The New Politics Thread

Well if they are stupid at least they won't have wasted £25 on summat that ain't going to happen, imo you would be better of laying a Tory majority at 1.66, personally I think this is too low and overstates yesterdays BXP announcement, still about evens for me.

I will have a bit of a play on constituency markets nearer the day, made a few bob on last election doing this.

 

My Irish and Scottish brothers will be delighted to learn I'm voting for the Conservative and Unionist Party at the upcoming GE

 

I'm sad to say that unfortunately the vast majority of British people are as thick as ****. Absolute dumb SCUM BASTARD WINDOW LICKING ******ED SPASTIC ***** ****S and a bit gay too.

ftp

 

^^^^ Exhibit A

 

Yeah, there is that...

 

An FX guy sent me something today and he reckons that Tories will get between 307 and 382 seats. Also the probabilities are as follows...

Labour win 2%
Hung 23%
Small Con majority 15%
Medium Con majority 25%
Big Con majority 20%
Blowout Con majority 15%

In other words there is a 75% chance of Con majority in one form or another.

 

307-382 isn’t really sticking his neck on the line. If he’s right he’s got a huge opp to lay Labour and a hung parliament. Robbie is probably right- 1.66 implying a 60% chance on a majority seems skinny for now.

 

Mons FX mate is a bit of a **** imho

Hung parliament is a dead cert, get yer shirt on it guise.

and

ftp

 

Yeah, but if he is giving the different percentages then 307-382 makes sense.

 

I called hung parliament in the last election and I think it will be again.

 

I guarantee it’ll be between 0 and 600. If he’ll offer me just over 3/1 on a hung parliament I’ll take it.

 

It is 75% chance of con majority, according to the FX guy.

 

Not 0 and 650? Did you go to school?

 

Which way do you see it hanging buddy?

 

I’m going out on a limb here that the Irish parties will grab a few.

 

I go left normally. Don’t know why.

 

Northern Irish yes, but 50? Just admit that you ****ed up and thought there were only 600 seats in UK parliament. We all make mistakes.

 

Me too

 

Left is always best