Azure Blue has the greater scope, GALE FORCE MAYA won first time out over course and distance last year so she just gets my vote. I think Heredia may be here to warm up for something over a little further and although Spring Feeling was third in a Group 3 last August that was over seven-and-a-half furlongs.

    Will it be hats off to The King with Saga in the 3:25? I put Empirestateofmind in the ITV7, stepping up in trip but we are probably not allowed to mention Empire these days and it is not a betting race for me as I could not decide between half a dozen of them.

    I confess to having a dreadful record in the Palace House Stakes. When I used to go to the Guineas meeting, whatever I did only ever turned out to be good for the Placepot. Looking at this year’s race the favourite obviously catches the eye. Twilight Calls’ second in the King’s Stand, with several of today’s rivals behind, looks almost the best form going but he has not been seen since, although Ryan Moore is again booked by Henry Candy.

    Since Aidan O’Brien is only running two in the 2000 Guineas, we can reasonably assume that he thinks one of the them is the real deal as opposed to his usual policy of running several when he is unsure. Purely on juvenile form, Little Big Bear is the best horse in the field but missed half of last season after thrashing four rivals in the Phoenix Stakes, where it all went wrong for favourite Bradsell. He steps up two furlongs today but does he really want a stiff mile? What tactics Wayne Lordan adopts will be interesting. Auguste Rodin has done nothing wrong but has done all his winning on easy ground and I simply do not think that his Futurity win reads all that well and the third at Doncaster, Holloway Boy, blew the lead hanging away across the track. I am guessing the other jockeys will not want to be next to Karl Burke’s charge coming out of The Dip! Godolphin run two with good form from 2022 and whilst Noble Style is unbeaten and comfortably outpointed Royal Scotsman and Galeron in the Gimcrack, he gave the impression that day of being a sprinter and Buick has deserted him. Silver Knott ran his best race in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf chasing home Victoria Road, so Aidan O’Brien should have a reasonable line on him, but before that he won the Autumn Stakes over course and distance, so I do think Buick has picked the right one and if nobody else goes on I can see him going to the front. Of those that have contested the trials, really only Craven winner Indestructible makes appeal based on their efforts. I add that caveat because, when trained by Michael O’Callaghan last year, he was slammed by CHALDEAN in the three-runner Champagne Stakes, where odds on Silver Knott was last. I am prepared to put a line through his Greenham mishap (Charyn stayed on for second) and presume that Frankie will apply some superglue to the saddle today! I liked the way he stuck to his task winning the Dewhurst, fending off Royal Scotsman and my expectation is that Frankie could try and make all to win what is (allegedly) his last 2000 Guineas from the front (if he does not miss the break). The price has drifted since Newbury, so I will take a chance.
     
    #17
  18. You See

    You See Well-Known Member

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    In the first at Newmarket i would not put it past the Hill runner Vaynor finishing strongly proven at c/d and went close on a cl2 at Nottingham there has been a long break but Vaynor did finish with 2 wins on the allweather . With 25k to the winner i am sure they will be primed Egan looks a nice booking for this , the odds of 9s looks a bit skinny but if it was 20s i would probrably bet to win anyway .
     
    #18
  19. You See

    You See Well-Known Member

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    Top weighted azure blue barely puts a foot wrong at c/d 4s generally looks fair enough in the 2nd
     
    #19
  20. Grecian Mick

    Grecian Mick Well-Known Member

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    Good afternoon all, a few selections that I will back today.

    2.50N TANMAAWY
    3.05G MAGHLAAK
    3.25N TURNTABLE ew
    3.40T AUTUMN FESTIVAL ew NAP
    4.40N CHALDEAN

    Good luck all
     
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