Daily Racing Thread Saturday 13th. July 2019

Saturday's Meetings

Ascot
Flat 7 Races 1:45-5:10p.m.
Newmarket
Flat 7 Races 1:50-5:15p.m.
Navan
Flat 7 Races 1:55-5:25p.m.
Chester
Flat 7 Races 2:00-5:30p.m.
York
Flat 7 Races 2:05-5:35p.m.
Newton Abbot
N/H 7 Races 2:25-5:55p.m.
Limerick
N/H 7 Races 2:45-6:10p.m.
Hamilton(E)
Flat 8 Races 5:30-9:05p.m.
Salisbury(E)
Flat 7 Races 5:50-8:50p.m.

Racecards
At The Races
Racing Post
Sporting Life

Good Luck

 

Morning

5.30 Chester-Sparklealot

Each Way @ 13-2 [Skybet]

His apprentice rides the track well which should be a advantage

 

My reward
York 16:35
Stay Frosty xx

 

Good luck Heis, will deffo know the result by 16.35

 

Just an observation on the gambled ten sovereigns in the July cup. A nose band was worn when he won the middle park and left off at royal ascot. I’d be interested to see which head gear he wears today. Personally I’m with dream of dreams, so strike that off your list.

 

Why have connections Take Major Jumbo out of a handicap ( Stewards Cup ) and thrown it
head long into a A group one ( 4.40 Newmarket ) unless they are hoping for a place ?

Currently 100/1

 

The Superlative Stakes sees Aidan O'Brien sending Year Of The Tiger over. This colt won easily last time but that was only a maiden race and it was his third time on the racetrack. Second on his debut he was then highly tried in the Chesham at Royal Ascot where he was 7th behind Pinatubo, beaten more than 8 lengths, before he got on the winning bandwagon back in maiden company next time. Overall Year Of The Tiger looks short of the class for a race like this and he will need to improve to warrant his odds today.

Others have something to find with Year Of The Tiger but are lightly raced and highly likely to come forward. I ended up backing King's Command who looked beaten with a furlong to go last time. He had been prominent that day before being passed by a couple of rivals and seemingly claimed, before rallying and getting back up late. The extra furlong today seems sure to suit and Charlie Appleby must have had several candidates to aim at this contest and you would think he expects more from King's Command today.

In the July Cup I favour the older horses over the 3YO generation. Advertise put a poor Guineas run behind him with a win in the Commonwealth Cup but in general I feel the 3YO crop are not a great generation and I thought Dream Of Dreams put in a new level of form in being runner up to Blue Point last time in the Jubilee at the Royal meeting. Dream Of Dreams has been progressive this season but this was a showing that took him near the top of Sprint Division that has been lacking a 6F star and I feel he can prove his arrival today. Ten Sovereigns is a punter's darling but a bookies pal this year. I'll take him to be the villain again today as beaten Fav and see poor value myself.

2.55 Newmarket Kings Command 3/1

4.40 Newmarket Dream Of Dreams 9/2

Singles and a double the two.

 

If you can cancel that bet you probably should as dream of dreams is my only punt today
Good luck everyone - must be more races on the flat today than pretty much any other day of the year...

 

Don’t normally touch maidens but Frankels storm ticks lots no boxes c/d trainer in the opener at hq.

 

I am sure there is some good reason that I cannot think of why Ten Sovereigns – fourth behind Advertise in the Commonwealth Cup – is now favourite to reverse that form in the July Cup. The first four were well clear of Royal Intervention, who won the Group 3 at York yesterday, but both were ridden up with the pace and only Advertise picked up so I do not fancy the Ballydoyle colt to suddenly come good.

There are several here that failed in the early season classics and have now dropped to sprinting. Fairyland was totally outpointed in the King’s Stand over five but won four times over six as a juvenile. Pretty Pollyanna won the Duchess Of Cambridge at this meeting last year and is similar odds for success today after her flop in the Coronation at Royal Ascot.

Brando should run his usual game race and has placed in this the last two years; while Wokingham winner Cape Byron takes a big step up in class. Dream Of Dreams ought to be the best chance for the older horses after just failing to get up in the Diamond Jubilee but after a debut second here in 2016 he has run abysmally on home turf on both attempts since. Does he save his best for his travels?

It is a rare occasion when you look at a big handicap and see Mark Johnston with a couple of runners, two top jockeys and cannot really fancy either. Although Solar Gold has placed form in Listed company, she only has one career win in a five runner race so I assume she is favourite for the Bunbury Cup because she hails from the Haggas yard. There are two or three in here that owe me money but I am going to go with CROSSING THE LINE. Two starts ago she found traffic trouble early at Chester when favourite and last time she was in front of Solar Gold when runner-up to shock 2018 Guineas winner Billesdon Brook at Chelmsford. Hopefully she will be Crossing The Line first...

In the Summer Mile at Ascot, expectation must be that Matterhorn will try to make every yard but form suggests that he simply is not good enough as he was nowhere in the Queen Anne whilst the runner-up BEAT THE BANK only has to concede him 3lb and won this a year ago. Accidental Agent refused to race in the Queen Anne having won it last year but would you trust him with your money now? His third in the Lockinge was ahead of one of the joint favourites Beat The Bank that day. Zaaki has won both his races this year but this is a lot tougher than the ordinary Group 3 that he won last time.

I stopped looking at the John Smith’s Diamond Jubilee Cup after about thirty seconds when I saw the betting. I would have been interested in Mountain Angel, who let me down last time (traffic trouble), but 9/2 is too short in a race of this nature even with a good draw. The bookmakers are giving little away on the runners from the big yards when I look at their less than friendly stalls positions, so stick a pin in the ones with double digit prices as the winner is probably one of them.

 

Hi all..two bets for me:

York 2.40pm Kelly's Dino 12/1 each way. Missed the 16s this morning sadly. Won the competitive Newton cup last time out and seems to be improving.

York 3.50pm Francis Xavier 22/1 each way 6 places. Last time out finished behind Elarqam and nothing of that class in this field. Interesting runner from Ireland and think can make the frame.

Good luck all..

 

Have given Muthmir one more chance here. Each way

 

Line of reason for me

 

york,2 05:

CASPIAN PRINCE is a big favourite of mine,and though yet to win this season,he bounced back to form with a nice run last time out in third.so,if he can build on that today,will be bang there in the end..

 

york,2 40:

GOLD MOUNT and raheen house have already clashed once this season,and on this track,and i expect the former to uphold the form today,as hes marginally better off again with that rival,and won well enough that day.big shout.

 

Classic Spencer there...

 

What a sad (and somewhat disgusting ) performance from Serna there. From the very start, I said to my wife, "The body language from Serena is terrible, she is not up for this at all". And so it continued. It was painful to watch. If my grandson displayed body language like that during a football match he would get a kick up the arse. For some reason I watched until the inevitable conclusion. Must be the worst tennis final ever

 

Now THATwas classic Spencer... Escobar at a canter...

 

That was a very confident ride from Spencer on Escobar

 

Spencer swaying with his backside in the air like a baboons arse, never in doubt!