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Discussion in 'Newcastle United' started by in carr we trust, Sep 24, 2011.

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  1. in carr we trust

    in carr we trust Member

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    The history of the Premier League, as is researchable via this pretty cool site, bears out the probability. Tote up the standings of the past decade and the average final finish of the fourth-place club after five weeks is exactly fourth. No club standing fourth after five weeks has ever finished lower than 13th. It’s been 12 years since a club standing fourth after five games hasn’t gone to the Champions or UEFA/Europa leagues. In fact, only five times in Premier League history has a fourth-place club after five weeks not gone to Europe, and those were all in the first eight seasons of the league, when conditions were different, including more variance in the length of clubs’ off-seasons due to the international schedule. More recent seasons are more predictive, because they look more like the present.
    link to the full article below
    http://www.newcastleunited.us/2011/09/history-probability-indicate-newcastle-is-for-real.html
     
    #1
    in carr we trust, Sep 24, 2011
  2. cabluigi

    cabluigi Active Member

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    So we will definitely get into Europe then... ;)

    It's been a good start, but let's not get carried away just yet!
     
    #2
    cabluigi, Sep 25, 2011
  3. goldie

    goldie Well-Known Member

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    No more nails some timber to this article
     
    #3
    goldie, Sep 25, 2011
  4. The Secret Ingredient

    The Secret Ingredient Well-Known Member

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    great start and the mood is great but maybe getting ahead of ourselves abit
     
    #4
    The Secret Ingredient, Sep 25, 2011
  5. Protein Cheik

    Protein Cheik Member

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    I'm just expecting the worst but hoping for the best. If we qualify for Europe I'd be very surprised.
     
    #5
    Protein Cheik, Sep 25, 2011
  6. in carr we trust

    in carr we trust Member

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    although i posted the article i'd be happy with top ten and content with 12th.
     
    #6
    in carr we trust, Sep 25, 2011
  7. Alfie

    Alfie Active Member

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    Why can't we go for title? We ARE delusional afterall <ok>
     
    #7
    Alfie, Sep 25, 2011
  8. Beatski

    Beatski Well-Known Member

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    Thought this was going to be an article about Cabaye <whistle>
     
    #8
    Beatski, Sep 25, 2011
  9. GGW

    GGW Well-Known Member

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    Le Beatski <laugh>
     
    #9
    GGW, Sep 25, 2011
  10. WisconsinMagpie

    WisconsinMagpie New Member

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    #10
    WisconsinMagpie, Sep 25, 2011

  11. Why aye Cabaye

    Why aye Cabaye Active Member

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    What history doesn't really take into account is how much more competitive the entire league is now compared to a few years back and more. Anyone really can beat anyone. I'd take 7th place now in a heartbeat. 8th or 9th would still represent progress.
     
    #11
    Why aye Cabaye, Sep 25, 2011
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