Been a busy day, but see I can still watch the last race at Cartmel (16:20) So, a bit e/w on Pads will do. The Black Squirrel will take some beating though! Was a good day for me yesterday, so no post weekend grumbles!
Cartmel goes soft and i am still well up with one to run 10 placed 4 wins 2x 2nds 2x3rds and a forth one to run BOOOOM CRACKERSTYLE
My goodness, Pads finished 5th of the 13 runners after nearly unshipping his rider half-way through the race. Glad I was busy, don't feel that I would have done well at all today. Good work for all those who showed a profit, well done! Here S/F and Tricast dividends in the last at Cartmel: SF:£637.64 Tricast:£5,835.93 Any punter who found either one of those is a true genius!
That’s some bookend double for Ben Haslam today. Very underrated trainer. It is to him that JP sends his “sour horses”.
yep , better than his dad , dual purpose with excellent results , nearly had a treble today if it weren’t for old dai burchell and his king alfonso. !
See he has a couple out at Ayr tomorrow in the 2.40 and 4.15 @ 11/2 and 16/1 Going to have a little e/w double for some interest on a Monday!
No idea what was going in at Deauville today. Fair enough Campanelle won the Morny but The Queen’s Tactical will have to sneak back to its box or it will end up on a local dinner plate. Campanelle is a possible for the Cheveley Park before she goes home for the Breeders’ Cup. Frankie is reportedly heading back with a car full of wine and cheese to face quarantine rather than a rubber dinghy from Calais and no hassle. What looked like Dettori’s banker, Nazeef, never went a yard and the Prix Jean Romanet went to James Fanshawe’s handicapper Audarya, holding off Ambition. Call The Wind went one better than last term in the Prix Kergorlay where Dettori’s mount Red Verdon was withdrawn but I picked the wrong one against Dettori in the Prix De Pomone as local hope Ebaiyra won it for Alain De Royer-Dupre rather than the German raider Satomi, although given that a good sized blanket could have covered the whole field it does not look like form to follow.
Tactical was ripe for being beaten today. The form of his races has been working out awfully and I was shaking my head looking at him as 7/4 Fav for the Morny earlier in the week. I thought Supremacy and Dandalla were the best contenders for the French Group 1 but they were both sitting doing nothing at home while much vaunted prize money went into more ambitious people's pockets. I was on Nazeef last time she ran, taking the chance that she would cope with the change in trip from a mile to 10F. She never travelled that day and was beaten from a long way out. I suspected Fancy Blue was a bit lucky that day with the Gosden filly running so poorly but as ever the assessors raise the mark of the winner and runner up and move on. Nazeef was given as running to 113 that day but I reckon that is pish. The runner up One Voice was slaughtered next time and is no way a 116 RPR filly as she was rated for her Nassau run. Queen Power, who was 4th was beaten in an egg and spoon affair next time. I think time will show that Fancy Blue won a weak Nassau and I do not believe for one minute that One Voice ran to 113, when beaten by Love in the Yorkshire Oaks. She was seven lengths behind Love in third that day and the winner was awarded 124, Sticking out like a giant colt's cock though, is the fact that the officially rated 97 filly Alpinista split the two horses and had to have her RPR of 116 pitched 19 lbs in excess of her official rating. I smell bullshit there and that Yorkshire Oaks looked like one of the worst renewals ever, with the two Gosden Fillies doing an admirable job of playing the obscure game of "Who can look most like a glacier", with Franconia winning the part in the new ITV documentary "When Glaciers Attack", which had been shelved but brought out of mothballs due to Covid-19 Back at 10F today I had no intention of touching Nazeef at odds-on after a dismal show last time and at least the Racing Post guy took the message with her today in awarding 99 for her effort. Some of these ratings are just blatantly too high and the next we will be hearing is that Love is better than Frankel was. Aidan O'Brien:- "Now listen now, out of all the fillies, I have ever trained, now, listen, this filly Love, now, is definitely one of them" You can't argue with that!
Why are you ignoring the fact that Alpinista official rating wasnt updated since her previous run? You are very keen on RPRs yet you dont mention that she had a career best 110 in her previous run, and stepped up again which suggests she might just be a lightly raced, improving filly from a high class family, and its not like Prescott is known for horses improving tons, in fact its pretty much all hes known for. So her run was 6 points higher on RPR rating, doesnt quite have the same ring as 19 pounds. Nazeefs pedigree screams miler, she won a very weak G1I said it before the Nassau but some were prepared to give her another chance on heavy ground no less. Meant to ask, have you come to terms with Kameko being a non stayer yet?
