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Off Topic SARS-CoV-2 Covid-19

Discussion in 'Hull City' started by AmalCarb, Jan 24, 2020.

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  1. originallambrettaman

    originallambrettaman Mod Moderator
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    They’re never going to test everyone and there’s no need to. for most it’s just an unpleasant illness they’ll get over at home and we’ll have a vaccine before the end of the year anyway.
     
    #5281
  2. FLG

    FLG Well-Known Member

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    Ace, just in time for the pubs reopening <cheers>
     
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  3. M0WDS

    M0WDS Active Member

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    It is a genuine account. She's my best mates sister so I can vouch for her!
     
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  4. Chazz Rheinhold

    Chazz Rheinhold Well-Known Member

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    How closely???
     
    #5284
  5. M0WDS

    M0WDS Active Member

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    Didn't vouch her if that's what you were asking :emoticon-0102-bigsm
     
    #5285
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  6. Der Alte

    Der Alte Well-Known Member

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    There might be a case for testing everyone but I suspect the government won't want to recognise that - people who suffer some viral infections appear to make a full recovery but suffer devastating consequences further down the line. It is now an established fact that certain virus types, during their active reproduction cycle, do produce proteins which increase the chances of developing specific cancers in later life - as seen in around 20 strains of the very common Human Papilloma Virus and its role in the development of cervical, anal and some E.N.T. cancers.
    This is by no means certain but If dangerous proteins are identified as a by-product of Covid19 infection it will be very helpful to know exactly who has previously been infected so that potential cancers can be screened for and treated conservatively at an early stage. Tests could, of course be the antigen tests for current disease or, if they are ever used, antibody tests for those who have previously been infected but have now recovered.
    My suspicion is that this wide scale testing will never happen because the expense would be huge and the government won't really be too interested in picking up the tab for diseases that will occur long after this parliament.
    As with HPV, it is likely that any vaccine produced will be a preventative and not a cure - if that's the case then those who have been exposed to Covid19 are unlikely to benefit from immunisation.
     
    #5286
    Last edited: May 3, 2020
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  7. dennisboothstash

    dennisboothstash Well-Known Member

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    I’m not sure you’re knowledgeable enough about mass health protection strategies to be able to say definitively that there’s no need to test everyone, neither am I.
    It entirely depends on the next part of the strategy. If, as seems likely, it’s going to rely on contact tracing to establish who may have been infected then it is likely the testing of this people will follow and even if not everyone it’s likely to markedly increase the numbers of tests needed, particularly when you consider people being tested multiple times.
    The fact that most people only find it an unpleasant illness is completely irrelevant when it comes to managing the spread to vulnerable people, in fact arguably it might make it more challenging.
    I’m not sure how you know there’ll be a vaccine by the end of the year either? Plenty of well informed people seem less convinced and of course some viruses never got a vaccine (HIV for example) Obviously I hope you’re right, but I think it’s too early to be stating it as a fact (although I realise you didn’t go the full hog and say FACT!)
     
    #5287
  8. dennisboothstash

    dennisboothstash Well-Known Member

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  9. TryfanTyger

    TryfanTyger Active Member

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    It mattered enough for them to email Tory members to encourage them to apply for a home test.

    Why did they do that just before the end of the month. Anyone would think they were trying to boost the numbers of something. :emoticon-0138-think
     
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  10. ....

    .... Well-Known Member

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    quite honestly ... so what if they were ???
     
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  11. Der Alte

    Der Alte Well-Known Member

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    Well they certainly don't seem to have included voting preference on their list of criteria for a test. There must be some unpublished evidence that they're more disease prone than those who vote for other parties.
     
    #5291
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  12. originallambrettaman

    originallambrettaman Mod Moderator
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    I'd assume the Conservative Party regularly sends out emails to its members, on a whole raft of things, hardly a surprise if they don't have anyone but Conservatives on there.
     
    #5292
  13. originallambrettaman

    originallambrettaman Mod Moderator
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    You don't need to be an expert on health strategies to know that we don't screen the entire population for any disease and the chances of them starting now, are pretty much zero.
     
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  14. Der Alte

    Der Alte Well-Known Member

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    I suspect that, being lead purely by the science, they've noted that labour voting in Hull must offer greater protection than that achieved in conservative wards. That seems consistent with the quality of advice they tend to follow.
     
    #5294
  15. originallambrettaman

    originallambrettaman Mod Moderator
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    An NHS contact-tracing #COVID19 app will be trialled on the Isle of Wight this week.
     
    #5295
  16. tigerincanada

    tigerincanada Well-Known Member

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    Years ago, on our way to a tournament in Winnipeg, we stopped at a McDonalds near Brandon and after one bite my Glaswegian team mate aked to see the Mcmanager. When asked why, he replied this burger's Mcrotten.
     
    #5296
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  17. dennisboothstash

    dennisboothstash Well-Known Member

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    My point still stands though.
    100,000 a day isn’t enough for any effective strategy relying on tracing and testing.
    And part of you reasoning earlier was that we’ll have a vaccine by the end of the year. I’d say at the moment that’s closer to 50/50 than the fact you suggested it was.
     
    #5297
  18. originallambrettaman

    originallambrettaman Mod Moderator
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    Tell that to South Korea, who are on top of the virus, having largely managed to keep everything open and having only done half the tests we've now done (obviously they had an excellent strategy from minute one, largely thanks to their dry run with SARS, but it shows that targeted testing and tracing does work).
     
    #5298
  19. John Ex Aberdeen now E.R.

    John Ex Aberdeen now E.R. Well-Known Member

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    #5299
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  20. Cortez91

    Cortez91 Moderator
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    I don’t understand how they can ethically use the testing kits on footballers (privately bought or not) when those tests would be better used elsewhere and not have time in a lab taken up over something that, at this stage, is still irrelevant in terms of people’s safety and health. And I say that as a football fan.
     
    #5300
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