Daily Racing Thread Saturday 24th. August 2019

Saturday's Meetings

Killarney
Flat 7 Races 1:20-4:40p.m.
Goodwood
Flat 7 Races 1:30-5:00p.m.
Newmarket
Flat 7 Races 1:40-5:05p.m.
York
Flat 7 Races 1:50-5:20p.m.
Chelmsford
A/W 7 Races 2:00-5:25p.m.
Cartmel
N/H 7 Races 2:15-5:45p.m.
Windsor(E)
Flat 7 Races 4:40-7:50p.m.
Redcar(E)
Flat 7 Races 4:55-8:00p.m.
Kilbeggan(E)
N/H 7 Races 5:05-8:10p.m.

Racecards
At The Races
Racing Post
Sporting Life

Good Luck

 

Massive thanks Attivo. Superb job you do every day.
Skybet going 8 places in the Ebor. I’m on.
Raheen House & Raymond Tusk.
I also fancy Zaaki to overturn Wissahickon in the 1.50 York (money back if 2nd with Skybet). Have a good weekend fellas

 

York

15,40 Mustajeer 20/1 e/w (8 places)

4th in this race last year.

Cartmel

16,35 Day Of Roses 7/2

 

In the Ebor I am going for a bit of value with Kelly's Dino 25/1 each way 8 places.

Slightly tempered for win purposes by the outside draw and Karl Burke I think may regret running him at Newmarket to pick up the penalty when it wasn't needed. Horse though is improving..likes fast ground and running in big fields so big chance and with 8 places on offer am quietly confident.

Good luck all..

 

The first positive about today’s racing is that Hamdan Al Maktoum has fancied runners at two meetings and Crowley, who hardly ever wins for me, is at York. So Dane O’Neill gets the leg up on Moraawed in the 2:45 at HQ. I expect him to win giving just 11lb away to the bottom weight, but clearly so do the bookies: 5/4 too short for me with most to fear from Cristal Breeze. William Buick should have a good afternoon at HQ but the mostly small fields make most of the card a no bet. I would do Bint Soghaan in the 4:30 but Cardano looks like the only pace option amongst the quartet so it may turn into a sprint.

At York, I am tempted to plough some of my winnings from King’s Advice into him in the Ebor as he is well-in with his penalty; however, he does not have the greatest starting stall for what is usually quite a rough race and he is hardly a steal at the prices. I have been told Barsanti each-way in the race but a seven year old in first time blinkers that has never run in a race of more than twelve...

My principal concern about LAURENS in the City Of York Stakes is her zero per cent record when taking on the boys. She has a Group 1 penalty but she is the only Group 1 performer in the race. I think she has most to fear from Sir Dancealot, only having to concede her one pound and clearly unsuited by the soft ground in the Hungerford last time. Le Brivido continues to disappoint but his best career performance, winning the 2017 Jersey, was at this trip; however, the yard has just 4 wins from their last 50 runners.

The rest of the York card looks like a bookies’ benefit but that is to be expected on a Saturday.

I jokingly mentioned SIR RON PRIESTLEY the other week and he went and won. In the March Stakes, I fully expect him to set out to make the running. Ordinarily one might be wary of a horse stepping from handicaps to a Group 3 race but he has won four from five this term and the only real pattern-race performer in the field is Manuela De Vega, yet to win this year and probably flattered by her fourth in the Oaks, which now looks a poor renewal.

The Celebration Mile amounts to a contest between two horses that were fourth in Group 1 events last time (Happy Power and Skardu) and the improving three year olds who have run up a sequence (Beat Le Bon and Duke Of Hazzard). Craven winner Skardu was less than two lengths behind the St James’s Palace winner but the going is very different here and Happy Power was further behind Circus Maximus on this track in the Sussex. Beat Le Bon has completed a hat-trick by winning the Golden Mile at the Glorious meeting whilst DUKE OF HAZZARD looks to complete a hat-trick today after winning the Group 3 race on the same card. At the Royal meeting, he finished in front of Happy Power in the Jersey. Hopefully today he is not in trouble with the law...

 

Goodwood
Skardu should win surely.
York
Red Verdon in the Ebor with 8 places on skybet
Speak In Colour i think the quick conditions will suit over the 7f.

 

2:25 York - Hamish 8/1. Win bet

Withold 9/1 to win Ebor

 

It could be the last time we see Laurens run in this country today and I couldn't resist the 3/1 available. Win bet..

York 3pm Laurens 3/1 win

 

In the hope that he recovers a bit of his past form I've gone with Weekender in the Ebor. It's a big if but 25s was too tempting to miss.

Good luck all.

 

hi fellas!

york,1 50:

a competitive race,with all having some sort of chance.but BANGKOK gets a narrow vote,as he has put up arguably his best performance at royal ascot,where he was 4 lengths second to japan,which looks much better now.and even his last run wasnt too bad,and the first two of that race,elarqam and addeybb,have already given the form a boost since then.so,all in all,has a very big shout today.e w value.

 

york,2 25:

quite a few improving types here,but HAMISH is less exposed than some others here,and is surely much better,than he could show last time out,where he was a costly failure as a hot favourite in third.but the first two have given the form a big boost afterwards,so he can only progress further on his first handicap start.

 

The Ebor is a very tightly framed and high class Handicap these days. Just 8 lbs covers the whole field and the lowest rated runner in the field is on 105, which is a strong level to be bottom weight from. I remember Henry Cecil's Kneller winning the Ebor in 1988 and he was rated 92. The top weight that day was Ocean Ballad on 103 and the ratings ran all the way down to 72. That was a 31 lb spread compared to 8 lbs and the Top weight of 9st 10lbs was miles above the bottom two who carried 7st 7lbs. It's amazing to think that the Top weight from 1988 would not even have got into this year's renewal.

Looking at this year's race Raheen House seems way short now and looks terrible value. Ben Vrackie is a horse I had been thinking about ante-post after his good effort at Royal Ascot but he was woeful next time out and that's not the first time he has disappointed at 14F. Baghdad is tied in closely with the Gosden horse but he has no form at today's trip and it seems sure to be a true test today.

Withhold has no stamina questions but he's clearly been fragile. He returned after wind surgery to make a winning seasonal debut but he won first time up last year before flopping next time. Overall I can't avoid the worry that he might bounce today and he's had so little racing for a 6YO.

Kings Advice has been a win machine for Mark Johnston with just one blip along the way. You would think the Handicapper must have a hold of him but he keeps on defying the rise and is now rated 113 after beginning on 71. He gets in on 112 with his 4 lbs penalty from his previous rating of 108 and it is tempting to stay with him here. His one poor run came over 2 miles and this 14F seems to be his trip

Dramatic Queen interests me. She ran a stinker last time but prior to that she had two excellent races in Group company, beating John Gosden's Enbihaar in one of them and then narrowly finishing second to her in the other. A return to that form gives Dramatic Queen a shout.

3.40 Kings Advice 7/1 and Dramatic Queen 20/1 EW 8 places.

In the 2.40 Goodwood I felt Boomer was a filly with more to come and she was my main bet today.

2.40 Goodwood Boomer 5/2

 

well,here are my next two:

cartmel,2 50:

the interesting one here is BANNIXTOWN GLORY.this unexposed ex-pointer has made a good start under rules,and though taking a big step up in trip,she should get it.this is tougher than her last race,but shes very much open to progress and is bound to go well.

york,3 00:

a no brainer for me here,as i adore LAURENS,and shes obviously in the form of her life.the only slight doubt is the shorter trip,but i think,shes got more than enough speed to cope with it.big shout.

 

I wanted to take Laurens on at the odds. Le Brivido is short enough given his win record.

I took a chance on Shine So Bright, not disgraced in the Guineas and pretty unexposed.

3.00 Shine So Bright 6/1