Sunday's Meetings Longchamp Flat 7 Races 1:15-5:40p.m. Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe Off @ 3:05p.m. Tipperary Mixed 8 Races 1:30-5:10p.m. Kelso N/H 8 Races 1:45-5:30p.m. Uttoxeter N/H 7 Races 2:10-5:20p.m. Racecards At The Races Racing Post Sporting Life Good Luck
Small little preview I have written!! 1) Sottass - imo has the worst possible draw in terms of running style and where they are placed. Will need a lot of luck He likes to be dropped right out and swoop in late. However drawn one he will have to take a big big pull coming out the gates and will have to try and avoid the traffic problems. I’m sure that connections of Sottass will be rewatching last years race in the finest of detail and especially the run of Sea Of Class because he runs and will want to run in a similar style to Sea Of class! And don’t forget if she’s hadn’t come across the traffic or her one more stride and she would have won. This imo is the way to beat Enable is to get her when the Petrol tank is emptying! This is also the closest a horse has come to beating Enable. However Sottass is not nearly as good as Sea Of class and won’t even get close. Alot of it due to the ground is and the issue for me is it may just blunt his speed 2) Fierment - How the Japanese have never won and even more so how Orfevre didn’t win is beyond me. The horse pulled himself up, hit the rail and got done he on the line (if you have never seen it watch the 2012 arc) however Fierment is a two time group one winner so fully deserves his place but can’t see him winning 3) Waldgeist- Is not the biggest of horses but he has looked a lot stronger this year. Currently 18/1 which is a huge price for a horse that could very easily be rated mid 120’s and if you have a horse rated that high, you have a serious horse on your hands! There has always been an afeelong he wants soft ground but I have the feeling he wants better. He is all about stamina and has the raw ability but don’t think the track will suit as he wants a stiff track like ascot (ran a careers best there) which longchamp isn’t 4) Blast One Piece - second of the Japanese horses- has a lot to find to even come close to placing 5) French King- Won everything that has been thrown at him including a group 1 last time in Germany a lot more is needed 6) Soft Light- runs for the same stable but different owners as Sottass and been supplemented for this race however I don’t think he has been put in as a pace maker. Reading his races he is a proper hold up horse. But it is bizarre he has been supplemented maybe we will see him run completely difffent run style. But who knows what has been talked about! 7) Kiseki- Has some top form in Japan but that is a different kettle of fish. Has been third to Waldgeist LTO in the Prix Foy but can’t see any reason why he will turn that form around 8) Magical- Completely the wrong odds and is my bet of the race! I have backed her EW and have backed her in the W/O Enable market too. Yes she has never beaten Enable but she has not been out the placings since this race last year, but she is a completely different filly this year. Her placings this year read 1112221 and has only been beaten by Enable and Crystal Ocean. I don’t think there is a lot between Japan and Magical in terms of ability and the price differnce is massive. She is a proper 12f horse, she will handle the ground no problem and has had a nice prep to the race too everything is lined up for a big big run, she will find it hard to beat Enable but Is the wrong price! 9) The queen of the turf- surely she wins - some argue this is the easiest year yet. One stat for you no Mare has won the arc in over 80years but the prep this year so we have been told has been perfect!! She is tactically very flexible in what you do, Frankie will try to leave it later than he did last year before he hits the front and she wins however end of the day she is a horse if the ground is too soft and she goes off to hard she is beatable. As a gambler you have to take her on as a horse racing fan every single bit of you is her Urging her to win so even tho I will be betting against her I will be Cheering her on and will be the best loss I do when she wins! 10) Japan- rightly the second fav and has improved with every run from the Dante when he had a lot of condition but still ran respectable, the derby even then he didn’t look 100% match fit. And we only really saw what Ballydoyle knew at Royal ascot and he looked very classy Indeed, his next run was over this C+D to obviously give him a taster of the arc but if you compare it to his other 2 wins this was no way as classy as the others but could have been he wasn’t absolutely fired up with this but it does leave a question in my head. And his win against Crystal ocean was very good but again he will need more to beat Enable. One thing I can’t get my head round is there is no ballydoyle pacemaker?!? They must be confident in what they have! But it very unlike them not to have one, especially in a race like this 11) Nagano Gold- produced a career best when Second In the hardwicke at Royal ascot behind Defoe was disappointing at Deauville when only Third behind soft light and Ziyad more will be needed from him to challenge and just can’t see it 12) Ghaiyyath - again has the second worst draw will have to use a lot of energy to blast out and get to the front. But one question I do have is, is everyone including the other jockeys expecting him to shoot out in front and if he doesnt for one reason or another what will the race look like then but if your backing him you don’t believe in the bounce factor! Imo was completely flattered in Germany when he won. He will try and go from the front but Won’t find it nearly as easy and won’t be able to do the same. And if I laid any horses he is definitely a place lay! I Enable wins and will go down in history My 1,2,3,4 Enable- Magical- Japan- Waldgeist
I really hope Enable wins and I think she will but its not worth me throwing my pittance on her at the price so my ew bet is going on Waldgeist.
I'm on Waldgeist we For those of you with a long long 606 memory,,,,,, Danburu 16:20 Kelso...has to be backed !!!!! Starboard 10 men and stay Frosty xx
One day, a Japanese horse will win The Arc. That's unlikely to be today though. Instead, a horse called Japan is a tempting e/w price. On the other hand, he probably won't win either.
I have backed Magical ew, but would love to see Enable make history. Good luck all. Have a nice Sunday
Clearly Capable in the first at Worcester, burchell and dunne team up ,usually means business ,the soft is a concern ,but that's the chance you take
Uttoxeter obviously! !! In the past he's always been kept to good ground but as horses age they often seem to become less ground dependant
Safe bet today for me is Japan ew/place only seeing as enable has taken the lion's share of the market, good value elsewhere. GL if you play
Much more like it from my Guineas filly Albigna today in the Boussac. She flopped in the Moyglare and Jessica Harrington said that she was confident we would see the Zoffany filly's true worth today. I felt she was crying out for trips in excess of the 6F she started out at and was confident she would improve for the 7F in the Moyglare. Albigna went to the Moyglare despite the trainer having good alternatives and I was gutted when she looked slow in the Group 1 contest won by Love. It took her a bit of time to get going today but she was very strong in the closing stages, drawing away well to win in good style. They could not give her away at 4/1 today but hopefully her Guineas dream is back on track now. She's generally 14/1 for the 1000 Guineas now but I would make her 10/1 Fav myself.
The moment of truth for Victor Ludorum today. Armory brings the Pinatubo form to the table but he was thumped by the leading juvenile. Victor Ludorum is proven at the trip and the question for him is the going, because he is a good moving colt. I thought 2/1 was worth taking on the Fabre horse after being impressed with him in his first two wins. 1.50 Long Victor Ludorum 2/1 to add to Godolphin's Guineas hand.
that crossed my mind too,but id rather go for a bit of a shot in the dark,with SIGN OF WAR.he showed next to nothing last time out,but the interesting fact is,he was very well backed that day,so there must have been some expectation behind him.could well be a different proposition today..
Much as I enjoy Arc day, what is with this bloody Arab race next? Anyone remotely interested in what seems a minute niche of the racing world? Sporting Life doesn't even do a write-up FFS
Victor Ludorum did the business, finishing well, which is his trademark thus far. The race was almost 3 seconds slower than the fillies earlier. Victor Ludorum is still shown at 20/1 for the 2000 Guineas, which has to be better value than Kinross at the same odds for romping home in an egg and spoon race yesterday.
