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The Premier League Thread

Discussion in 'Southampton' started by TheSecondStain, Jun 28, 2016.

  1. Le Tissier's Laces

    Le Tissier's Laces Well-Known Member

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    Good Ebening has done a superb job at Villa.
     
    #33801
  2. Paddy Podped

    Paddy Podped Well-Known Member

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    I don’t buy into any of this focus on other results going for or against us just yet.


    Right now whether or not we stay up is entirely dependent on whether we can get enough points to be competitive at the end of the season .


    Most statistical models seem to out safety at around 36 points.

    But if we insist on looking at other teams too:
    Ignoring us, from Palace downwards for all teams to get to 36 from before this weekend would take a total of 83 points from 84 games. Essentially a point per game. Today was 8 from 6. So not the best but not awful.


    The alternative view is we need just 3 teams to be worse than us by the end. But as yet we don’t know which 3 that will be. So until the end we cannot say if it was good or bad. (If it’s Leeds, Leicester, Forest, then today was brilliant)




    But again, none of it matters unless we get to a competitive position around 36 points. It’s not realistic (or healthy) to hope/expect the rest to not pick up points. In all likelihood all but 3 will get to 36+
     
    #33802
  3. StJabbo1

    StJabbo1 Well-Known Member

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    Is it **** it's not close to being a certainty.
     
    #33803
    thereisonlyoneno7 likes this.
  4. Le Tissier's Laces

    Le Tissier's Laces Well-Known Member

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    Wow, Villa two up against Chelsea.
     
    #33804
  5. Le Tissier's Laces

    Le Tissier's Laces Well-Known Member

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    Joao Felix is levels above in this Chelsea side.
     
    #33805
  6. Onionman

    Onionman Well-Known Member

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    Or, to put it another way, if you saw a doctor and he said you have cancer but with treatment you have a 73% chance of surviving it, would you be booking a family knees-up-I've-survived-cancer party and saying your survival was all but certain?

    Vin
     
    #33806
    thereisonlyoneno7 likes this.
  7. Brinkworth Saint

    Brinkworth Saint Well-Known Member

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    It always has been.
     
    #33807
  8. Schad

    Schad Well-Known Member

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    I played online poker as a primary source of income for a couple years back when it was booming. Trust me: 73% is anything but certain. 99% isn't certain. I have the psychic scars from their uncertainty still.

    Bournemouth winning is unfortunate, but not a bad set of results overall. Leicester/Leeds losing and Forest/Wolves drawing work to our favour. Win tomorrow and, comically, we'll be one point off 14th.
     
    #33808
  9. garysfc

    garysfc Well-Known Member

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    Just getting what we deserve tbf.
     
    #33809
    LincolnSaint likes this.
  10. RSS

    RSS Well-Known Member

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    Not going to worry about other results because we still need to get the points to stand a chance regardless. A lot of games to be played, many will go ‘against us’, it’s what WE do or don’t do that really matters.
     
    #33810

  11. tomw24

    tomw24 Well-Known Member
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    No, that's how you get into serious debt.
     
    #33811
  12. The Ides of March

    The Ides of March Well-Known Member

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    Would that be Manchester United, Liverpool.and Chelsea. That would be the perfect bottom three!!
     
    #33812
    Saints14 likes this.
  13. - Doing The Lambert Walk

    - Doing The Lambert Walk Well-Known Member

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  14. Osvaldorama

    Osvaldorama Well-Known Member

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    He had to go. They’ve looked abysmal for ages.

    Shame for us. They’ll improve now. I find it mad the commentators on sky are still defending him.
     
    #33814
  15. st_brendy

    st_brendy Well-Known Member
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    It'll be interesting where Rodgers goes next.

    I still think the Forest owner could pull the trigger on Cooper at some point (and if they were to lose to Leeds in midweek, their remaining fixtures thereafter do not look nice). But I'm not sure if Rogers would throw himself straight into another relegation battle.

    Maybe Palace in the summer? I'm presuming they won't keep Roy, even if he leads them to a safe 12th place finish. Whereas if Gracia keeps Leeds up, I presume he would stay on.

    I don't see any other obvious PL vacancies emerging before, say, October. (If you assume that Spurs, and potentially Chelsea at some point, wouldn't be interested.) One consequence of there not really being any mid-table this season, is that there's a reduced chance of a manager leaving during the summer. Clubs higher up will generally want to keep their manager, and clubs lower down will generally have changed manager relatively recently.
     
    #33815
  16. Le Tissier's Laces

    Le Tissier's Laces Well-Known Member

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  17. Paddy Podped

    Paddy Podped Well-Known Member

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    Suspect there’s be no interest in his part, but we should at least ask the question


    In reality he probably needs a few months break, but if he wants to be straight back in we’ll see him in a Leicester dugout next weekend
     
    #33817
  18. tomw24

    tomw24 Well-Known Member
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    New owners same mistakes. Potter was clearly meant to be a long term project at Chelsea. They should have stuck with him.
     
    #33818
  19. Saints14

    Saints14 Active Member

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    13 managerial departures in the prem this season the most ever 2 a piece from Saints and Chelsea and potter has also been involved in 2
     
    #33819
  20. st_brendy

    st_brendy Well-Known Member
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    I presume Leicester will at least try and see if Potter would be interested, but my guess would be no. Maybe not until the summer, at the very least.

    But as I said earlier with Rodgers, I don't see too many PL jobs becoming available between now and about October. Unless they're willing to move abroad - or maybe Spurs can extract De Zerbi out of Brighton (I don't think Chelsea will be going there again!) - they both might have to wait a little while.
     
    #33820

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